Rookies 2006

  Pitching Line = IP H R ER BB SO    
 


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05 March, 2006

    World Baseball Classic ... Japan and Korea advance (China, Taiwan try another day) ... first games for Canada and USA, Tuesday March 7th ...

    Troop Movements ...  NYA -  optioned Jorge DePaula to AAA,  reassigned Steven WhiteKris Wilson and Jose Gil to minor league camp ...

    ST ... Chad Billingsley LAD 2 2 0 0 1 2 ... Greg Miller LAD 1 1 0 0 0 0 ... Joel Guzman LAD DH 1-4, double ... Blake Dewitt LAD 2B 1-2 ... Sean Burnett PIT 1 1 0 0 0 0 ... Tom Gorzelanny PIT 1 2-3 3 1 1 3 1 ... Abe Alvarez BOS 2 1-3 1 0 0 1 2 ... Joel Zumaya DET 1 2-3 2 4 4 2 3 ... Jeremy Sowers CLE 2 0 0 0 3 1 ... Ryan Garko CLE 2-4, double, 2 RBI ... Boof Bonser MIN 2 1 0 0 1 2 ... Andy Marte CLE 0-3 ... Brandon Phillips CLE SS 2-3, homer, 2 RBI ... Jason Kubel MIN DH 1-1 ... Ryan Zimmerman WAS 2-4, double, homer ... Anderson Hernandez NYN SS 3-4, SB ... Scott Olsen FLO 2 0 0 0 1 0  ... Anthony Reyes STL 2 1-3 5 5 5 2 0 ... Jason Stokes FLO 3-3, 2 doubles ... Hanley Ramirez FLO 0-3 ... Edwin Encarnacion CIN 3B, already with 3 homers, 2-3, double, homer, 3 RBI ... BJ Upton TB 0-2 ... Delmon Young TB 0-1, error ... Ricky Romero TOR 1 4 4 2 0 1 ... Alberto Callaspo ARZ SS 0-4 ... Justin Upton ARZ 1-3, 2 walks ... Kendry Morales LAA 1-3 double ... Daric Barton OAK 2-3 ... Javier Herrera OAK 2-4, 2 RBI ... Jason Botts TEX 1-1, homer, walk, 3 RBI ... Josh Barfield SF 2-4, triple, SB, 2 RBI ...

    Jan Ramirez and the gang at Inside The Dugout kick off their Top 100 with the elite 10, headed by Delmon Young, Jeremy Hermida and Brandon Wood.  Also, a pair of ARZ shortstops among the best of the best :

" ...  Justin Upton ...  true 5-tool talent with the ability to be a an impact player ...  amazing bat speed , making him a bigger version of his brother BJ . He shows the same type of quiet hitting approach with plus power to all fields with advanced plate discipline for a player his age. However like his brother their has been questions whether he can stay at his natural position at shortstop , as he has showed inconsistency all throughout his high school career ...  No matter what position he plays however, Upton is a future big league star ...   ETA : 2008"  

" ... Stephen Drew  ...  has all the skills to be an above average shortstop both on the offensive and defensive side of the ball. However like his brother there are questions about his work ethic and intensity as some scouts feel that he doesn’t go hard all the time and loses interest during the game, still Drew is a great talent and could be the D’Backs starting shortstop as soon as 06’ ...  ETA: Midseason 2006"

    The Tigers begin to get it right ... some interesting names atop the DET prospect chart in John Sickels' latest rating.  Justin Verlander (Grade A), Joel Zumaya (B+) and Cameron Maybin (B) running 1-2-3 :

" ... I love Verlander. Zumaya also has an excellent arm, and if he can maintain a modicum of command he could also be an excellent pitcher. Maybin is a tools hound that we have to see against pro pitching. Clevlen took a major step forward last year after a poor '04 campaign. This is another club with a mass of C+/C type prospects, who could turn into something interesting but have question marks of some sort."

The Sickels' rankings on the Top 10 page have been updated again (seems there's been some mysterious disappearances, re-appearances over the last few weeks). 


04 March, 2006

    World Baseball Classic ... Japan 18 China 2 ... Korea over Taiwan, either 2-0 or 10-2 depending on source  ... Blue Jays over Canada 9-4 in an exhibition game ...

    Troop Movements ...  MIN - announced the retirement of Gabe White ... TEX - Taylor Teagarden assigned to minor league camp ...

    Spring Training ...  Matt Bush SD 0-2, K, error ... Kendry Morales LAA 1-2, 2 RBI ... Brandon Wood LAA 0-1, walk, run ... Jeff Mathis LAA 0-2, 2 Ks ... Mike Napoli LAA 1-3, double, 3 RBI ... Howie Kendrick LAA 2-3, 2 runs ... Houston sent a parade of kids to the mound -- Taylor Buchholz 2 1 0 0 0 0, Fernando Nieve 2 4 4 4 1 3, Jason Hirsh 2 3 1 1 1 0, Jimmy Barthmaier 2 1 0 0 2 2 ... JR House HOU, 1B, 1-3 ... Glen Perkins MIN 2 0 0 0 1 3 ... Homer Bailey CIN 2 1 0 0 2 2 ... Edwin Encarnacion CIN, 3-4, double, homer, 3 RBI ...  Ian Kinsler TEX 1-2, homer ...  Prince Fielder  MIL 0-2, walk, K ... Brandon Sing CHN 2-3, homer ... Matt Cain SF 2 2 0 0 0 0 ... Jarrod Saltalamacchia ATL, 1-3, walk-off, 3-run homer ... James Loney LAD 2-4 ... Justin Verlander DET 2 4 2 2 0 2 ... Melky Cabrera NYA 4-5, double ... Ryan Zimmerman WAS 2-3, RBI ... Josh Willingham FLO 1-2, double ... Stephen Drew ARZ 2-2, double, homer ... Conor Jackson ARZ 2-2, double ... Lastings Milledge NYN 1-2, double

    Talk about a prospect list.  Scott Rex at On Deck does 500 deep - from Delmon Young to BOS lefty Felix Doubront.  The leading lights :

 1 Young Delmon		11 Hamels Cole
 2 Liriano Francisco	12 Maybin Cameron
 3 Hermida Jeremy	13 Verlander Justin
 4 Cain Matt		14 McGowan Dustin
 5 Billingsley Chad	15 Miller Adam
 6 Wood Brandon		16 Fielder Prince
 7 Gordon Alex		17 Butler Billy
 8 Drew Stephen		18 Stewart Ian
 9 Upton Justin		19 Marte Andy
10 Zimmerman Ryan	20 Zumaya Joel

Scott also has updated his position-by-position prospect chart.

    John Sickels adds two more prospect lists - the Yankees and Padres.  Pitchers top the charts.  Phil Hughes (B+) topped outfielder Jose Tabata (B+) and reliever J-Brent Cox (B) for the Yankees.

" ...  Hughes has Grade A natural ability, needing only durability to move into that range of prospect in my view. I personally love J. Brent Cox and think he will advance rapidly. Duncan is young enough to overcome his shaky Double-A performance last year. Clippard has terrific ratios but some scouts are still skeptical about him."

Right hander Cesar Carrillo (A-) ranks No. 1 on the San Diego farm.  Catcher George Kottaras (B+) was the runner-up over second baseman Josh Barfield (B).

" ...  Kottaras has been a favorite since before everyone knew about him. Barfield is an outside candidate for Rookie of the Year. I also think that Ben Johnson is a rookie sleeper who could end up being a very effective power hitter. Some of the Grade C guys could move up very quickly. Jared Wells has a good arm and is highly-rated by Baseball America, but I'm not sold on him just yet. His track record is erratic and I'm not wild about his component ratios."

    Bryan Smith, Baseball Analysts, views Chad Billingsley as a possibility this season :

" ... As for Billingsley, I think the time could very well be now according to reports of his stuff this spring. Vegas is a horrendous place for pitchers, and Chad really seemed to turn a corner in AA after July last year. While I have bashed the roles created for players like Brandon McCarthy and Anthony Reyes, Billingsley would be fantastic starting the year in a long relief role to become acclimated to the Majors. Once consistency sets in, the team would move him back to the rotation, where it would appear replacing Jeff Weaver was an extremely easy task."

    Top BOS infielder prospect on the shelf :

" ...   Dustin Pedroia was expected to get a lot of playing time in his first Spring Training with the Red Sox, but that plan has been derailed, at least for the time being. Pedroia has what the team believes is a left shoulder strain. He is expected to miss at least a week. "  (MLB.com)

    Kevin T. Czerwinski, MLB.com, summarizes the bounty on the TOR farm :

" ... Dustin McGowan ... After a remarkable recovery from Tommy John surgery, McGowan found himself in Toronto last season where he started seven of the 13 games in which he appeared. He wasn't nearly as effective (1-3, 6.36) as he had hoped to be, but he is healthy now and figures to be part of Toronto's rotation at some point this year. Whether that chance comes in April or later remains to be seen.

" ... David Purcey ...  had an exceptional first full season in pro ball. He combined to go 9-7 in 29 starts for Dunedin and New Hampshire, posting a 3.42 ERA in the process. His repertoire is highlighted by a low- to mid-90s fastball and a big, looping curve. He is powerful and projects as a front-of-the-rotation starter. He'll probably spend some time in New Hampshire this season but the bulk of his work will be done in Syracuse and perhaps in Toronto."

    Jim Callis, Baseball America, on some of the guys who just missed the cut as BA selected the Top 30 prospects on each team.

" ... Jayson Nix ...  The younger brother of Laynce Nix is proving to be a puzzle for the Rockies. Jayson has teased them with the makings of an impact middle infielder, but he has struggled mightily since reaching Double-A in 2004 ...  has the strength to provide plus power at second base and understands the value of using the entire field, but his long swing undermines him. ... Though he hasn't proven himself at Double-A, he'll probably move up a level to Triple-A Colorado Springs in 2006."

" ... K.C. Herren ...  A surprise second-round pick in 2004, ...  rewarded the Rangers with an all-star debut in the Rookie-level Arizona League and seemed to be carrying that success over to the short-season Northwest League in 2005, when he hit .371 in June before tailing off. Herren has a mature, athletic build with solid all-around tools, but he lacks projection. He has quick hands and a good, short lefthanded swing with some strength to it ...   He has enough athletic ability to be an everyday big league left fielder, but he's a long way off."


03 March, 2006

    Adam Loewen BAL 2 1 0 0 2 0 ...  Josh Willingham FLO 1-1, homer ... Hanley Ramirez FLO (at leadoff) 1-3 ... Jeremy Hermida FLO 1-3, RBI ... Nick Markakis BAL 1-2 ... Justin Upton ARZ DH 1-2, triple, 2 RBI ... Ryan Sweeney CHA 2-4 ... Josh Fields 3B CHA 2-3, double, homer ... Todd Linden SF 4-4, double, SB ... Corey Hart MIL 1-3, double, 2 RBI ... Josh Rupe TEX 2 2 0 0 1 1 ... Thomas Diamond TEX 1 2-3 1 0 0 2 0 ... Edison Volquez TEX 2 1 1 1 1 1... Alex Gordon KC 1-3, 2 RBI ... Felix Pie CHN 1-2, triple ... Daric Barton OAK 0-2, K ... Ian Stewart COL 2-2, double ... Jason Hammel TB 2 0 0 0 1 1 ... Delmon Young TB 0-2, K ... BJ Upton TB, at SS, 1-3, 2 RBI ... Andy Marte CLE 1-3, double ... Joey Devine ATL 1 0 0 0 0 2 ... Gavin Floyd PHI 2 3 1 1 1 1 ... Felix Hernandez SEA 13 pitches, fanned the side ...  Craig Hansen BOS 1 0 0 0 0 1 ... Jason Kubel MIN 0-2 (as DH) ...

    Hard to believe ... looking for box scores ... MLB.com, no boxes on the Scoreboard page (although there is something called Press Pass for which you must register) boxes on the home page don't load  ... USAToday, the box score link doesn't work ... FOXSports, boxes, but some games missing (eg SEA-SD) ... ESPN, pretty good although several missing boxes ...  you'd think this Spring Training thing is so new it came as a surprise ...

    Troop Movements ...  oh my, cuts already ...  Pablo Sandoval, John Bowker among those assigned to minor league camp by SF ...  and, one for the SS vets, Can-Am League, Nashua Pride - signed LHP Terrell Wade ... COL - purchased the contract of Eli Marrero, placed Chin-hui Tsao on the 60-day DL ... NYN - sold the contract of Dae Sung Koo to the Hanwha Eagles of the Korean League ...

    Kevin Goldstein begins his tenure at Baseball Prospectus with reports on the AL Central kids in his nearly-daily column Future Shock (not sure if all are to be freebies) :

Jeremy Sowers CLE  " ...  Don’t Believe The Hype: Sowers was the sixth pick in 2004, and has gone 14-4, 2.37 in 27 minor league starts, with a fantastic 149/29 K/BB ratio in 159 innings. There's nothing wrong with Sowers, but I don't see stardom for him, as he's more of a command/finese specialist who doesn't overpower opposing hitters. I think he may have a better chance than any prospect in baseball to be a consistent 10-14 game winner, but I can think of many more prospects that have a better chance of being a star."

" ... 2003 No. 5 overall pick Chris Lubanski led the California League in RBIs last year, but nobody will trust it until they see him perform outside the friendly confines of High Desert. Lubanski is incredibly difficult to scout--while he was productive in 2005, he’s morphed into an entirely different player than the one who was drafted. Coming out of high school, Lubanski was a speed-demon with a little pop who profiled as a classic leadoff man/center fielder. Not yet 21, he’s already lost a step or two, but added significant power, and now looks like a corner outfielder who bats in the middle of the lineup. It's a strange transformation, and we don't have a whole lot of meaningful historical precedent."

    John Sickels likes catcher Neil Walker (Grade B+) as the best of the Pirates' prospects.  Outfielder Andrew McCutchen (B+) and lefty Tom Gorzelanny (B) ranked 2-3.  In TB, it's Delmon Young (A), Wes Bankston (B+) and Jason Hammel (B) 1-2-3. 

" ...  The problem for the Pirates is that the only two guys with real star potential on the offensive side are Walker and McCutchen, and neither is a sure thing just yet. Among the pitchers, Gorzelanny has the highest upside but is also not a sure thing just yet. He does deserve more attention than he's received on a national level, however, and in many fantasy leagues he could be a bargain pickup. Take a look at him. He has better-than-average stuff, with improving command."

" ... Delmon is obviously the class of the system (and the minors in general). After that things are unclear. I like Wes Bankston more than a lot of people. Hammel is a wild card; could be good, could be bad. Elijah Dukes has outstanding tools and is developing the skills to go with them, but has a volatile personality. Niemann and Houser have injury/durability concerns. Wade Davis is my candidate for a major breakout this year."

    Jim Callis, Baseball America on the SEA catching corps and an update on the D'Backs system :

" ...   Johjima is an established Japanese major leaguer who should be a solid to good player in the United States. I don't see him as a definite all-star, but he should hit .275 with 15 homers and play solid defense. Clement, the No. 3 overall pick in the 2005 draft, has tremendous power and showed significant improvement as both a hitter and a defender as a junior at Southern California. He'll provide more offense than Johjima, who will stand out more behind the plate ...  Clement probably won't be ready before mid-2007, so the Mariners will have at least a year and a half before they have to figure out how to get both players into the lineup. Assuming that Johjima performs as expected, his salary would be reasonable enough to make him attractive on the trade market. If the Mariners hold onto both for the length of Johjima's contract, Clement could get more of his at-bats at first base or DH while backing up Johjima at catcher."

" ...  I'd line up their revised Top 10 in this order: Upton, shortstop Stephen Drew, first baseman Conor Jackson, outfielder Carlos Quentin, Young, outfielder Carlos Gonzales, righthander Dustin Nippert, catcher Miguel Montero, righthander Garrett Mock and Callaspo ...  Callaspo is a career .315 hitter in the minors and he's an exceptional contact hitter ... But he doesn't stand out in any other area offensively ...   figures to make Arizona's big legue club as a reserve middle infielder."

    Mike Scarr, MLB.com, on Howie Kendrick LAA :

" ... The Angels remain intrigued by Kendrick's offensive skills, and the 22-year-old has done nothing this spring to douse that enthusiasm. "Howie is a guy that can hit right now in the big leagues and hit in a big way in the big leagues," said manager Mike Scioscia, adding that appearing as the designated hitter is not out of the realm of possibility this season ... The only issue that remains for Kendrick is an ability to match his glove to his bat, but observers say that he has the key ingredient to lick that problem, too. "He has the one thing that a coach could ask for; he wants to learn," said Minor League roving infield instructor Rob Picciolo. "The battle is halfway won because he wants to play defense as well as he plays offensively. His interest is there and he wants it."   (MLB.com)

    Jonathan Mayo, MiLB.com, has kicked off his team-by-team reports with entries on the Yankees and Red Sox :

" ... Philip Hughes ...  plus stuff and exceptional command at age 19. His fastball sits in the 90-95 mph range and he can touch 97 at times. With it, he throws a curve, slider and developing changeup. A good index for a pitcher is his ability to command the fastball to the opposite of his arm side -- away to right-handed hitters for the right-handed Hughes. And he can already do that, signs of a special understanding of pitching nuance. To find the last Yankee farmhand to exhibit that kind of early command, you'd have to go back to Mariano Rivera."

" ... Sean Henn ...  performed well in Double- and Triple-A in 2005, and there are those within the organization who think the southpaw is really close to being ready to contribute positively. He lost command while up in New York. If he can regain faith in his stuff, he'll become a very good commodity -- a lefty with a good arm -- in a pretty thin market."

" ... Abe Alvarez ...  He's been a young pitcher at every level, including spending most of the year in Pawtucket in 2005 at age 22. While his overall numbers weren't stellar -- a 4.85 ERA -- and he gave up 17 homers over 26 starts, some of his peripherals suggest it wasn't that bad of a season. The lefty struck out 109 and walked just 31 in his 144 2/3 innings of work, and he allowed just under a hit per inning. He's got perhaps the best command in the system, but his stuff isn't such that he has a large margin of error. The main thing keeping him from being big-league ready is experience and conditioning."

" ... Jacoby Ellsbury ...  a perfect combination of tools and an advanced college approach. His speed plays well both at the plate and in the field. He has the chance to be an above-average center fielder defensively, though he does need to work on improving his jumps and routes to balls. He's not just a speed guy on the bases; he's got good instincts to maximize his speed. He's got an excellent idea of the strike zone and makes contact with consistency."


02 March, 2006

    World Baseball Classic kicks off Thursday  ... Korea vs. Chinese Taipei

    Troop Movements ...  NYN - announced the retirement of 2B Bret Boone ...

    Jordan Tata DET 2 1 0 0 0 3 ... Curtis Granderson DET cf, 1-2  ... Brian Anderson CHA cf 0-3  ... Ian Stewart COL 0-1, walk ... Jarrod Saltalamacchia ATL, a big hit on opening day, 2-2, double, triple

    Dayn Perry, FOXSports, posts his next to last installment in his Top 100, 11-20.  A pair of hotshot catchers, and a top Yankee farmhand included on the list. 

" ... 15. Jeff Clement ...  has a devastating left-handed power stroke, and he's made good progress with his defense in recent seasons. Clement doesn't have great plate discipline, and his low contact rates means he may not hit for average in the majors. However, the power certainly translates. Behind the plate, his throwing arm is below average, but he frames pitches well and is sure-handed. He'll stick at the position, and be good for 25 homers annually."

" ... 17. Jarrod Saltalamacchia ...  Despite playing half his games at High-A Myrtle Beach, the toughest hitter's park in professional baseball ... authored a batting line of .314 AVG/.394 OBP/.519 SLG, all while manning a key defensive position. He's a switch-hitter, but some in the organization feel he should bat only from the left side. Salty commands the strike zone and hits for power, but his future behind the plate is uncertain."

" ... 19. Philip Hughes ...  Keep your eye on this one. Hughes boasts a plus-plus fastball/slider combo, and his changeup also has potential. He's got a classic power pitcher's build, and he shows poise on the mound that belies his young age. Hughes thrived across two levels last season, and in 86.1 innings he fanned 93, walked only 20 and coughed up only a single home run. On the downside, Hughes has yet to face advanced competition, and he's battled shoulder tendonitis in each of the last two seasons. Still, if he stays healthy, he's a future first-order ace at the highest level."

    David Regan, RotoAmerica, goes with a power hitter atop the HOU prospect chart :

" ...  #1 Hunter Pence  ...  stands a solid 6’5”, 210 and he showed off his tremendous raw power this year at both Class A levels. Pence has very quick hands and has managed to hit at all levels despite what scouts describe as a “hitch” in his swing. Hitch or not, Pence can rake ...  has decent speed and has showed a willingness to take a walk when necessary ... so far so good. "

" ...  #2 Troy Patton ...  had many highlights this year, including a 32 inning scoreless streak and a selection to the Futures Game. Has good movement on his low 90s fastball and can dial it up to 95 on occasion when needed. Has a lot of success getting hitters to chase his curve out of the zone, although some wonder if more advanced hitters will chase as many bad pitches. Change has potential but still needs development ...  I like Jason Hirsh, but Patton is 3 ½ years younger, left-handed, and could start 2006 in AA as a 20 year-old."

" ...  #5 Eli Iorg ...  had a solid 2005 debut for Houston. He was a bit old for the Appy League, but still impressed managers and scouts and profiles as a big power-hitting RF at 6’3”, 205. He’s strong, generating plus power to all parts of the ballpark. Surprising speed for a guy his size and could wind up as a .300/30/100 type with 15 sb’s if he reaches his ceiling. Showed good defensive skills in RF, including a strong arm."

    John Sickels, MinorLeagueBall, offers up his ranking of the Marlin's young guns.  No surprise at the top - Jeremy Hermida (Grade A).  Anibal Sanchez (B+) is the runnerup, over Scott Olsen (B+).

" ...  Lots of depth in pitching. Note that there are lots of promising prospects not in the Top 20. Guys like Jeff Allison, Robert Andino, Matt Goyen, Brett Hayes, Jacob Marceaux, Randy Messenger, Grant Psomas, Jason Stokes, Taylor Tankersley, Scott Tyler, and Dan Uggla would all make the Top 20 list for many organizations ...  I don't know what to make of Hanley Ramirez any more. His tools are excellent, and he flashes skills, but his track record just doesn't support a higher rating than Grade B right now, at least in my mind."

    A pair of young guys - Hanley Ramirez, Robert Andino -- challenging for the starting SS stop in FLO :

" ...  With Spring Training games beginning Wednesday, Ramirez and Andino are neck-and-neck for the starting job. "They are two really gifted athletes," manager Joe Girardi said. "They are fundamentally sound defensively. They are little bit different types of hitters. Hanley has a little more pop. Robert is probably more of a hit-and-run type of guy. They are two very gifted shortstops who should create some excitement over the next four weeks. They'll go at it, and let's find out."   (MLB.com)

     David Luciani, Baseball Notebook, on Troy Tulowitzki COL :

" ... I'm not projecting him to make it to the majors this year if that's what you're asking. I also haven't seen him play ...  Based on the statistical analysis, he looks like a future medium level power hitter - think 15-20 home runs in a neutral environment, inflated if he plays half of his games in Colorado. His contact level of 80% in 2005 was a bit low for a Single-A player who's already twenty-one and the only thing I know about him that works in his favor is that he was taken in the first round of the draft. I wish I knew more about him but based on the limited data I have for him which is just 94 at bats at Single-A Modesto in 2005, so far he hasn't done anything to light up the statistical bulbs just yet and unfortunately, I can't rate his tools impartially without having seen him play yet."

    Javier Herrera moving up the chart in OAK.

" ... Herrera is a center fielder and a five-tool player. His powerful right arm is the tool that wows everyone, but Herrera, now at his first big-league camp, has the whole package. When Andre Ethier was traded to the Dodgers in the offseason, Herrera essentially inherited Ethier's unofficial status as Oakland's top Minor League outfielder. "He has an absolute cannon," said A's outfield coach Brad Fischer. "I've only seen him in drills, but he's pretty polished for a guy his age." " ... 2005 season got off to an ugly start when he was suspended for 15 games for testing positive for steroids (he blames a tainted medication), but he still made quite an impression ... . Playing the bulk of his 99 games at Class A Kane County, Herrera batted .280 with 14 homers and 65 RBIs, leading the A's organization with 27 stolen bases in 32 tries ... .  more than held his own in winter ball, batting .265 with three homers and 12 RBIs in 53 games, and he helped Venezuela to the Caribbean World Series crown. (MLB.com)


01 March, 2006

    Troop Movements ...  ARZ - acquired infielder Alberto Callaspo (who had just begun to take grounders ar third in the LAA camp) from LAA for pitcher Jason Bulger ...

    John Sickels ranks a revamped White Sox farm and picks a lefty starter to top the list.  Ray Liotta (B+), Bobby Jenks (B) and Brian Anderson (B) 1-2-3.

Not a deep farm system by any means. Winter trades of Chris Young, Gio Gonzalez, and Dan Haigwood reduce system depth considerably ... Just about everyone else on the list has questions ... Brian Anderson is a decent prospect but I'd rather have Chris Young. Lance Broadway's average fastball will have to hold up at higher levels. Ryan Sweeney is very young but could be an outfield version of Sean Burroughs as a hitter. Francisco Hernandez didn't hit his first shot at full-season ball. Jerry Owens lacks power."

    Lefty Jon Lester BOS attracting lots of attention:

" ...  the 22-year-old Lester isn't ready for the Major Leagues yet. But he doesn't look too far off, either. It has been a fast first few days of Spring Training for Lester, who is considered one of the most highly regarded pitching prospects in the game ...  After dominating for Double-A Portland last year (11-6, league-leading 2.61 ERA, .215 opponents' batting average, 163 strikeouts in 148 1/3 innings), Lester will make the jump to Triple-A Pawtucket to start the 2006 season. But that next jump in the progression can occur before you know it ...   From his mid- to upper-90s fastball to his complementary pitches (cutter, curve and changeup), Lester has the arsenal to make it at the highest level. But as Schilling can point out from experience, there are some other things that must occur before his progression is complete. "Obviously, he's beyond his years as far as polish goes. Numbers-wise, there are numbers that he's put up that are eye-openers," said Schilling. "But, like (Papelbon) and all the other guys, he needs to pitch. He needs innings. He needs experience. Unfortunately, you got to get your head kicked in a couple times and start making adjustments and changing things."  (MLB.com)

    Looking ahead to June ... North Carolina right hander Andrew Miller ... two starts so far :

                IP H R ER BB SO NP
Andrew Miller  6.0 4 0  0  1  9 84
Andrew Miller  7.0 2 0  0  1 11 93

   For those looking for an early line on the Royals  25-man contingent, check out the rundown at the KC Star.

    Bryan Smith, Baseball Analysts, in what looks to be an annual presentation, offers his picks as the best of the sophomores (PECOTA is the forecasting system developed by Baseball Prospectus) :

" ... 2. Rickie Weeks  ...  The problems are fairly obvious with Weeks. First of all, it's likely that Weeks will never be a good second baseman, perhaps always providing negative value in the field. At the plate, Weeks also has serious contact problems, and PECOTA sees an average that, by 2010, will never top .280. His strikeout numbers should usually be over 100. But PECOTA also sees a 30-40% chance that, in each of the next five years, Weeks is a superstar. Rickie has great power for a player up the middle, and his speed on the basepaths should make fantasy owners consistently happy. When accepting his faults, we should look at Weeks as the NL second base starter in the All-Star Game for years to come."

" ... 4. Brian McCann ... he may remind some (old) Braves fans of Joe Torre, who at the age of 21, hit a very similar .282/.355/.395. In the next four years, Torre built towards his peak, culminating in an age 25 season with a .943 OPS ...  has better power than he showed last year."

" ... 12. Curtis Granderson ...   might not be the next great Tiger, or even a consistent All-Star. But for a team like Detroit, that has been "rebuilding" for so long, he's the long-term answer at one position. PECOTA loves him, but I don't see enough power developing for a superstar to shine through."

    Just a day or so after announcing Joel Guzman would try out several positions this spring as a transition from shortstop, LAD say Joel will settle down in left field :

" ...  Guzman, who marked his last game as a shortstop Tuesday with a long home run, becomes a left fielder Wednesday. Dodgers manager Grady Little made official the switch, a long-anticipated move done now to give the 6-foot-6 right-handed slugger a fast-track shot into the Dodgers' Opening Day lineup at age 21. "Right now, there's nothing that's been said or done that he couldn't leave with us this spring," Little said before the club's intrasquad game. "He's a talented young man with rooftop power. If we see he's comfortable in left field, who knows what can happen? A transition like that shouldn't be tough." In other words, if he can hit enough, whatever defensive deficiencies Guzman has would be easily overlooked in left field."  (MLB.com)

    Tiger sleeper. Jordan Tata :

" ... Tata earned the Tigers farm system's top honor for pitchers. He doesn't boast a 99 mph fastball. He didn't challenge for the Minor League strikeout title. All he did was win. He might be the only guy to fly under the radar with a 13-2 record. "He grinds it out," said third baseman Kody Kirkland, Tata's teammate for the last three seasons. "That's the biggest thing. He just competes." Most of the time, he competes well enough to come out on top ...  Add Tata's second-half performance in 2004 at Class A West Michigan and the 24-year-old right-hander owns a 19-3 record over his last 38 outings ...  Though he's an imposing figure on the mound at 6-foot-6 and 220 pounds, Tata's stuff is deceptive. He can hit 95 mph, but he usually works in the lower 90s -- not bad, but not overpowering. The equalizing factor that has made him as hard to beat as Zumaya and Verlander is the movement he puts on his pitches. His fastball has a natural sinking motion and his cutter bites in on hitters."  (MLB.com)

     Andrew McCutchen makes a quick impression in the PIT camp :

" ...  McCutchen needed only one at-bat to make a glowing first impression in his first game ...   first intrasquad scrimmage ... McCutchen, the team's first-round draft pick last summer, exhibited trademark patience by taking the first three pitches he saw ...  liked the fourth, and he lined it into center field for an RBI single. It would be the only at-bat for McCutchen... "To get a hit and an RBI, it just let me know I can handle this." As if to underscore that he was the only teenager in camp, though, McCutchen was picked off second."  (Pittsburgh Post-Gazette)

     In Seattle,  smiles so far :

" ...  Hargrove [manager Mike Hargrove]  hadn't seen Kenji Johjima catch in anything resembling a game until Monday. The manager was favorably impressed. "I thought Joe caught real well," Hargrove said. "He had a lot of life. He bounced around behind the plate real well." Hargrove was particularly impressed by Johjima's scrambled pursuit of a pitch in the dirt from rookie Luis Gonzalez. Fleet shortstop Yuniesky Betancourt attempted to advance from first base to second, and Johjima threw him out. "I thought he had no chance on that one," Hargrove said. "But he got the ball and got rid of it in a hurry ... He's got a stronger arm than you might think, and he always gets rid of the ball so quickly."  (Seattle Post-Intelligencer)

     Notes from the Rangers' camp :

" ... Edison Volquez wasn't mentioned in pitching coach Mark Connor's list of candidates for the fifth spot in the starting rotation. But Connor said Volquez, 22, is throwing well and making good progress. Manager Buck Showalter said he is confident Volquez will learn from his rocky experience in the majors late last season. He was 0-4 with a 14.21 ERA in 12 2/3 innings. "That happens to young pitchers," Showalter said. "The good ones figure it out. He'll be fine."   (Dallas Morning News)

" ... Right-hander Kameron Loe will start for one side in the Rangers’ intrasquad game Wednesday morning. It’s his first game-type action, although pitching coach Mark Connor said during the first week of spring training that Loe was already pitching like it’s the seventh game of the World Series."  (FW Star-Telegram)


28 February, 2006

    Troop Movements ...  WAS - signed Pedro Astacio ...  BP - Baseball Prospectus announces the acquisition of prospector/writer Kevin Goldstein from Baseball America ...

    John Sickels likes those southpaws in the Philly system - Cole Hamels (B+), Gio Gonzalez (B+) and Daniel Haigwood (B) 1-2-3.

    A good first step for Hamels :

" ...  Cole Hamels yesterday threw off the mound for the first time since August. Hamels, the team's first-round pick in 2002, has a chronic back issue that cost him most of last season and has put him behind the other pitchers this spring. He threw 25 pitches - 23 fastballs and two of his trademark changeups. He did not hold back. He was delighted. "It was everything I expected it to be," he said. He felt no back pain, though there is a lingering tightness. "He threw the ball very well," pitching coach Rich Dubee allowed. "We'll see how he [feels today]." Hamels said he will next throw off the mound Wednesday. Without setbacks, Hamels said, he could start pitching in games in 2 weeks."  (Philadelphia Daily News)

    Good to see Joe Ptak back in the swing at his Cleveland Indians Report.  He's been forecasting the likely 25-man roster guys along with some notes on the farm kids.

" ...  RYAN GARKO: Will rake and bide his time in Buffalo until a spot opens up in Cleveland. Glove continues to be a question, even at first, but should hit enough to make the glove workable. Could be a candidate to be included in a mid-season deal to bolster the big league club." T

" ... BRAD SNYDER: The next Paul O'Neill? Sounds good to me. Still strikes out a ton but he draw walks, steals bases, has big power, a good glove, and a strong arm. Everything you're looking for in a right-fielder. Likely will start the year in Akron, move up to Buffalo mid-season, and get the Starbucks treatment in September."

" ... BRANDON PHILLIPS: How far has his stock fallen when he's out of options and isn't considered a lock for the roster when his main competition includes Ramon Vazquez and Lou Merloni? ...  Best guess, Phillips has a good enough spring that the Tribe can move him for something towards the end of March. My money is on the Nationals and Braves."

" ... KELLY SHOPPACH:  Probably should have been included in the "guaranteed to head north" crowd, but the Indians did bring in a couple of veteran backstops to give him a little push so we'll play along and consider this an open spot. Could open an intriguing mix of possibilities if he shows his bat can play at the major league level. Power isn't the question, he blasted 26 bombs last year and led the IL in homeruns per at-bat, it's whether he can maintain a high enough average (or draw enough walks to maintain a decent OBP) to go along with the longballs. Well regarded defensively, he has nothing left to prove in triple-A. It would be a big surprise if he's not on the roster come opening day."

    Jan Ramirez, InsideTheDugout, has a look at the Florida system - Jeremy Hermida, Scott Olsen and Hanley Ramirez 1-2-3.  Some pretty fair talent down the list :

" ... 4 - Anibal Sanchez ... Had injury problems early in his career, which included surgery to relieve nerve problems in his throwing shoulder, he has since recovered and blossomed into one the best pitching prospects in baseball. Featuring a mid 90’s fastball with good movement and brilliant control. He also has a fantastic changeup and a curve that he is working on. Like many young pitchers he needs to continue maintaining consistent mechanics, to maintain control as well as avoid injury ... could be a very special pitcher down the line, a possible ace if he avoids serious injury and continues developing his secondary pitches."

" ... 7 - Chris Volstad ...  prototypical High school arm. With good size (6’7”), and good stuff that could easily translate to big league success. He has a fastball that sits in the low 90’s, but could increase as he puts weight on and develops into his body. Has two average offspeed offerings , a curveball and changeup that could develop into above average pitches if he finds more consistency."

" ... 10 - Mike Jacobs ...  will look to put up solid power numbers on an everyday basis in pitcher friendly Dolphins Stadium ...  solid power and run production ...  more of a .260-.270 hitter with legitimate 30+ homer power. Defensively he will be nothing more then average at 1st , as 2006 will be his 1st year playing the position full-time. Jacobs will never be a superstar but could have an adequate and productive major league career."

    Ah, the hype of spring training.

" ...  After getting a look at Jarrod Saltalamacchia in camp, Braves manager Bobby Cox said that the 20-year-old is the best-looking young hitter the organization has seen in many years ...  coming off a season in which he hit .314 with 19 homers for Class A Myrtle Beach. He's also showed steady improvement defensively, and he has an extremely strong arm. If Saltalamacchia continues his torrid play at Double-A Mississippi this year, he'll likely be ready for the Majors by the start of the 2007 season. The only question is where he will fit into the Atlanta lineup. With Brian McCann, who will be 23 years old at that point, likely capable of being the Braves' starting catcher for many more years, there's a chance that Saltalamacchia could move to one of the corner-infield positions."  (MLB.com)

    Wes Bankston TB on the move again, this time to the hot corner.

" ... Bankston, who missed the first month of last season while recovering from a torn meniscus in his left knee, has never played third base before. He was an outfielder in each of his first two seasons in the organization before switching to first base during 2004. But growing up in Texas he was a big fan of Rangers infielder Steve Buechele and says he always thought about playing third base. Now he has the chance. "I have to start learning the position and getting comfortable over there," said Bankston, who combined to hit .309 with 15 homers and 70 RBIs at both stops last year. "This should be fun, though. We'll wait and see what happens. I'll work on my throws, work on moving my feet more. We'll give it a few weeks and see how it goes. "I'm excited, though, because this is going to be a new challenge. It's one more position to play. Whether it's first base or third base, wherever they need me to play, that's where I'll play. I think it will be a new challenge."   (MLB.com)


27 February, 2006 

    Troop Movements ...  CHA - signed Bucky Jacobsen to a minor league contract ... BAL - signed Richard Hidalgo to a minor league contract ...

    Matthew Pouliot, RotoWorld.com, wraps his Top 10s with reviews on the NL West squads. A few of the players highlighted :

" ...  1. Justin Upton ...  Many view Justin as an even greater talent than his sibling. He’s incredibly fast, and he should hit for both average and 25-homer power. If he comes along defensively, he might be ready to play in the majors as soon as 2008. Where he’ll end up on the field remains a mystery. The Diamondbacks plan to develop him as a shortstop, but the popular opinion is that center field is where he’d best fit. He’ll open his pro career in the Midwest League."

" ... 9. Miguel Montero ...  Even more surprising than the sudden development of Carlos Gonzalez last season was the big offensive performance submitted by Montero, another player the Diamondbacks signed out of Venezuela. The team believes he has the defensive tools to start behind the plate in the majors, though he lacks a big-time arm. His bat will remain something of a question mark until he does it again, but as a left-handed hitter with the ability to reach 15 or 20 homers, there’s a good chance that he’ll be a regular for at least a few years."

" ... 2. Troy Tulowitzki  ...  Rockies think he’ll be able to stay at shortstop even though he’s not exceptionally quick, and they also believe he’ll develop 20-homer power. In Coors Field, he might be good for 25 or 28 homers per year. He still probably won’t be a particularly remarkable hitter, mainly due to average on-base skills, but he should have the bat to be a starter at second base if a switch becomes necessary. Like Stewart, he could be ready in the second half of 2007, though he probably won’t be rushed. The Rockies are content with Clint Barmes."

" ... 5. Chris Nelson ...  missed the first two months with a strained hamstring and then played terribly for several weeks after returning. While things did get better as the year went on, his stock is well down now. A priority this year will be cutting down on the strikeouts. Nelson has the tools to hit for average and power. He might not have the range to stay at shortstop, but he could be an above average defender at second base if that’s the direction in which the Rockies opt to go. It’d probably be for the best if he returned to the South Atlantic League to start this year."

" ... 3. Andy LaRoche  ...  breakthrough season for sure, but LaRoche is a year older than Joel Guzman and wasn’t any better than Guzman offensively after moving up to Double-A ...  does appear nearly certain to become a regular. He could hit 35 to 40 homers per year at his peak, and he’s on his way to becoming a pretty good defensive third baseman. On-base percentage could be a problem."

" ... 8. Scott Elbert ...  Beyond Billingsley, Elbert is the Dodgers’ next best hope to become an impact starter. The 17th overall pick in the 2004 draft used a low-90s fastball and a quality curve to limit hitters to a .200 average and a .289 slugging percentage in the South Atlantic League last season. If he makes gains with his command, he could end up splitting this year between Vero Beach and Jacksonville, putting him right where Billingsley was a year ago."

" ... 1. Cesar Carrillo  ...  could be a part of the Padres’ rotation by the middle of the summer. Carrillo has outstanding command of an above average arsenal. He can throw 95 mph, but he’s better when he takes something off his fastball and gets sinking action on the pitch. Both his curveball and his changeup are major league offerings, though neither is a true strikeout pitch. Petco Park will be ideal for him, given that he will allow quite a few balls in play. He’s one of the NL’s top pitching prospects for both real and fantasy baseball."

" ... 3. George Kottaras  ...   has a nice arm and the rest of the tools to be a successful catcher. With added experience, it’s unlikely that he’ll be a liability. Still, he’ll be known for his offense. Kottaras has a .392 OBP as a minor leaguer. Unfortunately, he’s too slow to be a quality top-of-the-order hitter, but he will settle in as a 15-homer guy, suggesting that he could handle batting fifth. He’ll probably split this year between Double- and Triple-A. It is possible that he won’t be ready until 2008."

" ... 2. Marcus Sanders  ...   probable leadoff hitter of the future. Sanders spent most of 2005 at shortstop, but second base, his position the previous season, figures to be his long-term home. An injury to his throwing shoulder that required offseason surgery likely caused the drop-off in power at Augusta. It’s possible that he’ll be good for 10 or 12 homers per year after he reaches the majors. Even if he isn’t, his basestealing ability could make him a top fantasy second baseman."

" ... 3. Eddy Martinez-Esteve ...   is going to be a major leaguer, but since he’s a natural designated hitter, he might not be a fit in San Francisco. Once he recovered from the shoulder surgery that limited him to DH duties for the first couple of months of last season, the Giants put him in left field and tried to groom him as the eventual replacement for Barry Bonds. They might also take a look at him at first base. Martinez-Esteve is only at home in the batter’s box. In addition to his 17 homers at San Jose last year, he had 44 doubles. He also walked more than he struck out. The Florida State product’s on-base skills may make him a No. 3 hitter in the majors. He probably won’t slug .500 with regularity, but the doubles will make up for modest home run titles. He might be just a year away from being ready to hit in the majors."

    John Sickels finds a couple of potential gems in his research into the SEA farm system.  Catcher Jeff Clement (Grade A-), OF-SS Adam Jones (B+) and SS Asdrubal Cabrera (B) rank 1-2-3. 

" ... Clement and Jones are the obvious top guys, but after that things become unclear. Chris Snelling is a very good hitter, but he's also good at getting hurt. I gave him a Grade C in the book, but will increase that to C+ ...  As for Kenji Johjima, your guess is as good as mine. He turns 30 this year and I don't really count him as a "prospect" given his experience in Japan."

In working on  the Cardinals' chart, a pitcher stands out at No. 1.  Anthony Reyes (B+) topped outfielders Colby Rasmus (B+) and Cody Haerther (B+). 

" ...  I'm very intrigued with the bat of catching prospect Bryan Anderson. He may have to switch positions, but his hitting should carry forward ...  I saw A.J. Van Slyke play a lot of college ball, and I think he will hit."

    Mariners' crowing over catching corps :

" ...   All of a sudden, the Mariners are awash in catchers. Japanese import Kenji Johjima will be the starter and Rene Rivera, 22, fits in as the backup. But last year's No. 1 draft pick, Jeff Clement, and Rob Johnson (fourth round, 2004) have caught Hargrove's eye. Clement has been showing off his monstrous left-handed swing during batting practice, hitting balls over the fence at a furious rate. Johnson doesn't have the same power, but he's hit a flurry of line drives. Both have shown that they might have the stuff defensively, too ...  In a year or two, one or more of them may have to move to another position. "That's way, way in the future, and those things have a way of taking care of themselves," Hargrove said. "But sure, in a couple of years I could see a lineup with Johjima and Clement in it at the same time. "   (Seattle Post-Intelligencer)

    LAD trying to keep Chad Billingsley down on the farm, but ...

" ...   when Little [Manager Grady Little] was asked Saturday whether the former first-round draft pick can make the rotation out of spring training, he didn't temper his enthusiasm. "It's hard to say no at this time," he said. A day earlier the manager expounded on Billingsley's qualities. "I don't think this guy is going to be a good pitcher; I think he's going to be a great pitcher," Little said, proceeding to list the reasons: "The body style. The look on his face when he's on the mound. The way he walks around in a major league clubhouse. And his stuff." The last starter the Dodgers rushed to the big leagues was Edwin Jackson, who struggled the last two years, became a walking, talking cautionary tale, and was traded in January. Little knows this too. But he can't help himself. "I wouldn't be surprised if Billingsley was a factor on this big league team in 2006," he said. "He's a guy we will be sure we make all the right decisions with. I want to make sure his upward progression stays upward."   (LA Times)

" ... Little said touted prospect Joel Guzman would be moved from shortstop after the intrasquad game and begin working out at first base, third base and the outfield."  (LA Times)

    SEA still with a surplus of shortstops, but Matt Tuiasosopo staying put for now.

" ...   four of Seattle's top prospects — Mike Morse, Adam Jones, Asdrubal Cabrera and Oswaldo Navarro — have shifted off shortstop ...  But Matt Tuiasosopo is still at shortstop and will stay there for the foreseeable future. "You have to be careful and walk a fine line," said Benny Looper, Seattle's vice president for player development. "There is no denying Betancourt's ability to field the position with the premier shortstops. But he has to hit a bit and he has to stay healthy, so you have to be careful when you go converting the guys behind him."  ...  Tuiasosopo, who is 6-2, 210, also has heard that those of smaller stature are more likely to succeed at shortstop than those with A-Rod frames. "I'm still there," Tuiasosopo said. "Hearing that I'll be moved from short some day, possibly because I'll get too big to play there, has just made me work harder to prove them wrong."   (Seattle Times)

    If he didn't have bad luck he'd have no luck at all :

" ... After watching injured third-round draft pick Taylor Teagarden shuffle around camp unable to participate in drills, manager Buck Showalter gave him a pep talk Friday afternoon. Teagarden has a stress fracture in his lower back and is recovering from "Tommy John" surgery. He may not play at all this season. Showalter told him to focus on getting something out of his time in major league camp instead of worrying about what's already happened. "It's tough," Showalter said Saturday. "He's been a doer all his life and now he's just a spectator."   (Dallas Morning News)

    A long shot for a 2006 rotation spot, but ...

" ... Starter Sean Burnett achieved a milestone of sorts by painlessly completing a long-toss session one day after he threw 70 pitches, including roughly 40 to live hitters. "They tell you that the most important thing in coming back from surgery is how you feel the first day after you pitch a lot," Burnett said. "I feel great." Burnett is recovering from two surgeries on his left arm and has had no setbacks. Still, the Pirates consider him a long shot to reclaim his spot in the rotation until June. "I'm very competitive, and I know there's an opening for the fifth spot," Burnett said. "That's my goal for right now. That's all I'm focused on. I'm not looking to get called up in June. I want to break camp with the team. If not, I'll go to Indianapolis, bust my butt and try to get back up here."   (Pittsburgh Post-Gazette)

    A good, first impression.

" ...  Daric Barton ...  is in the big-league camp this spring and has impressed the coaches with his live-drive swing and his athleticism. Barton was a catcher in the Cardinals system, but he had some arm problems last spring, and the A's are turning him into a first baseman. Infield coach Ron Washington says Barton is a quick learner with good mobility and soft hands. Barton, who doesn't turn 21 until August, is expected to start the season at Triple-A Sacramento."  (MLB.com)

" ... This Barton kid can play. We knew he could hit, but he can play some defense, too. He's gonna be ready to take someone's job pretty soon." -- Washington

    A bad break to start the season, but a solid career forecast for Chris Young ARZ :

" ...   Young broke a bone in his right hand in his next-to-last workout in Florida ...  had surgery to help promote the healing process and could be back on the field as early as March 15. That would put him on track for the start of the Minor League season, with Triple-A Tucson his destination. ...  Last year with Double-A Birmingham as a 21-year-old, he hit .277 with 41 doubles, 26 homers and 32 stolen bases in 38 attempts. Those numbers are even more impressive when you consider he was making the jump from low Class A and playing in a league that is more friendly to pitchers than hitters. More impressive was the fact that his plate discipline improved not just from 2004 to 2005, but also as the 2005 season progressed. "I was just more patient," he said. "I felt more comfortable, less anxious." "He's one of the best prospects in baseball," Byrnes [general manager Josh Byrnes] said. "He's got tools, he's got performance. He's a guy that can impact the game on the bases, hit a home run or save a game defensively. That's a hard package to find, so we obviously gave up a lot, but we feel like he was a very important part of that trade."    (MLB.com)
 

 
 

    

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