Rookies, 2001 (1)                                                                                          Rookies 2001 Page Two    

 

 
(Some of the prognosticators of the day -- PP&S  =  Prospects, P and Suspects; FB  = Fastball, BA = Baseball America; BBHQ = Shandler's Baseball Headquarters; BBW = Baseball Weekly; IFR - Iowa Farm Report; TSN = The Sporting News; MEMLR = Montreal Expos Minor League Reporter)


01 January, 2001

A new year ... same concerns about a couple of one-time super prospects -- Matt White and Bobby Seay of TB.  Jim Callis of Baseball America :

" ... Both of those guys have been disappointments after getting multimillion-dollar bonuses. They pitched OK in 2000, but still have some work to do in Triple-A. I could see them both reaching Tampa Bay in late 2001 or early 2002, but I don't think either will be an impact pitcher."

On Antonio Perez SEA :

" ... He led a high Class A in slugging percentage as a teenager. I'd say that was an explosion. The Hangar helped him, but he's a legit prospect. He won't make anyone forget about A-Rod, but he could become one of the game's better shortstops."

Juan Cruz CHN :

" ... Cruz is the best pitching prospect many people have never heard of. He has filthy stuff and was unhittable in the second half of 2000."

Danys Baez SP, CLE :

" ... struggled so much against big-league hitters in spring training that he began the year with Class A Kinston. A reliever in Cuba, the 23-year-old was slow to adapt to a starting role, going 2-2 with a 4.71 ERA over nine starts before being promoted to Akron. There he improved his arm strength and posted a 3.68 ERA in 18 starts. Overall he finished the season 6-11 with a 4.02 ERA and 133 strikeouts in 152 1/3 innings. The 6-4 Baez relies on a mid-90s fastball and a plus curveball."

The previous week, BBW took a look at the AL East.  Keith Reed OF BAL was among the prospects :

" ...outstanding power and great speed. His much-improved strike zone discipline has placed him on the fast track. The right-handed hitter finished second in the organization with 19 homers and 90 RBI this past season. Reed has polished up his stiff swing and now recognizes offspeed pitches. The lean, 6-4 outfielder has made strides in the field as well and shows a strong arm and great range."

And, Wily Mo Pena CF, NYA :

" ...  After Pena made a stellar pro debut, a knee injury cut short his 2000 season. Pena had a rough start at Class A Greensboro, hitting below .200 over the first two months and striking out in one-third of his plate appearances. The 6- 2, 215-pounder picked up the pace when he was sent down to Staten Island, hitting .301 until the injury. A natural center fielder, Pena has tremendous raw power, excellent arm strength, and average speed and range. He must learn the strike zone and cut down his swing to make more consistent contact."


02 January, 2001

Some additional reviews from the BBW series.  Ah, now you know why BAL gave up on Ryan Minor -- Tripper Johnson, 3B:

" ... 18-year-old Johnson, a supplemental first-round pick in the 2000 draft, was one of the top power-hitting high school prospects ... reached base by a hit or walk in his first 18 games in the Gulf Coast League ... strong, physical player who's worked hard to develop his upper body, the 6- 1, 195-pounder has decent bat speed with a slight uppercut ...  A tough, aggressive competitor, Johnson has the skills to play third base throughout his professional career."

BAL actually has a SP prospect too -- Richard Stahl :

" ... the 18th overall selection in the 1999 draft, went 5-6 with a 3.34 ERA in his first full pro season at Delmarva. The 6-7, 185-pounder lost his first two starts, but the 19-year-old followed that by pitching 17 consecutive scoreless innings, going 2-0 and yielding just four hits while striking out 23 ... has a loose, quick arm and projects a high upside with a fastball that tops out at 97 mph and a curveball he consistently throws for strikes."

 


04 January, 2001

TeamOne's David Rawnsley thinks KC has a "solid core" of young talent.  It's a hat trick for Chris George -- #1 on all three of the prospect lists to date.  Dee Brown has dipped to #3 on the KC list (Rawnsley's report reminds me of an 'ol country ball wail "get the suitcase momma they're startin' to throw the curve ball.")

" ... Based on my own observations, Brown has superior bat speed and has a sound hitting approach, especially in his willingness to drive the ball to left center field. If I were a pitcher the absolute last thing I would do is try to blow a fastball past Brown ...  But Brown is consistently tied up on breaking balls and looks honestly offended and confused when savvy AAA pitchers throw him 2-0/3-1 breaking balls. I think this is the all important adjustment he will have to make before he is able to take full advantage of his natural ability ... It's secondary, but I thought Brown had made significant improvement in left field between what his reputation on defense had been and what I saw in the field. He showed quickness in getting to balls (he's a solid average runner underway) and threw accurately."


06 January, 2001

Another Furcal?  BA finally hits the NL with a look at the prospects on ATL and 2000 trouble-maker Wilson Betemit is at the top of the list.  Bill Ballew's analysis :

" ... What’s not to like? Betemit is a 20-year-old switch-hitter who plays a premier position, has outstanding size and has produced every time he has taken the field. He has incredible range and soft, quick hands that make him an ideal candidate for shortstop or third base ...  has plus power that is expected to increase significantly as his body continues to mature. "


07 January, 2001

John SIckels, ESPN puts Jon Rauch atop the CHA prospect chart.  

" ... He's 6-11, throws 95 mph, throws strikes, and went 16-4 with an excellent K/BB ratio in 2000. Sounds like an awesome prospect to me."

Joe Borchard checks in at #5 " ... did well in limited action after signing, and could be as little as a year away. He could be similar to J.D. Drew, with less speed and more power."

Some quickies from James Bailey of BA.

Xavier Nady SD : " ... I could see Nady moving pretty darn quickly. In fact, I'll be surprised if he's not in the big leagues by the end of 2001. And there's no reason to think he can't handle an outfield corner, especially given what passes as a corner outfielder these days."


09 January, 200

And, what did KC get for Damon?  Angel Berroa?  The 6th ranked OAK prospect, according to BA.

" ... Berroa’s potential as a shortstop is still his calling card. He has tremendous range, an outstanding arm and an innate sense of how to catch the ball. He also has good pop for a middle infielder, can hit for average and runs well ...  has much to learn. He ranked third in the minors with 54 errors last season, most the result of overaggressiveness. He could use patience at the plate as well, as his inability to draw a walk stands out in an organization that emphasizes that skill."


11 January, 2001

Seems it wasn't that long ago when the MON prospect stable was among the elite of MLB.  Today's list in BA is a far cry from the golden days.  SP Donnie Bridges tops the list and analyst Michael Levesque isn't exactly overwhelmed :

" ...  Though he has the stuff to blow hitters away, his ability to throw with command and purpose to both sides of the plate may be more impressive ... made huge strides in the control department last year, but still needs to continue to improve the command of his changeup, which he has a habit of overthrowing at times. Like most young pitchers, he needs to be more consistent from start to start. Pitching more than 200 innings at age 21 isn’t the best way to prepare for a long career ... projects to be an innings eater at the front of a rotation."

Shorstop Brandon Phillips is the #2 pick :

" ... a high-ceiling middle infielder with a live, athletic body. He’s an above-average shortstop with soft hands, solid range, plus arm strength and superior lateral movement. He’s a line-drive hitter with plenty of bat speed. He projects to hit with above-average power for his position."


13 January, 2001

Matt White is back on the charts, at least on John Sickels' TB list at ESPN.  #5 among the TB prospects :

" ... Finally started to live up to the hype, finishing the year with 3-2, 2.83 mark in six Triple-A starts. Throws in the mid-90s, has a good curve, and showed more confidence last year."

Of course, the #1 is Josh Hamilton :

" ... If Oscar Charleston was the "black Ty Cobb," then Josh Hamilton is the "white Corey Patterson." Hamilton is fast, strong, and basically does everything on the field, except draw walks. If his strike zone judgment doesn't get out of hand, he will be a star."


22 January, 2001

In looking at the SF system, Jonathan Mayo has come up with a couple of underpublicized prospects :

Jerome Williams  " ... on the verge of busting out. Last year, he quietly dominated the Cal League as one of the circuit's youngest starters. The teen-age righty consistently peppers the catcher's mitt with mid-90 mph fastballs, but his offspeed/breaking offerings are surprisingly advanced for his age as well. He's still a couple years away from making an impact, but his ceiling is as high as they come."

 Lance Niekro  " ...  a potent bat. The former Cape Cod League MVP won the short-season Class-A Northwest League batting title last summer in his pro debut, hitting at a gaudy .362 clip. Given his bloodlines, the 22-year-old third baseman demonstrates a poised approach that belies his youth, which should help him ease into the upper levels of the chain."

Matthew Leach, in his ARZ review, shows great optimism in discussing John Patterson :

" ... shelved last year after undergoing Tommy John surgery. Expected to return to the form that helped him punch out more than 10 batters per nine innings over the course of his career, Patterson spent the entire season rehabilitating in the club's Tucson facility. When healthy, his fastball rated with the best, showing good life and mid-90s velocity with a power curveball."

Alex Cintron appears to be in line to take over at shortstop :

" ... emerged last year at the age of 21 in Double-A. The switch-hitting shortstop practices excellent bat control, fanning just 56 times in 522 at-bats. An aggressive offensive player, he rarely takes a pitch either, drawing just 29 walks. At 6-foot-2, 180 pounds, he is an athletic shortstop with the range and an arm for the position."


23 January, 2001

Over at MLB, there's a look at the OAK and SEA systems.

SEA's Willie Bloomquist doesn't have Encarnacion's tools, but he'll likely make the majors a lot sooner than the OAK OF :

" ... Less than a year after signing as a third-round pick, Bloomquist emerged as one of Lou Piniella's favorites in Spring Training ... went on to tear apart California League pitching to the tune of .379 before leapfrogging Double-A and spending the rest of his first full season in the Pacific Coast League. Even after getting overmatched in Triple-A (.225), Bloomquist has put himself in line for at least a utility job in the near future -- and possibly Seattle's second baseman of the future.

On the charts, with a bullet, Antonio Perez :

" ... blossomed in the Class A California League during his first year in the Mariners' system. He didn't turn 19 until late in the summer, but that didn't stop him from ripping a career-best 36 doubles and 17 bombs -- and neither did an injury that limited him to just 395 at bats. He had shown some flashes of brilliance in 1999 for the Reds, but he's now on the verge of breaking into an elite class of prospects. A dynamic player, Perez is on the fast track to filling the void left by Alex Rodriguez' departure.

Chris Snelling :

" ... as an 18-year-old, the 5-foot-10, 165-pounder batted .305 in the Midwest League. He's a spark plug-type center fielder with an aptitude for getting on base. He hasn't had the bat knocked out of his hands despite his youth, and he actually generates promising power to the alleys.


25 January, 2001

Pitching prospect Bobby Bradley is #1 in PIT according to John SIckels at ESPN:

" ... Posted awesome 118/21 K/BB ratio, but limited to 83 innings by elbow injury. 95-mph fastball, excellent curve, and great control make him a top prospect if healthy.

Catcher JR House is #2, with a warning :

" ... Superb bat speed and adequate strike zone judgment make him offensive force. Still a risk he will play college football, however."

PIT's 1st round pick, Sean Burnett,  looks to move quickly. Already he's the #3 prospect:

" ... is a very polished left-handed pitcher who should move through the system much faster than most high school products. His fastball is a tick above average, but his breaking stuff and changeup are very good, and he knows what he is doing."

Over at MLB, Josh Boyd can barely contain his enthusiasm over MIL's Ben Sheets:

" ... Sheets deals a filthy arsenal that features a low-to-mid 90s fastball, hard-breaking 12-to-6 curveball and changeup. The confident right-hander is considered a future ace after striking out 119 between Double-A and Triple-A last year."

Now, how about Nick Neugebauer ?

" ... Armed with an intimidating power repertoire, the righty's bulldog mentality compliments the mix perfectly. Despite Neugebauer's command woes, the Brewers have taken an aggressive approach with him. He reached Double-A before his 20th birthday. His slider can be untouchable at times, too, and he was leading all Class-A pitchers with a 13.62 K/9 IP ratio, while surrendering only five hits per nine before his promotion. Once he learns to harness his unearthly raw stuff, he has the potential to dominate as a closer or at the front of a rotation."

On the Cubbies, Josh Sipkin has Juan Cruz on the list :

" ... Cruz's prospect star began to shine brightly only last season, but the Cubs feel the fireballing right-hander can rise to the cream of the crop as he develops ...  He bulked up his lively mid-90s fastball, sharpened his breaking stuff and is now being compared to Pedro Martinez after permitting only 105 hits in 140 1/3 innings at two Class-A stops. His command and offspeed offerings still need further refining before joining the elite class of pitching prospects -- two things he'll get to work on this year in the Florida State League."


27 January, 2001

John Sickels, ESPN, tackles the PHI prospect list, which means a word about Jimmy Rollins, #1 :

" ... Fast, athletic, makes contact, good with the glove. Hit .274 with 11 triples, 12 homers, 49 walks, 24 steals in Triple-A at age 21. Will not dominate, but a good steady player."

And, for curious Eric Valent owners, he's PHI's # 3 prospect :

" ... Hit 22 homers, drew 70 walks in Double-A at age 23. A bit streaky, but solid power and discipline. Should be ready in '02."

Sickels has a warning on #2 guy, Brett Myers :

" ... 13-7, 3.18, 140 K in 175 IP in the Sally League, at age 19. Hits 93 mph, has a great curve. Word of Caution: his workload was very heavy last year."

And, Chase Utley :

" ...  an advanced college player. He is a pure hitter, but many teams questioned his defense; he draws comparisons to Rockies second baseman Todd Walker with both bat and glove. Utley should move fast, and if his glove is OK, he will challenge Marlon Anderson within two years."


29 January, 2001

Trying to pick some gems from the BBW NL West review.  Long-term possibility at SS?  Alex Cintron ARZ :

" ... 22-year-old placed ninth in the Texas League with a .301 average and fourth with 157 hits. He hit just four home runs but added 30 doubles ...  the league's toughest batter to strike out last season ...  At 6- 2, 180 pounds, Cintron has the range, arm strength and hands to play shortstop. However, his 32 errors were the second-most by any Texas Leaguer at that position last season."

Jody Gerut COL looks promising, but don't expect a lot of power :

" ...  23-year-old ... ranked third in the Southern League with 76 walks and a .405 on-base percentage. Gerut had 11 homers in 1999 but just three last season. Some of his power was sapped from a season-long case of patellar tendinitis in his right knee ...   had surgery in the offseason to correct the problem. Gerut has an excellent understanding of the strike zone, collecting more walks (137) than strikeouts (119) in his first two seasons. Gerut has impressed the organization with his intelligence and ability to make adjustments quickly. In the outfield, the 6-0 190-pounder has a solid arm, good range and has made just 11 errors in his first 242 games."

Plus, a SP who stands a chance to make the SF rotation this spring, Kurt Ainsworth :

" ... 22-year-old went 10-9 with a 3.30 ERA for Double-A Shreveport this past season ...  placed fourth in the league in opponent batting average (.233) and third in strikeouts (130). The 6-4, 185-pounder throws his fastball in the mid-90s, has an excellent slider and a projectable changeup. The fiery Ainsworth has a free and easy motion and an advanced feel for pitching. He dominated international batters in the Olympics to cap his season."


30 January, 2001

MLB's Josh Boyd has the KC system on tap.  Again, Chris George looks like the best of the bunch :

" ...  has emerged as the top pitching prospect in a system littered with promising arms ...  has been a model of consistency since coming out of the Texas prep ranks. George didn't turn 21 until after last season, by which time he already had eight Triple-A starts under his belt. Comparisons to Tom Glavine aside, George mixes a low-90s fastball with an outstanding changeup, slider and curveball. He has the stuff and makeup to get to the front of the rotation with a few more years of experience under his belt. He may get his first taste this year, but remember not even Glavine adjusted over night."

Also gaining mention is Angel Berroa, the shortstop KC obtained in the Damon trade:

" ... immediately becomes the top young shortstop in the organization. As a teenager in the advanced Class-A California League, he exhibited exciting all-around potential, as Miguel Tejada and Jose Ortiz had done before him. The Dominican native is rough around the edges, and still a few years down the road from making an impact."


02 February, 2001

Josh Boyd, at MLB,  Adam Johnson in MIN this year? :

" ... firmly established himself as a fast-tracker after the Twins used the second-overall pick in last June's draft on him. The Cal State Fullerton All-American showcased a better-than-advertised arsenal in fanning 92 in 69 innings during his pro debut in the advanced Class-A Florida State League. Overmatched FSL opponents were only able to manage a .186 average against his powerful array of stuff that is made up of a low-to-mid-90s heater, sharp slider and change. Johnson ended his season by compiling 22.2 consecutive scoreless innings and three times the righthander struck out 12 or more in a start. On the heels of his overwhelming debut performance, Johnson could skyrocket up the ladder to the Twin Cities by the end of the 2001 season."


05 February, 2001

Looking to fill a specific position?  From the Spring Training 100, here are the top three by position:

C -- House J.R., Christianson Ryan, Inge Brandon

1B -- Pena Carlos, Johnson Nick, Choi HeeSeop

2B -- Ortiz Jose, Giles Marcus, Ginter Keith

3B -- Burroughs Sean, Crede Joe, Pujols Albert

SS -- Soriano Alfonso, Perez Antonio, Lopez Felipe

OF -- Hamilton Josh, Patterson Corey, Suzuki Ichiro

SP -- Sheets Ben, Anderson Ryan, Smith Bud


08 February, 2001

TeamOne is back, with the Expos on tap.  Some interesting people here, as they are more likely to be available (hidden as the Expos are, from any intense media coverage).  David Rawnsley suggests that SP Donnie Bridges is a " thoroughbred on the way and might even get a September call-up. The Expos feel he can be their ace or #2 pitcher before long."

" ...  a strong, physically mature pitchers with a full array of quality pitches. He throws a low 90's fastball, good power curveball and change up. Probably the most impressive thing about Bridges, though, is his combination of pitchability and durability ... Overall, Bridges threw 201 innings, an average of close to 7 innings per start ... "Bulldog" isn't a term used for pitchers much anymore, but Bridges might be a candidate."

Anup Sinha provides a look at SS Brandon Phillips :

" ... All his actions are leathery smooth and his hands are both quick and soft. Phillips has almost average MLB shortstop arm-strength right now, he just needs to hit his target better. He has shown the ability to throw off-balance and finish off the most difficult plays. Though the defensive skills are the most attractive part of his package, Phillips has potential with the bat as well. He struggled with contact in his second year as a pro (97 Ks to 38 BBs, .242-11-72), but hit for a lot more pop ...   has some line-drive power already. Phillips runs very well and should steal 25-30 a year  ... plays the game with a flair and joy that is contagious. The Expos plan to move him up to high single-A Jupiter and allow him to smoothen out. But they see a potential all-star shortstop if he continues to develop." 


10 February, 2001

Tom Haudricourt, at BA, has a couple of potential aces to choose from as he reviews the MIL system.  Ben Sheets, of course, tops the list with Nick Neugebauer at #2 :

" ... Simply put, a blazing fastball. When he rears back, Neugebauer can approach 100 mph ...  has a nasty slider that makes him nearly unhittable when he gets it over the plate. Neugebauer continues to work on a changeup ... has overcome the wildness by allowing few hits and striking out hitters. He has worked hard on his mechanics and release point and must continue to do so. Control is all that’s holding him back."

#3 on the BA chart is OF David Krynzel :

" ...  Speed is Krynzel’s calling card, but he also is a good defensive player who has all of the tools except power. As he fills out, the Brewers believe he’ll develop more pop at the plate ...  needs to develop more strength, but he has the frame to do so. He’ll need to make more consistent contact to be an effective leadoff man ...  Though Krynzel missed the second half of the Rookie-level Pioneer League season with a thumb injury, managers named him the circuit’s No. 1 prospect."


13 February, 2001

Can you afford to miss out on the next Piazza?  BA's John Perrotto in his PIT review takes a shine to JR House :

" ...  outstanding hitter, House has been called a young Mike Piazza by some for his ability to hit for both average and power as a catcher ...  catching skills are still raw but he showed improvement in all areas last season. House’s arm is considered just average, though his accuracy was better in 2000 ...  unlikely he ever will be a Gold Glove catcher. With Jason Kendall signed through 2007 and holding a no-trade clause, House’s future probably doesn’t lie behind the plate with the Pirates. He has played first base, and the Pirates might try him at third base or one of the corner outfield spots."

Behind House on the PIT rookie chart is SP Bobby Bradley :

" ... has extraordinary control, shown by his 149-25 strikeout-walk ratio in 114 pro innings ...  two nasty curveballs thrown from different arm angles ...  doesn’t light up radar guns but his fastball has good life ...  elbow problems are cause for at least mild concern ... While Bradley has adapted quickly to pro ball, the Pirates will try to avoid rushing him. Yet he could be in the majors by the 2002 season and have the chance to be a top-of-the-rotation starter."


17 February, 2001

Adam Katz at MLBtalk has some gems in reviewing the PIT and KC systems :

Mike MacDougal  " ... one of hardest throwers in baseball, consistently hitting the high-90s with his heater, and he also features an above-average slider and change. His one problem is his shaky command ...  If he can improve his control, he could be a top-of-the-rotation starter."

Jimmy Gobble  " ... underrated lefty had a 3.66 ERA at low-A as a teenager with just 34 walks in 145 innings, which is very impressive. Very similar to George in that he throws in the low-90s with good control and has a good change-up." 

J.R. House  " ...  No one expected him to have a season like he did in 2000, though, when he was the South Atlantic League MVP despite missing a month. He hit .348 with 23 homers, 90 RBI and a 1.000 OPS and could probably make the jump to Double-A. He'll be moved to first base eventually, but House likes it at catcher and much to the Pirates' dismay, he's been talking with West Virginia about a college football career."

Bobby Bradley " ... One of my favorite prospects and one of the best in the game (I ranked him as the #9 prospect overall), Bradley had his season cut in half by an injury, but it was quite a half. He struck out 118 and walked just 21 in 82.2 innings at age 19, dominating the league with a low-90s fastball, perhaps the best curveball in the minors and a solid change-up to go with awesome control ...  He's got the stuff to be an ace, and I'm confident that he'll be an All-Star by age 24."


20 February, 2001

Yet another shortstop on the horizon.  BA's Mark Gonzales selects Alex Cintron for the top of the Arizona prospect chart.  

" ... a capable switch-hitter who has batted better than .300 in each of the past two seasons and was among the batting leaders in Puerto Rico this winter. He’s tall for a shortstop, yet possesses exceptional range at a demanding position. Durability isn’t a question, as he has played a total 253 games over the past two seasons. He also has a tremendous desire to learn and improve ...  no masking Cintron’s 32 errors last summer ...  comparisons to Nomar Garciaparra and Derek Jeter are premature because Cintron has hit just 10 professional homers in four years ... on-base percentages have been mediocre because he rarely walks."


21 February, 2001

TeamOne has completed its team-by-team prospect reviews, with the SF posting. I hope it's not too long before they update their Top 100.

Kurt Ainsworth is David Rawnsley's top pick of the SF prospects. But, a year in AAA might be in his future :

" ... has been pure fast track. He pitched in the Cal League playoffs his first summer, then moved straight to AA ... and onto the Olympic team ...  pitches in the low 90's with his fastball and throws an above average slider and change up. He has a very mature approach to pitching, despite his relative lack of experience, and just has to fine tune his command of the strike zone to become a successful big league pitcher. With the Giants all of a sudden experiencing a glut of big league starting pitching, San Francisco may be able to pull Ainsworth off the fast track for a full year of AAA seasoning."

Third baseman Tony Torcato, the #3 pick behind teenager Jerome Williams, gets a very positive review :

" ... He has hit since his debut in rookie ball and was among the leaders in multiple offensive categories in the California League ...  as a 20 year old ...  continued to hit during a late season promotion to AA. Giants officials say that Torcato has a sweet a swing as any young player they have ever seen. Ironically, in the comparison to Burroughs, the only thing that Torcato hasn't done offensively is show over the fence power. But like Burroughs, Torcato has demonstrated plenty of doubles power that should blossom as he gets older and stronger, plus Torcato has the advanced plate discipline and ability to make selective contact that is also usually a precursor to power potential in a young hitter."


22 February, 2001

It's Tracy Ringolsby of BA with the COL prospect report, which places a pitcher at the top of the chart.  Chin-Hui Tsao gets the nod as #1 in COL :

" ... a legitimate power pitcher...  a fastball that is consistently in the 93-94 mph range, a hard slider, curveball and a changeup. His fastball, slider and curve already are quality big league pitches. The fastball has good sinking action and he’ll pitch inside. And he does throw strikes. He walked only 40 batters, although hitting five, in 145 innings ... has the ability to be a quality No. 1 starter in the big leagues. He could be pushed to Double-A Carolina in 2001 but more likely will go to high Class A Salem."

Down at the #8 spot, another potential star, Shawn Chacon :

" ... power-pitcher potential. He has a solid 94 mph fastball and hard slider, which have allowed him to consistently rack up strikeouts. He’s a tough competitor who doesn’t back down to hitters ... Whether Chacon winds up a starter or reliever will depend on how well he develops a changeup. Right now it’s a raw pitch, though he does throw it with decent action. He needs to get on the mound and get experience after pitching just 128 innings combined in 1998-99. "


04 March, 2001

BA's chat room with Jim Callis produced a few nuggets ....

Jody Gerut " ... never projected as much of a power hitter. I think he's more of a 15-homer guy, even in Coors Field, and he doesn't have the tools to play a quality center field."

Bobby Hill " ... I think Bobby Hill very well could be their leadoff man and second baseman in 2002."

Kevin Mench " ... I think Mench could be ready at some point in 2002 and I like him a lot. Then again, Greer is a very productive left fielder. I guess Tom Hicks has so much money that it doesn't really matter. If Mench is better than Greer, they'll just jettison Greer."

Ben Diggins " ... I don't think he's really close ...  has tremendous stuff. My guess is you'll see him in Dodger Stadium after the all-star break in 2003."

Mark Buehrle " ... I think he's the most major league-ready of their young pitchers and could be effective as a starter if used in that role. Don't be surprised if that happens sometime this year."

Mike MacDougal " ... Combine velocity with life, and MacDougal might have the filthiest fastball in the minors. He just needs to harness his stuff to throw it for strikes."

Jon Rauch " ... I think he'll do more for the Sox in the majors this year than either Garland or Wells will .... He has a great potential to dominate."


09 March, 2001

John Manuel of BA offered a few tidbits in BA's chat room :

2001 draft, MarkTeixeira/Mark Prior  " ... This is just me, but Teixeira would definitely rank in my Top 5. I think he's Sean Burrough's near equal as a hitter and he's got a lot more power, both now and in the future, plus he switch-hits. If he can play third base, and everyone says he can, he's a better prospect. Prior probably compares pretty favorably to Ben Sheets and would be in my Top 10 as well, though he doesn't have Sheets' Olympic experience. Sheets was our No. 5, I think Prior's upside is higher but he's maybe a year away from being a big leaguer."

Rating, Zito, Prior, Adam Johnson " ... . I'd go Prior, Zito, then Johnson. Zito's quite polished, but I don't think anyone thinks of him as a No. 1 starter. Of course, he's been undersold all his life, so I'm probably wrong, but Prior looks, talks, pitches and acts like a No. 1 starter. Johnson has some makeup questions that make me rank him third here, though his stuff is nasty."

Ed Rogers BAL over-rated?  " ... Yes."

Joe Borchard  " ... always been a big Joe Borchard fan. I think he's a switch-hitting prototypical right fielder, and the White Sox agree and also think he can play center field. If he can play CF, he's basically a switch-hitting Larry Walker in center field, and to me, that's pretty freaking good. I think he'll be a .300 hitter with 25-35 HRs, and he's got a big arm. In other words, yeah, I think Borchard's a top 10 guy."

John Sickels, ESPN, on Vernon Wells :

" ... The most frequent comparison for Wells is a young Ron Gant. Wells struggled in Triple-A in 2000, but he's still just 22. I'm quite confident that he will emerge as a very good player, and probably a star. The Blue Jays seem to agree. They call him a Five Tool player. I prefer the term Seven Skills, but to each his own methodology."

Peter Gammons, ESPN, on Wilson Betemit :

" ... If you want to see the future, go check out Atlanta's 20-year-old, switch-hitting shortstop Wilson Betemit. "He's going to be a career No. 3 hitter," says Merv Rettenmund. "He wouldn't embarrass himself in the big leagues right now." Betemit batted .331 in the New York-Penn League last summer, but is now up to 175 pounds on his 6-2 frame and has the bat, the hands and the arm of a star. Problem is, there's already a 20-year-old star shortstop in Atlanta named Rafael Furcal. Nice problem to have."


13 March, 2001

Some notes from the trenches ... TeamOne's Anup Sinha on Felipe Lopez :

" ... I was able to see Lopez play against the Tampa Bay Devil Rays "B" club ... and his defense was as acrobatic as ever. Though he's generously listed at 6-1, 175, he is not nearly as physical as Gonzalez at 6-0, 200, but has the same kind of gold glove-caliber balance, agility, and arm-strength. More revealing of his potential is that from both sides of the plate, Lopez has very short and tension-free swings. He skipped high single-A to play for double-A Tennessee last summer, hitting a less than spectacular .257-9-41, with 110 strikeouts. His hitting actions promise more to come, and I could compare him to, say, a young Damion Easley at the plate; short swing, solid contact, but more of a singles hitter for now. ...  Easley had a short, smooth swing the whole way through, but just got a lot stronger and learned to turn on the ball as he matured. Lopez, of course, has even better defensive tools and will not be moved to second without extenuating circumstances." 

Josh Hamilton Low-A to the majors ?

" ... One veteran scout I spoke to stressed to me that Hamilton was a special talent whom he thought would be uniquely capable of such a jump. Should the Rays not take him to Tropicana, Hamilton would likely play for double-A Orlando, potentially highlighting an all-prospect outfield including Kenny Kelly and Carl Crawford. For Hamilton, and Crawford for that matter, this would be a move akin to the Cubs skipping high single-A with super-prospect outfielder Corey Patterson last year. That is a lot to ask on its own, and though Patterson's prospectus has hardly dimmed, he had his share of struggles adjusting to double-A pitching last summer."


18 March, 2001

James Bailey in the BA chat room ...

Juan Cruz  " ...  I'd expect Cruz sometime in 2002. He's been compared to Pedro Martinez, but that's not really fair to Cruz, because that sets the bar awful high. The Cubs see him as a potential staff ace, though."

Bobby Hill  " ... I'd expect Hill in Wrigley by next year at the latest. There's not a lot in his way right now. Eric Young had a nice year last year, but he's getting up there in age. And shortstop has been a bit of a black hole there lately."

Jon Rauch/CC Sabathia  " ... . I like Rauch a little better than Sabathia, but I'd be happy with either one of them. I think they avoid the Ankiel hype because they're not quite in his class and he had the spotlight on him from the start last year. Rauch and Sabathia probably could both benefit by more time in the minors and if they slip in in the middle of the year they can do so a little more quietly than if they break camp with the big team."

Kurt Ainsworth  " ... Ainsworth isn't far away and I don't think San Francisco will keep him in the minors once he's ready to contribute. He's been passed in the system ceiling-wise by Jerome Williams and eventually those two should stack up as the Nos. 1-2 starters in that rotation, if they stay healthy."

Wily Mo Pena  " ... is only 19, so he's got time to improve, but he has no concept of the strike zone right now. He's hitting in the minor leagues like Rivera did in the majors. It's fun to see a young kid with his kind of tools, but if he doesn't start turning them into results this year I think you can forecast a Rivera-like big league career for him."

Antonio Perez  " .... Perez is a year away, and no one is a sure thing when they haven't hit Double-A yet. He's got a lot of talent, though, and there's no reason to expect him to fail other than the fact that not every hot prospect fulfills his potential."

Kevin Mench   " ... Mench should be ready late this year. Of course, there doesn't appear to be an opening for him at this point. Still, things change unexpectedly. With an injury to an outfielder or either Rafael Palmeiro or Andres Galarraga, a spot opens up. And considering the Rangers dearth of pitching, if they can't fit Mench into their lineup, they might use him to acquire a pitcher."


03 April, 2001

TeamOne's Anup Sinha is providing some updated views of minor league prospects, including BAL's Richard Stahl:

" ... The scary thing about Stahl is that he really doesn't seem to be using his leverage advantages, yet, and there is probably a lot more velocity to come from him. Stahl spins off the rubber and doesn't have the super-synchronized lower body action to maximize his throwing. These are things the Orioles pitching coaches will be working on. There might be a consistent 95 MPH arm in there."

And Dane Sardinha CIN : " ... looked very impressive defensively. He seems to have lost some weight from the fall and can really charge out of his crouch and throw down to second. The question that the Reds have is if he will hit. Sardinha has a decent swing-path, but isn't real loose and doesn't show a lot of bat-speed. But there is definitely a potential to improve. He was playing with their high Single-A Mudville club on Monday, leading me to believe that as where he will go to start 2001."

PIT's dynamic duo, Bobby Bradley and JR House, look to start the season in AA:

Bradley : " ... is exceptionally polished for a 20 year-old to the point that I think he could get to the majors on very average stuff. The fact that he has one of the best curveballs in the game and a change-up that is not far away makes him that much more impressive. Bradley isn't a pure power pitcher, but throws with about average velocity (89-91 MPH) and can get lively two-seam running-and-sinking action on his fastball.

I honestly believe that Bradley could pitch in the big leagues right now. I don't think the Pirates should rush him, but I think if he had to, he could be in their rotation and win games today. Bradley has a chance to be very special."

House : " ... it's hard not to like his bat, but I'm not nearly as certain that he is a future major league starter as a lot of scouts are. He will hit, but I don't know that he'll be a major league middle-of-the-order guy. I see him as a line-drive hitter who'll lose balls on occasion, but don't see the type of raw power, bat-speed, or extension that his single-A numbers might imply. At least not yet, maybe he'll convince me in 2001 or 2002."


04 April, 2001

Planning ahead for the June/July supplemental?  Mark Prior could be your guy.  At BA, Tracy Ringolsby suggests Prior could be one of the best ever pitchers to come out of the draft.  He's now a junior at USC and should be either the #1 or #2 pick this June.  

" ... The question isn’t whether Prior’s the best pitcher in college this year, but is he the best ever? He’s as smooth as Floyd Bannister and has big league stuff right now ... could step into a big league rotation as a No. 3 or 4 starter immediately, with the ability to become a top-of-the-rotation guy before long."


21 April, 2001

BA's Will Lingo in the chat room .... Juan Cruz CHN the best pitching prospect"

" ... with the start Cruz is off to (something like 28 strikeouts in 17 Double-A innings) your argument is getting stronger. With the players ahead of him either graduating to the majors or getting hurt, you might just be right."

Justin Morneau MIN " ... I do think he can be an impact hitter in the big leagues. The thing that's probably helping him the most is finally giving up on catching. He will be much better as a first baseman and could move quickly through the system."

Beau Hale BAL " ... He was No. 6 in the Orioles' top 10 without throwing a professional pitch, so we definitely liked him. He could be No. 1 by next year. What's better than his stuff is his makeup and durability. But keep an eye on his workload. He had some high pitch counts in college, so you have to watch out for arm problems."

Antonio Perez SEA " ... came to spring training a little out of shape and had a hairline fracture in his wrist. He's expected to join Double-A San Antonio soon after a rehab stint in extended spring training."


28 April, 2001

Gary Reed at About.com already has a Top 20 for the FSL.  More "unknowns" to pick from.

Ryan Madson SP PHI is the #1  " ... As a 19-year-old in the SAL--his first full season as a pro--Ryan Madson racked up 123 Ks in 135.2 innings, allowing just 113 hits.  At Piedmont in 2000, Madson improved upon his BB/K ratio tremendously from the year earlier at short-season Batavia."

Hank Blalock 3B TEX is #3  " ... Despite turning 20 last November, Blalock has already drawn favorable comparisons to George Brett.  As a 19-year-old in the Sally League, Blalock posted an .801 OPS and led Savannah in on-base percentage AND slugging, and was tied for the Sand Gnats' team lead in stolen bases (31). "

Gary also has an in-depth look at SEA C Ryan Christianson and has posted his first two weekly minor league reviews.

TSN's review of catchers ... Dane Sardinha CIN " ... One Reds front office veteran was in a spring meeting during which the defensive skills of catcher Dane Sardinha were being analyzed. At one point, he looked at Hall of Famer Johnny Bench and said, "Does that remind you of anybody?" The 6-0, 215-pound Sardinha, 22, is considered to be advanced enough defensively to already be playing in the majors if they used designated catchers. Breaking balls regularly find the holes in his swing, and Cincinnati almost expects him to be overmatched this season in the high-Class A California League"


29 April, 2001

Just in case you've missed the hype on the young Canadian who's been tearing up the minors ... he's on TSN's latest insert -- AL first baseman.

Justin Morneau " ... a 6-4, 205-pound power-hitting lefthanded batter. He batted .402 with 10 homers and 58 RBIs in 52 games in 2000 for the half-season Gulf Coast Twins. In his first 16 games this season at Class A Quad City, Morneau is batting .426 with six doubles, four homers and 22 RBIs. He has struck out only seven times in 61 at bats. Morneau will continue to catch some when his elbow is healthy enough, but he's likely to make it to the majors as a first baseman who has the ability to be a No. 3 catcher ... won't turn 20 until May 15. He could be playing in the majors before he reaches his 23rd birthday."


30 April, 2001

Gary Reed, About.com, on Dennis Tankersley :

" ... Saw Tankersley for the first time tonight, against a potent Mudville offense (Ben Broussard, Dane Sardinha, Josh Spoerl and Rainier Olmedo lead the charge for the Nine). Tankersley began today as the Cal League leader with a 0.40 ERA. Throwing 6 1/3rd innings of scoreless ball, Tankersley lowered that ERA down to 0.31. In 28 2/3rds innings this year, Tankersley has allowed just one earned run. Proving he is indeed human, he allowed three walks tonight--in his previous 22 1/3rd innings in 2001, he had yet to surrender a base-on-balls. Tankersley allowed 3 hits, while striking out 7, and picked up the win to improve his record to 3-1. Cal League batters are hitting .175 against him so far in 2001."


05 May, 2001

TSN has moved on, in their prospects by position series, to AL "power pitchers".  Among those mentioned, Adam Johnson MIN " ... Twins officials prefer to look past the righthander's 0-4 record and 4.82 ERA at Class AA New Britain. These are the numbers that matter most to the Twins: nine walks and 41 strikeouts in 37 1/3 innings ...  The 6-2, 210-pounder relies on a fastball that hits 93 mph and also throws a curveball, slider and changeup. Johnson relies on his fastball to set up his other pitches, but needs to gain more command of his off-speed stuff to advance to the majors."

And, Jovanny Cedeno TEX " ... Cedeno began the year with a 26-6 record and 2.22 ERA in four professional seasons. But like many power prospects, health is a concern. He missed the last bit of spring training with a viral infection in his lungs and was brought along slowly after that. When he did appear for Class A Charlotte, he was dominant, but he developed shoulder tightness after just three appearances. The Rangers brought him all the way to Dallas to be examined by team orthopedist Dr. John Conway. The diagnosis was a strained labrum, which did not require surgery. The Rangers are optimistic Cedeno will be back on the mound by the end of the month."


09 May, 2001

TSN's latest minor league installment has their picks as the top power pitchers in the NL.  A few unfamiliar names too.  How about:

" ... The Giants are absolutely giddy about a 17-year-old find from the Dominican Republic named Francisco Liriano, whom they signed when he was 16. Liriano is a 6-2 lefthander who can throw 98 mph. Unfortunately, at his young age, he throws hard in every possible direction. He is many years away from reaching the majors and in fact hasn't been introduced into the farm system yet."


17 May, 2001

TSN has its preview of the top 2B prospects in the NL.  It's not a deep crop.  Chase Utley PHI is one of the premium players:

" ... Utley is considered a top offensive prospect at a position that has become increasingly oriented toward run production. A lefthanded batter, he has prototypical pull power that should emerge even more as he develops physically ...  opened the 2001 season at Class A Clearwater, where he is hitting .273 and ranks among the Florida State League leaders in home runs (6) and RBIs (22). He needs to work on his judgment of the strike zone -- he has 26 strikeouts in 139 at-bats and only nine walks. He is 7-for-10 on stolen base attempts. Utley is a fast-track player who could be major-league ready by 2003 if he develops defensively."


09 June, 2001

John Sickels, ESPN on the top two picks in the draft:

" ...  Joe Mauer ...  is an excellent athlete with a strong arm, but also has plus power from the left side and is very polished for a high school hitter from a northern cold-weather state ...  Historically, high school catching is quite risky; prep backstops drafted in the first round have failure rates even higher than high school pitchers. Mauer may be an exception, or at least the Twins hope so. He makes superb contact to go with his power, a good sign for the future."

" ...  Mark Prior ... may be the best college pitcher in history. He throws very hard, but also knows how to change speeds and attack hitters, both inside and on the corners. He has the intellect, polish, and overall stuff to step right into a major-league rotation according to many scouts. His numbers at USC are ridiculous: 14-1, 1.50 ERA, 189/17 K/BB ratio in 132 innings ... If Prior stays healthy, it's hard to see how he will fail. His mechanics are clean and he keeps himself in top physical condition, so the odds are in his favor."

TSN on KC's Colt Griffin :

" ...  has only pitched one season for Marshall (Texas) High, but he shot the lights out of scouts' radar guns with fastballs that reached 100 mph. The Royals made him the ninth pick of the draft and general manager Allard Baird says he can become a legitimate No. 1 starter. Griffin, 18, also throws a slider, changeup and a marginal curveball. He had an 8-2 record and one save with a 1.64 ERA in 12 games. As might be expected, his strikeout total was high -- 123 in 66 innings, an average of 16.8 strikeouts per nine innings, and allowed just 22 hits with 43 walks. Director of scouting Deric Ladnier says Griffin is the hardest-throwing high school pitcher he's ever seen."


30 June, 2001

And, some notes on MIN phenom Canadian Justin Morneau from The News-Press (Glenn Miller) :

" ... Fort Myers Miracle manager Jose Marzan couldn’t suppress a grin. He was talking about his new first baseman, Justin Morneau, and the grin seemed a permanent part of his expression. 

“Justin Morneau hits the ball like a man,” Marzan said. “I think that pretty much sums him up.” 

In his brief career, Morneau has indeed hit. Several weeks after turning 18 in 1999, Morneau began his career in the Gulf Coast League and hit .302 in 17 games. He played 52 games in the GCL last year and hit .402 with 10 homers and 58 RBI. 

He started this year with the Quad City River Bandits of the Midwest League. He left there with a league-leading .356 average and .597 slugging percentage. He also hit 12 homers in 64 games. No Miracle player has more than four homers. 

In his first seven games in the Florida State League, Morneau is hitting .385. “Some of the things he does you marvel at,” Miracle hitting instructor Ricardo Ingram said.

Morneau is a 6-foot-4, 205-pound native of British Columbia and a third-round pick of the Minnesota Twins in the 1999 draft ... While Marzan and Ingram are talkative about their new first baseman, Morneau isn’t as voluble. Before a game earlier this week, he chatted but seemed shy talking about himself ...  Marzan and Ingram expect Morneau to be a power hitter. “He’s got some big-time power,” Ingram said. “He has major-league power. It’s just a matter of him learning.” ...  “This kid is some kind of hitter,” Marzan said. “I expect some really good things from him.”


02 July, 2001

John Sickels, ESPN, on Brandon Duckworth PHI :

"Well, the basic problem for Duckworth is the fact that he doesn't have a blazing fastball. Or at least he didn't when he signed.

He's pitching great this year: 9-2, 2.70 in 15 Triple-A starts, with an excellent 104/25 K/BB ratio. When he signed as a free agent out of Cal State Fullerton, he threw just 87 mph. But over the last two years, his velocity has increased. He can hit 94 mph at times now, but pitches comfortably at 90. Since his other pitches are sharp, and his control is excellent, he's mastered the high minors. I think he's a fine prospect, but he still has to fight his reputation as a "soft tosser," even though he doesn't quite deserve it anymore.

Personally, I think Duckworth is going to do quite well over the next few years. He's past the injury gauntlet that pitchers must run in their early 20s, and he's proven he can handle every other level of professional ball. His control is great, he's got enough stuff to make it, and there are no holes in his numbers."


15 July, 2001

Eric-Paul Johnson & Kevin Pearson of The Press-Enterprise on 

Rafael Soriano SEA (Cal League player of the month for June) :

" ... Soriano, who was promoted to Class AA San Antonio on June 27, made five starts and was 4-0 with a 0.99 earned run average and 42 strikeouts in 36 1/3 innings. He became the first and only pitcher to throw back-to-back complete games in the Cal League this season.

Before his promotion, Soriano was 6-3 with a 2.53 ERA and 98 strikeouts and was twice honored as the league's pitcher of the week."

And, Chris Snelling SEA Cal POW :

" ... Snelling, hit .429 (12 for 28) over seven games, putting him above the .300 mark for the first time since late April. He had six runs batted in, four runs scored and three stolen bases.

Through Wednesday, Snelling was batting .308 with 62 runs scored, 48 RBI and 12 stolen bases. He leads the league in times hit by a pitch (15) and is tied for third in the league in triples with seven."


22 July, 2001

Josh Boyd, Baseball America on Rafael Soriano SEA :

" ... Mariners farm director Benny Looper told me that Soriano is a future No.1 or 2 starter in the big leagues. It's not hard to see how the club came to that conclusion either. The converted outfielder throws 95-96 mph with a devastating slider and developing changeup. He's refined his mechanics and is continuing to dominate after a promotion to Double-A."

Boyd on Boof Bonser SF :

" ... He was considered a raw talent on the mound coming into this season, and is quickly answering any doubts about his stuff and more importantly his stamina. After a slow start in Hagerstown, where he was monitored closely, Bonser has been unleashed on the league and nearly untouchable. IF he avoids injuries and continues to progress and improve, he and Jerome Williams could give the Giants a nice duo in their rotation by 2004. But both are very young."


23 July, 2001

" ... Royals GM Allard Baird wisely and kindly has held back left-handed pitcher Chris George, who has 10 wins in Triple-A and could easily be right in the middle-to-top of the Kansas City rotation. Baird doesn't want George cursed with the burden of being the club's saviour. But while George is often compared to Tom Glavine, what surprised everyone at the Futures Game was that he was hitting 94 on the gun. 

"He's one of those rare guys who signed as a pitchable left-hander," says one GM, "and his velocity has jumped. George can pitch like Glavine, but he throws 94."

John Sickels, ESPN on Rafael Soriano SEA :

" ... Soriano has made three starts since getting promoted to San Antonio, and has done very well. He has a 20/5 K/BB ratio in 19 innings, allowing just 13 hits and six runs. Before promotion, he was 6-3, 2.53 at Class A San Bernadino, with 98 strikeouts in 89 innings, allowing a mere 49 hits. 

Absolutely, Soriano has what it takes to make it in the majors. If he does well the rest of this year in Double-A, he could get a September call-up. As you point out, his control can waiver, and I wouldn't expect him to seriously compete for a major-league job until 2003. A converted infielder, Soriano has made major strides learning to throw his 95 mph fastball and hard slider for strikes. The Mariners would be wise not to rush him, and I don't think they will.


29 July, 2001

David Paschall in the Chattanooga Times Free Press on Ben Broussard CIN :

" ...  Broussard's rise to Double-A prominence hasn't come without glitches, however. The 6-foot-2, 220-pound left-hander began this season back in Single-A at Mudville in Northern California.

"He got a big wakeup call coming out of spring," Lookouts manager Phillip Wellman said. "His defense wasn't bad, but it didn't seem to be a priority. They told him to take it more seriously and put in more time. Now he's probably the hardest worker on the team in that area." ... "He's come a long way with his bat, and he's come a longer way defensively," Wellman said. "He's gotten to pitches this season that he used not to get to. The power has always been there."

Brian VanderBeek in the Modesto Bee on Freddie Bynum OAK :

" ... (Modesto manager Greg) Sparks believes the move from shortstop to second base removed a lot of the pressure and helped Bynum's overall game. The move wasn't a response to Bynum's shortcomings at the position, but reflected the arrival of veteran shortstop Caonabo Cosme in Modesto (Cosme was promoted to Double-A Midland on Tuesday) and the subsequent signing of another shortstop, 2001 first-rounder Bobby Crosby. 

"I think the move from short to second slowed the game down a little bit for him," Sparks said. "He has the time to set himself and make throws. I still think he has the tools to play short, and he may eventually move back over there." 

But for now, the A's have the luxury of a second baseman with the range of a shortstop. And since Miguel Tejada just might be Oakland's shortstop for the next 12 years, second base isn't a bad place for Bynum to develop."

                                                                                                                              Rookies 2001 Page Two