Rookies, 2003 (3)                                                                                            Rookies 2003 Page Four

 

 
03 March, 2003

Now we find out.  Marc Topkin, St. Petersburg Times on Jonny Gomes TB :

" ...  Twenty-two years old, a pro athlete in the best shape of his life, preparing for a third straight strong season in the Devil Rays minor-league system, he figured the pain and pressure squeezing his chest Dec. 23 was nothing more than indigestion. Turns out, it was something much more. "It was a heart attack," Gomes said. "One of my valves got clogged, they don't know what it was from. I was in the hospital for four days. They ran every test, everything from steroids to drugs to enzymes, and every single one came back (okay). All the top doctors, they knew how to treat me and what would help, but they had no idea what caused it."

" ... Gomes ...  was cleared -- "100 percent" -- by a cardiologist last week for full activity in the RBEST minicamp and the coming season. "He's fine," player personnel director Cam Bonifay said ... "I was as healthy as I've ever been," Gomes said. "I was on a real strict diet, taking vitamins and protein, all natural stuff, healthy stuff. They said it wasn't from that. I wasn't taking any ephedra, wasn't taking andro. My cholesterol was the lowest it's ever been. My body fat was the lowest it's ever been. I just spazzed or something. It was weird." ... The 6-foot-1, 205-pounder insists the heart problem will not be an issue, or a roadblock. "I'm straight," he said."


04 March, 2003

On the chatline, Jason Boyd and Jim Callis of Baseball America, added some comments on the Top 100 picks.

Bobby Brownlie " ... The Cubs have a very deep Top 10, but I'd probably put him at No. 3 behind Hee Seop Choi and Angel Guzman. You really could make a case for putting him as low as No. 9, behind Brendan Harris. As for the Top 100, I could see Brownlie in the 75-100 range." (Callis)

Elizardo Ramirez " ... Way, way, way, way too early for him. He had a great K-BB ratio in the Gulf Coast League, but his stuff isn't overwhelming." (Callis)

Bobby Basham " ... I think he'll get the opportunity to start for the Reds sometime after the all-star break if he continues to pitch like he did at the end of 2002. That might be pushing it a bit, though." (Callis)

Rich Fischer " ... I guess I was the only one to rank him on my top 150 before we compiled the top 100. That is a little surprising to me considering the year he had last year. I think he gets lost a little in the depth the Angels have assembled ahead of him too. With all the progress he made last year, there is a chance he'll be in the majors in September, but I think next spring is when they'll be looking at him as a contributor." (Boyd)

Felix Pie " ... Pie is a five-tool stud. One scout said he projects Pie to hit 30 bombs and swipe 40 bags. He has the tools to be a gold glover in center. He could skyrocket on the list next year." (Boyd)

On picking Rocco Baldelli ahead of Mark Teixeira " ... They are clearly one and two for me, and it was a really close call. I gave the edge to Rocco because he is a premium athlete in the middle of the diamond, with a chance to do a little bit or a lot of everything. He made such impressive strides last year, and based on all reports I've heard and seen for myself, I believe there is more improvement to come--next being in the plate discipline area. Teixeira's bat is tremendous, capable of power and average from both sidesof the plate. I gave the nod to the middle of the field player of the corner player. Both have plus makeup, but Rocco gets the edge there for me too." (Boyd)

Dustin McGowan " ... He's still a couple of years away. McGowan has frontline stuff and has only recently started to figure it out. The key for him is command. He'll probably end up throwing consistently in the mid-90s with a plus breaking ball and solid changeup. I don't think the current Blue Jays front office is in any hurry to rush a high school righthander--and they'll probably show more care than the previous regime did in rushing Chris Carpenter and Roy Halladay into the bigs." (Boyd)

Jerome Williams " ... Williams hasn't made the progress a lot of scouts projected of him over the last couple years. But he's been one of the youngest in his league each year. His velocity has been average and he's actually relied more on pitchability than overpowering guys. So, he's still a top prospect, just not the dominant, fronltline guy we expected." (Boyd)

Adam Loewen, ranking if signed " ... Loewen would have ranked somewhere in the top 50ish." (Boyd)

David Srinivasan, The Sporting News, on Corey Hart MIL :

" ...  Hart is a 6-6 power hitter who batted .288-22-84 with 24 steals at high Class A and .266-2-15 with three steals in a short stint at Class AA. He draws comparisons to Richie Sexson for his power and strikeouts (117-44 strikeout-walk ratio in 487 at-bats), but Hart’s speed gives the impression he is a superior athlete. Hart has bounced between third and first and eventually might land in the outfield, but his bat will be what carries him ... .Should start season in Triple-A but could reach the majors by late summer."


05 March, 2003

John Sickels, The Baseball Prospect Book, on Bobby Basham CIN :

" ...  I love this guy ... . His ’02 season got a late start because he was finishing classes, but he pitched so well in the Midwest League that he should now be considered one of the top righthanded prospects in baseball. All of his ratios were excellent ...  Basically, there is nothing not to like here. We need to see him at higher levels, but there is no hint in his numbers of problems ahead."

Chris Reed, Prospect Report, likes Edwin Encarnacion as the best of the CIN prospects. 

" ...  had his first full-season ride at only 19-years old. He hit 32 doubles, 17 homeruns and stole 25 bases. Not a bad season. He obviously has 20/20 potential and projects to be an above average offensive shortstop. He did make a boatload of errors. The Reds are experimenting with Encarnacion at shortstop after he manned the hot corner for a while. If he can improve his defense and stay at shortstop he could be an above average Major Leaguer."

Starter Chris Gruler won the runnerup slot :

" ... has fantastic upside as a 19-year old righthander with a fastball that dances from the low to mid-90's and a brutal curveball. It was believed he was going to require off-season arm surgery, but the Reds will instead limit his pitching in 2003."

Wily Mo Pena ranked #3 with Bobby Basham at #4 :

" ...  thrived in 2002 thanks to a deadly fastball/slider combo and incredible control (.9 BB/9). His dominating season in the Midwest league came on the heels of a disappointing 2001 - both at the collegiate and professional levels. Concerns with Basham include battles with the injury bug in the past as well as being one to two years older than his Low A competition last year. He'll need to make up for lost time next year by advancing to AA-Chattanooga by the end of the year."hind the plate will be his main focus.

David Luciani, Baseball Notebook, on Brandon Phillips CLE :

" ...  I'm actually not that excited about him for 2003, currently projecting a .255 average, 9 home runs, 40 runs scored, 36 RBI and 8 stolen bases ... I'm not as high on him as others (though I still see him as Cleveland's best current hitting prospect). I believe when Phillips eventually settles into the peak of his career, say four or five years from now, he'll be consistently hitting in the .270s with 25-30 home run power, 85 runs/85 RBI ability and 20 stolen base skills. What will hold him back is that he doesn't walk as much as he should and I don't see him ever walking more than 50-55 times in a season, even when he hits his prime."

Luciani on his top second base prospect :

" ... Scott Hairston of Arizona would easily be my first choice, way ahead of Shaun Boyd of the Cardinals. I believe Hairston will make it to the majors as a regular by 2005 and when he eventually hits his prime, he'll be a .280s type with incredible gap ability (45-50 double potential) and 25-30 home run power. Hairston needs to continue work on his fielding ability, having made 30 errors last year with most of his games played at second base."

Paul Sullivan, Chicago Tribune, on Bobby Brownlie CHN :

" ...  will begin his pro career in Class A ball, but the Cubs believe he has enough raw talent to merit a promotion to Double-A West Tenn before the year is over ... "We're not in any situation, nor does he expect to be rushed," general manager Jim Hendry said. "We want him to come back and have a full season and put the issues behind him that slowed him down last year, get his feet on the ground.  "There's no pressure for him to be sped along because of our pitching depth. At the same time, he's a high-quality guy, so if he's back to the form he was as a freshman and sophomore, you've got a guy that could get there in a few years' time."


06 March, 2003

Some names which could pop up in the June draft.  Baseball America has made its picks as the best of the high school crop.  Josh Boyd highlighted a  pair of outfielders and a lefty starter who appear to be the cream of the crop and probable first-rounders in June.

" ... Delmon Young  ... destined to follow his older brother Dmitri as a first-rounder ...  just 17, Young earned Baseball America’s first Youth Player of the Year award in 2002. After launching 25 bombs for Camarillo between his sophomore and junior campaigns, he went on a rampage for Team USA. He finished the summer tour for the junior national team with 16 home runs ... a polished approach at the plate and has demonstrated well-above-average power with wood bats already."

" ... Lastings Milledge ...  Along with Young, he helped lead Team USA to a 25-4 record last summer by hitting a team-high .474 with 10 home runs. Milledge is a complete package, fully equipped with five tools ...  premium athlete, he has outstanding bat speed and has shown the ability to hit for power against overpowering fastballs. Milledge is a plus-plus runner with a strong arm. He profiles as the prototypical center fielder."

" .... Andrew Miller, lhp ... Scouts can hardly contain themselves since watching Miller blossom at the World Showcase in Fort Myers in January. "If you like 6-5, 195-pound projectable lefthanders who bump 95 mph and rip off 83 mph sick sliders, then you might want to look at Miller," one scout said following the showcase ... Proving it wasn’t a fluke. Miller sat between 93-95 mph as the spring season opened, leading the Major League Scouting Bureau to put an eye-catching 71 (on the 20-to-80 scale) overall future potential rating on him."

Wily Mo Pena :

"I saw this big human being in Dayton two years ago," offered Mike Easler, a Reds roving hitting instructor, "and I said, my God, if this kid ever puts it together . . .  Easler ... nickname was Hit Man. He knows some things. "Touched by God" is how he describes Pena, who is 6 feet 3 and weighs 215 pounds."

" ... Easler ... compares Pena to Bo Jackson, Mark McGwire, Dave Parker and Dante Bichette. "God almighty, he's strong," Easler says ...  teaching Pena what all hitters must know to make the jump from bus rides to room service. "Patience. Discipline." ... 

" ... Pena, Easler says, is an eager learner with a veteran's ability to forget the bad days. "He's going to be one of them special guys when he puts it together. Put it this way: With his size and ability, they're going to expect that. If he hits .260 with 12 homers, he won't stay in the big leagues." ... Right now, Pena swings at too many bad balls. He has trouble with breaking balls. He isn't ready for big-league pitchers who know how to spot the ball. Easler says the Reds will have to "pick their spots" to use him ...  In a game Monday, Pena got behind in the count, then went the other way, shortening his stroke and slashing a single to right field, a veteran move."  (Cincinnati Enquirer)


11 March, 2003

Paul Sullivan, Chicago Tribune on Angel Guzman CHN :

" ... Guzman can't make the jump to the big leagues as quickly as Mark Prior did last year, but he's not far off. The 21-year-old right-hander from Venezuela has been one of the most impressive pitchers in camp, throwing seven shutout innings and allowing only three hits in his first three outings ... "If he can do that consistently, that's what puts him in the big leagues," Prior said. "If something did happen, I think we're safe and secure we could bring somebody up right away and we're not out trying to search for guys, trying to pick someone up around the All-Star break ... Guzman went a combined 11-4 with a 2.19 earned-run average in Class A Lansing and Class A Daytona last year, and has a 21-6 record in 46 minor-league appearances, including 44 starts."


13 March, 2003

OAK with some premium SP candidates on the way.  Joe Barbieri, SportsTicker :  

" ... John Rheinecker ... on the fast track ... Promoted to Class AA in mid May, the 6-2, 210-pounder pitched eight scoreless innings of four-hit ball in his first trip to the mound and went 7-7 with a 3.38 ERA, which ranked eighth in the Texas League, over 20 starts ... doesn't get in trouble with walks, averaging just 1.62 per nine innings pitched to rank second among Texas League starters last year, but gets a little too much of the plate with his offerings at times."

" ... Rich Harden ...  In the hitter-friendly Texas League, Harden continued to excel, going 8-3 with a 2.95 ERA, a .217 average against and 102 strikeouts ...  Over the two levels, the 6-1 Harden finished atop the organization in ERA (2.93) and strikeouts (187) while ranking second in wins (12). Harden's explosive fastball and bewildering changeup gives him the best one-two punch in the system."

And, a guy who can catch & hit :

" ... Jeremy Brown ... a solid backstop with a knack for hitting ... .began his professional career by hitting .307 over two Class A leagues. The 23-year-old clubbed 10 home runs and posted a .545 slugging percentage in 187 at-bats in the advanced Class A California League. A stocky 5-10 and 210 pounds, Brown is the complete package behind the plate."


15 March, 2003

Early manouvering for Kazuo Matsui.

" ... (San Diego) plans to dispatch a group of scouts and executive to Japan during the season to view the talented switch-hitter known as "Little Matsui" in deference to the more-famous outfielder Hideki Matsui. "When I think of him, I think of Derek Jeter," one Padres talent evaluator said Thursday.

Matsui, 27, is still under contract to the Seibu Lions, so Padres executives are skittish about talking about him directly, lest they be accused of tampering. But Opening Day pitcher Brian Lawrence has no such reservations. Lawrence was part of the major-league all-star team that toured Japan after last season. He pitched against both Matsuis, and there was no doubt who impressed more: Little Matsui. "He was the best player we played against," Lawrence said, "definitely the best in that series. He's fast; he stole some bases. He showed some power from both sides, and he got his ground-ball hits, too  ... Padres officials believe it will take $6 million to $7 million a year to land the shortstop." (North County Times)


17, March, 2003

Amy K. Nelson, SportsTicker, notes a pair of probable future Angels in her preview of the ANA farm system : 

" ... Casey Kotchman ... a rare breed because not only does he read the ball well for a 20-year-old, but his defense is above average ... had a tough transition from aluminum to wood in his rookie season but he rebounded nicely last year in lower level Class A, batting .281 with 45 percent of his hits going for extra bases. His power is not overwhelming, evidenced by only five homers last season, but the 6-2 lefthanded hitter is a complete player for his age ... had a .411 on-base percentage and walked more than he struck out last year, a sign of advanced plate discipline."

" ... Bobby Jenks ... possibly answered questions about his maturity after posting fantastic numbers in the Arizona Fall League. Jenks, armed with a mid-90s fastball and a power curveball, led the league in strikeouts (54) for the second straight year. He did not allow a run and walked just five batters over his first four starts, spanning 15 innings. Overall, he finished with a 1-1 record and a 1.08 ERA in nine outings ...  If he can harness his emotions, Jenks, already in minor league camp, will continue to rise in the organization and could get a shot late in the season."


19 March, 2003

Josh Boyd, Baseball America, on Joel Guzman LA :

" ...  was much improved from a year ago. A physical specimen at just 18, Guzman did a better job of hanging in and laying off breaking balls after nearly jumping out of the batter's box against them last year. He showed top-of-the-scale raw power during B.P., and then hammered an 0-2 fastball to right-center for a double in his only at-bat on Saturday. The ball jumps off his bat. In the field, while some project a move to third base down the road because of his size, the 6-foot-5, 220-pounder was agile and smooth, plus his arm strength was rated at least a 65."

Scott Kazmir NYN working on adding to his arsenal :

" ... If Kazmir can get his changeup down pat, he could be the complete package. He has speed and poise and has already impressed many people in baseball. One National League scout who followed Kazmir last spring can't stop raving about him. The scout, who wished to remain anonymous, offered this analysis for MLB.com. "This kid has electric stuff," the scout said. "He has the makeup to play in New York. He has no fear. He may be one of those who, when he makes it big, will walk around New York dressed like Walt Frazier. He's not going to be intimidated by New York. "His stuff is similar to a [Ron] Guidry or a [Mark] Langston. If he stays healthy, he's going to get [to the Major Leagues] quick. He's a heckuva pick, especially where they got him. He's a steal." And he's only 19. Kazmir's rise through the organization will take time. But all indications are that the wait will be well worth it."  (MLB.com)


20 March, 2003

Jim Keller, SportsTicker, tags third baseman Andy Marte as the best of the lower-level prospects on the Braves :

" ... The righthanded hitter finished at .281 with 32 doubles, 21 homers and 105 RBI in 126 games for Macon. His RBI total led the league and he was second in homers and fourth with 32 doubles. He was selected the organization's Player of the Year and to the SportsTicker All-Teen Team. His success at a tender age has drawn comparisons to two former Macon teenagers, Andruw and Chipper Jones ...  Marte is a four-tool prospect who lacks only above average speed. He's got solid strike zone judgement for a youngster, a power bat, good movement at the hot corner and a plus arm."


22 March, 2003

 Adam Loewen won his third straight Friday as Chipola won its conference opener 6-2 (15-5 overall).  3-4 at the plate. No further details available.  Loewen, the 4th overall pick in the 2002 draft, could end up back in this year's draft.  The Orioles have until May 27th to sign him or the club loses the rights to the Canadian lefty.  Earlier this week, Canadian Press had a piece on the BC native :

" ... He hasn't allowed a run in 11 2-3 innings and surrendered just two hits and three walks while striking out 16.  At the plate, where Loewen has been doubling as a clean-up hitter, he's batting .235 with one homer, three doubles seven runs and 12 runs-batted in ... The Indians' coaching staff has adjusted Loewen's mechanics and increased his fastball by two miles per hour, up to 96. His off-speed pitches have become more effective and he's been throwing both his curve and changeup for strikes in any count. "That's where he's really turned the corner and made strides," said Chipola coach Jeff Johnson. "He's really developed his curve ball, his changeup is even better. He's done a few things mechanically to help his command. He doesn't rush out over the front early and stays behind the ball."

" ... Some scouts have suggested that Loewen's future might lie as a hitter rather than a pitcher. Johnson says he sees Loewen's potential as both, but believes his arm is too impressive to pass on. "I think his future, right now, is as a pitcher because he can be in the big leagues in a couple of years that way," said Johnson. "Now can he be a big-time professional, big-league hitter? "Yes, he could. I think it would take a bit more time. Right now, the quickest track for him is as a left-handed pitcher." Loewen agrees. "I see myself as a pitcher, ultimately," he said. "I love hitting, I like it just as much as pitching. "I think I'm a lot more polished as a pitcher. I've worked on it a lot more and that's what I want to be. If I get to hit, too, that's just a bonus."
 


24 March, 2003

Peter Gammons, ESPN.com, on Joe Mauer MIN :

" ... to say that he has been the talk of the Grapefruit League is no exaggeration. Six scouts at a lunchroom table agreed that he is the best catching prospect in 20 years. Veteran pitchers rave that he may be the best catcher to whom they've ever thrown. Mauer has incredibly soft hands, gives pitchers a relaxed target, has Pudge-like feet and a rocket arm, and can flat rake. "He's so good we can't send him out because we want him catching big league pitchers," said Garndenhire. While Mauer will open the season in the Florida State League, if something were to happen to A.J. Pierzynski in the second half, Mauer may well be the Twins' catcher ... "There's a reason we drafted him No. 1 other than money or our stupidity," said Ryan. "He's special, and we try not to get excited about players until they perform in the big leagues. But he is different."


26 March, 2003

Not fulltime yet, but Chase Utley in line for a starting role in PHI (might even hang on for a few weeks to start the season as the Phils get over some injuries) :

" ... Utley knows his stay at Triple-A Scranton Wilkes-Barre shouldn't last too long, probably no more than another season ... ``He's a good hitter and he knows he can hit,'' Phillies manager Larry Bowa said. ``He's going to be a big league second baseman somewhere. He's better than a lot of second basemen playing right now.'' ...  ``It's a good problem to have,'' Bowa said of the depth at second base. While Polanco is a solid hitter and a fundamentally sound, all-around player, Utley has more potential. He has already been compared to Jeff Kent, a former NL MVP who has 252 career homers ...  Bowa said he doesn't expect Utley to hit 40 homers like Kent, but he's confident he can hit at least 20 homers a season. ``He has the right mentality to play,'' Bowa said. ``He has the mental toughness. He doesn't like to fail."  (Associated Press)

Jim Keller, SportsTicker, featured a pair of right-handers in his farm preview of the Phillies :

" ... Ryan Madson ... After a subpar 2001, Madson rebounded with a stellar 2002. He led the Class AA Eastern League in wins with a 16-4 record and placed third in ERA at 3.20. With a low-90s fastball and an outstanding curve, the 22-year-old racked up the second-most strikeouts (132) while walking 53 in 171 1/3 innings ... not as overpowering as his size would indicate, but he throws strikes."

" ... Gavin Floyd ... pitched a no-hitter and had another broken up in the eighth inning for Class A Lakewood in the South Atlantic League. The fourth overall pick allowed two runs or fewer in 16 of 27 starts and held hitters to a league-low .200 average -- exceptional numbers for a first-year professional ...  selected to SportsTicker's All-Teen Team and it ranked him the second-best righthanded pitching prospect in the game."


03 April, 2003

Yet another top SP prospect out for the season.  Jim Callis, Baseball America :

" ...  lefthander Luke Hagerty learned that he has a tear in the ulnar collateral ligament in his elbow, which will require Tommy John surgery and cause him to miss the entire 2003 season. Hagerty had experienced no physical problems during an impressive spring in minor league camp. Scouts from other clubs were raving about his 94-95 mph fastball and his improved slider, and wondered how he lasted until the 32nd overall pick in the 2002 draft. But while warming up for his final spring-training start on Friday, he threw a slider and felt a pop in his elbow. Hagerty immediately stopped throwing and was sent to Chicago for an MRI on Tuesday—his 22nd birthday—which revealed the elbow tear."

David Wright NYN ready to show he belongs :

" ... I want to show people that haven't seen me that I could play," said Wright, who was one of a handful of minor-leaguers that was with the big-league club when it played the Baltimore Orioles in the spring training finale Saturday. "It's flattering that I'm being called a big-time prospect. It's an unbelievable honor. Now I have to back that up." ... The 20-year-old third baseman is being touted as one of the Mets' more promising prospects, but Wright appreciates just getting a chance. "I'm just so lucky to be playing baseball," said Wright, who batted.266 with 11 home runs and 93 RBI for the Capital City Bombers last season. "It's never easy." Drafted out of Hickory (Va.) High in the first-round of the 2001 amateur draft, Wright has caught attention with his all-around abilities. "He's plays the game the way it should be played," said St. Lucie manager Ken Oberkfell, a former major-league third baseman with St. Louis. "He's mature for his age. He's a major-league prospect. This kid will play in the majors." (Palm Beach Post)

Taylor Buchholz PHI climbing the Phillies' prospect charts :

" ... No longer is he the anonymous kid whose whisper of a voice belied the whistle of his fastball. His name, a nightmare for the spelling impaired during his lesser-known days, is sprinkled across every list of top prospects. Baseball America, widely considered the Bible of prospect periodicals, rated the 21-year-old the fourth-best prospect in the Phillies’ organization and placed him at No. 88 on its esteemed Top 100 Prospects list. "I think I’m more relaxed," said Buchholz. "I know what I need to do." Greg Legg was Buchholz’s manager at Lakewood in 2001. He again will have Buchholz in his rotation this season, this time at Double-A Reading. Legg noticed the difference in Buchholz. "He grew a lot in the second half of that season (in 2001)," Legg said. "But when I got here this year, I could tell how much he matured ever since that year. "He’s fun to watch pitch." ... the Phillies particularly cautious when the slightest hint of tenderness flared in Buchholz’s elbow last week. That prompted the organization to move his first start of the Eastern League season back from Friday to Monday against Bowie. While Reading came north over the weekend, Buchholz stayed back and pitched an exhibition game yesterday in Clearwater ...   "If everything goes well," Legg said, "I could see him moving up to Triple-A (Scranton-Wilkes-Barre) late in the season the way he moved to Double-A last year. Then next season he’d start in Triple-A and be knocking on the door for the majors in 2005 or maybe even late next season." (Trentonian)

Tony Pente, Orioles Hangout, has an updated prospect list for BAL with a pair of arms at the top :

" ... 1. Rommie Lewis - LHP Age: 20 ... Six-foot-six lefty could be the next Erik Bedard, but hopefully without the arm injury. Has the frame and stuff to be a top pitching prospect. Became an All-Star closer last season at just 19-years of age at Delmarva. He'll anchor Frederick's rotation this year and could move quickly."

" ... 2. John Maine - RHP Age: 21 ... Orioles drafted Maine in the 6th round of the 2002 draft ...  tall, lanky right-hander signed quickly and immediately impressed all who saw him by dominating Aberdeen hitters. He was quickly promoted to Delmarva where he made quick work of Sally League hitters. Consistently throws 92-93 MPH but can touch the mid 90s. He has the frame and makeup to be something special quickly. He'll start the year at Delmarva with the new regime preferring to go more slowly with their prospect than the previous regime."


04 April, 2003

California League guys to watch.  Visalia Times-Delta :

" ... Casey Kotchman, 1b, Rancho Cucamonga ... regarded as the best first baseman prospect by Baseball America ... compared to Texas Rangers all-star Rafael Palmeiro. He walks more than he strikes out, which is rare for a player his age (20), and has the ability to hit the ball out of the ballpark. His main problem is that he's been hit with an injury bug in his first two years. He only played in 10 games after June last season. Playing in a hitter-friendly Cal League, Kotchman could put up some monster offensive numbers that will rival any player in the minors."

" ... Jeff Mathis, c, Rancho Cucamonga ...  considered one of the top three catching prospects in all of baseball. Mathis hit .287 for the Angels' Midwest League affiliate, Cedar Rapids, with 10 home runs and 73 RBIs. It's his bat that is expected to carry him to the big leagues, but Mathis is also considered to be an above-average defender behind the plate."

" ... Brad Nelson, 1b, High Desert ...  named the top prospect in the Brewers organization by Baseball America. He hit .297 in Beloit (Midwest League) last season with 17 home runs and 99 RBIs. There's probably only one or two ballparks in minor league baseball that makes a hitter look better than Maverick Stadium, nicknamed the Cal League's Coors Field. If Nelson stays in High Desert for the entire first half and doesn't put up 20 home runs by July, it's going to be a major surprise."

" ... Josh Barfield, 2b, Lake Elsinore: The son of former Toronto Blue Jay star Jesse Barfield, doesn't hit with the type of power that his father was known for, but is considered to be a top-flight middle infielder who can do a little bit of everything ... plate discipline isn't the best around, though. He struck out 105 times and walked only 26 in 2002."

" ... Nick Swisher, of, Modesto ... didn't have the best start to a professional career by only hitting .240 with 4 home runs and 23 RBIs in 183 at-bats for the Oaks .... A's feel they have the makings of a solid, middle-of-the-lineup center fielder. The Ohio State product should contend for one of the all-star starting outfield spots."

" ... Francisco Liriano, lhp, San Jose ... throws in the high 90s, and has flirted with 100 mph on the radar gun from time to time. The 19-year-old also has an above-average slider and changeup. Last year in Hagerstown (South Atlantic League), Liriano posted 85 strikeouts in 80 innings to go with his 3.49 earned run average. He limited hitters to a .210 batting average."

" ... Ryan Hannaman, lhp, San Jose: Hannaman is another left-hander out of the same mold as Liriano. He throws in the mid-90s and has one of the better sliders in the Giants organization. He went 7-6 for Hagerstown in 2002 with a 2.80 ERA, striking out 145 batters in 132 innings."


05 April, 2003

 In SportsTicker's Cubs preview, Angel Guzman gets the nod as the best of the lower-level prospects (although Guzman is slated to begin in Double-A) :

" ... With a dangerous three-pitch arsenal, Guzman was impressive at two Class A levels last year, improving his career mark to 21-6 with a 2.17 ERA. After leading the short-season Class A Northwest League in wins (9) and ranking second in ERA (2.23) in 2001, Guzman was dominant in the Class A Midwest League. In nine starts, he went 5-2 with a 1.89 ERA and permitted just a .186 average against. He made the seamless transition to the advanced Class A Florida State league in late May and went 6-2 with a 2.39 ERA in 94 innings. The 21-year-old Guzman has a low to mid-90s fastball and keeps hitters guessing with his curve and baffling changeup. The native of Venezuela has been in control, issuing just 2.47 walks per nine innings since turning pro."


07 April, 2003

Chris Reed, Prospect Report, right on top of things (including Sunday's stats) in his LA prospect preview.  A couple of interesting picks :

" ... 3. Edwin Jackson ...  had a strong year in Low A-South Georgia at only 18-years old. The 6' 3" righthander packed a miniscule 1.98 ERA to along with 7.3 K/9 and 2.8 BB/9 ratios. While his ratios weren't eye popping, they were impressive for such a young pitcher. By all accounts, Jackson's stuff is explosive, though he needs to develop his off-speed pitches. His potential is unknown, and he will be challenged in AA-Jacksonville. If he can repeat his ratios at Double-A he will shoot up the charts."

" ... 4. Franklin Gutierrez ... flashed good potential at the plate in 2002, hitting .283 BA/ .344 OBP/ .454 SLG at Low A-South Georgia. While his performance didn't earn him much press, it was special nonetheless for a 19-year old in Single-A. As a 20-year old in High A-Vero Beach, Gutierrez is already off to a blazing start, smacking 5 homeruns in 19 at bats ... This is even more amazing considering the Florida State League is a notorious pitcher's league. Gutierrez's peak projection going into the season was .277 BA/ .340 OBP/ .453 SLG. He has much more power potential than this projection lets on and he is a top sleeper."


12 April, 2003

Jim Callis, Baseball America, on Lastings Milledge :

" ... Milledge may be the best all-around athlete in the draft. The 6-foot-1, 185-pounder has a lightning-quick bat to go with plus arm strength and speed ...  while (Delmon) Young figures to be a top-five pick, Milledge could slide past the upper half of the first round for a number of reasons. First and foremost is his performance. Milledge struggled with wood bats at the BA/Perfect Game World Wood Bat showcase last October, striking out 11 times and collecting just three hits in eight games. He hasn't distinguished himself against 2-A competition (the second-lowest of six classifications in Florida) this spring ...  Scouts don't have a good handle on what it might take to sign Milledge, and fear it could be more than they want to pay. Also, he was investigated last year for improper conduct with a female minor. Add it all up, and there are teams shying away from Milledge. "Lastings Milledge could be supremely disappointed," an American League scouting director said. "There could be 15 college players drafted ahead of Milledge. It could be a nightmare for him."


14 April, 2003

John Sickels, ESPN.com, on Mark Phillips NYA :

" ... Phillips was San Diego's first-round pick in 2000, out of high school ... has excellent stuff, including a fastball clocked as high as 96 mph, plus a big-breaking curveball. His control is inconsistent, and his physical conditioning has been questioned; he tends to gain weight easily. Phillips went 10-8 with a 4.19 ERA in the Class A California League last year. He fanned 156 and allowed just 123 hits in 148 innings, excellent statistical indicators of his "stuff," but also walked 94, confirmation that he needs to improve his command. He was one of the best prospects in the Padres system, and is now one of the best in the Yankees system. He'll need at least another year, and probably two, before challenging for a spot in the majors. He needs to stay in shape, refine his command, and develop a better changeup. If he can do those things, he would emerge as a top-notch starter. Think of him as Andy Pettitte with a better fastball. But can he do those things and remain healthy? Time will tell."

Jackson Sun on Adam Wainwright ATL :

" ... He's got a chance to have three-plus pitches. He's really athletic. He's very poised, he's very intelligent, obviously he's progressing at a very steady rate," or so Dayton Moore sang Wainwright's praises. Moore is the director of player personnel for the Atlanta Braves and has another delightfully intriguing pitching gem before him. Wainwright, a right-hander, has shown his worthiness of being the 29th overall pick in the 2000 draft, striking out 351 batters the past two seasons in A-ball. With that, he was invited to the Futures Games last summer, where his fastball was clocked at 96 mph and is no average heater. It dances. Even better for Wainwright, his curveball makes his fastball that much more effective. Now the Braves want him to incorporate a change-up. "Sometimes Adam tends to be pretty with his delivery and too conventional," Moore said. "He doesn't have to be perfect every time. He's such a good athlete he doesn't have to worry about that as much."


15 April, 2003

Rich Harden OAK, rave reviews :

" ... Everything about River Cats pitcher Rich Harden is fast -- his ascent through the minor leagues, his no-nonsense style on the mound, his sneaky fastball and his sprint to the dugout after finishing an inning ...  Harden's perfect-innings streak ended at 15 2/3, but he still drew rave reviews from River Cats manager Tony DeFrancesco after his Triple-A debut ... Harden, a 17th-round draft pick whose fastball peaked at 95 mph. "I just wanted to have a good outing. Unfortunately, I got the ball up a little in the fifth." ... In 19 innings this season, the third-year pro has 25 strikeouts and no walks. "He's so composed, and he just went at his business like he normally does," said DeFrancesco, Harden's manager at Midland last season. "He showed he can pitch at this level and dominate the game. "What makes him special is that he's so free and easy throwing in the mid-90s, and it all looks kind of effortless." Based on Harden's poise and maturity, DeFrancesco doesn't believe his pitcher would be intimidated if the A's called him to the majors this season. "If he's called up, he'll be ready," DeFrancesco said."  (Sacramento Bee) 


16 April, 2003

John Sickels, ESPN.com, on Scott Kazmir NYN :

" ... New York's first-round pick in 2002 ... Kazmir is not just hype. He's one of the best prospects in baseball and possibly the best southpaw prospect in the game. Kazmir has fanned nine in his first 3.2 innings this year. This is on the heels of his 34/7 strikeout/walk ratio in 18 innings last year in the New York-Penn League, extremely impressive for a guy just a few months out of high school. Kazmir has electric stuff, drawing comparisons to Billy Wagner. He'll need to refine his command a bit, but some scouts think he'll be close to the major leagues within a year or two, again very rapid progress for a high school pitcher. Injuries are always a risk with young pitchers, so by definition Kazmir is not a sure thing. But no, his prospect status isn't just a reflection of intensive New York media attention."

Sickels on Sean Burnett PIT :

" ... Burnett has started two games so far for Double-A Altoona, and has thrown well, allowing just six hits and a run in 10.2 innings with two walks. He's also fanned NINE, much better than last year's ratio. Granted the sample size is minuscule. But if he can add a strong K/IP mark to his already excellent K/BB and ERA ratios, he will remove any lingering doubts about his status as one of the top southpaw prospects in the game. He doesn't have the best fastball in the universe, but he changes speeds with aplomb, throws strikes, and as you mention is extremely poised."


18 April, 2003

Clint Everts tops the chart in Chris Reed's (Prospect Report) look at MON's farm :

" ... Everts teamed up with Scott Kazmir at Cypress Falls HS in Texas to form the prep version of the Johnson/Schilling duo. Everts has three potential plus pitches and won't turn 19 until mid-August. He's starting the year in extended spring training and will make his professional debut in the New York-Penn short-season league. He should see a promotion to Low A-Savannah by the end of the year. He has ace potential and is easily the best prospect in the Montreal system."


23 April, 2003

Jim Callis, Baseball America, on Vince Perkins TOR :

" ... The Blue Jays have been high on Perkins since they signed him as a draft-and-follow out of Lake City (Fla.) CC in 2001. An 18th-round pick in 2000, he spent his first two pro years at short-season Auburn, posting two eye-popping numbers: 10.9 strikeouts per nine innings and a .208 opponent batting average. Coming into 2002, Perkins' lack of command and an effective changeup led to some projections that he could become a John Wettelandesque closer with his mid-90s fastball and upper-80s slider. Toronto obviously will leave him in the rotation as long as it can, hoping he'll refine the changeup to go with two possible plus-plus pitches. He has nine walks this year, but he's making progress. At 21, he has plenty of time."

Seattle Times on Kazuo Matsui :

" ... Seattle scouts ... have watched Little Matsui for years. Scouts are headed back to Japan soon, possibly this week, to take another look. When they see him this time, the switch-hitter (since 1996) will no longer be hitting in his customary leadoff spot. Lions manager Haruki Ihara has dropped Matsui to third in hopes of boosting his team's run production ... "He makes sense either hitting first or third," said an American League scout who has seen Matsui several times. "He has explosive speed. He may be even faster than Ichiro. He has good power, too, and he puts the bat on the ball." 

" ... Into this weekend, Matsui, usually a slow starter, had played 19 games, was hitting .291 with four homers (the first on Opening Day), 10 runs batted in and four steals. He has turned 14 double plays and made four errors, an anomaly for him after he made nine errors in each of the past two seasons."

" ... No doubt Little Matsui is a top-level player in his country, hitting between .308 and .332 the past five seasons, with home-run totals climbing in that time from nine to 36 while stealing between 26 and 43 bases. In addition to winning the Pacific League MVP in 1998, he has won three Gold Gloves and led the league several times in hits, singles, doubles, triples and steals. This spring, he went through prolonged five- to six-hour workouts to improve his footwork"


25 April, 2003

Josh Boyd, Baseball America, on Franklin Gutierrez LA :

" ... He is just taking it to the next level," said Jeff Schugel, Dodgers special assistant to the general manager. "He turned it up a notch." ... "He has tremendous balance at the plate," Schugel said. "He has a quick bat and a chance to have power to all fields. The one thing he maybe needs to improve is his plate discipline and pitch recognition, and that’s something were emphasizing." ... "I think there is more power to come," Schugel said. "He is a medium-frame guy (6-foot-2, 170 pounds), with room to fill out and get stronger. He has special hands and wrists to generate really good bat speed."

Rafael Soriano SEA, pegged as a future star :

" ... He's got an electric arm," Tacoma pitching coach Jim Slaton said. "And he has a nice, easy motion. He has what people like to call an 'afterburner.' The ball comes in nice and easy ... and then it's got pop to it at the end." ... Tacoma outfielder Adrian Myers, who played with Soriano last season at San Antonio, said that Soriano's stuff appears even better this season. "Even from just last year, it seems as if he has better command of his slider and change-up," Myers said. "When a guy can throw 93, 94 (mph) and then you have other pitches you throw for strikes ... that makes a hitter think." Soriano's biggest challenge is developing confidence in pitches other than his fastball, which occasionally reaches 97 mph. He's not afraid to throw his slider when behind in the count, but the Mariners think that he needs to throw it - and his fast-developing change-up - more often. "As a starter, he has to develop two other pitches - his change-up and slider," Looper said.  (Tacoma News Tribune)


26 April, 2003

Jim Callis, Baseball America, on Jeremy Guthrie CLE :

" ... Because he went on a Mormon mission in the middle of his college career, Guthrie is already 24. With three plus pitches (fastball, slider, changeup), he'll get his share of strikeouts, but he's not a power pitcher. I wouldn't be too concerned about his strikeout totals through his first four pro starts. He's 2-0, 1.86 with 11 whiffs and six walks in 19 innings, and opponents are hitting .206 against him. His ceiling is as a No. 2 starter and he'll likely get his first taste of Cleveland sometime after the all-star break. Because he signed a major league contract, the Indians won't have to expend a precious 40-man roster spot when they decide to call him up."

Josh Boyd, Baseball America, on Zach Greinke KC :

" ... Stud. He has proven it against much more experience competition in Puerto Rico over the winter, against big leaguers in spring training and in high Class A. He has an uncanny feel to pitch, not often found in a high school kid during his first year. The Bret Saberhagen comparisons might not be far off, and Greinke might be good every year, not just every other year like Sabes."

Boyd, on Bobby Jenks ANA :

" ... His ceiling is No. 1 starter--a Curt Schilling, Roger Clemens type. The risk factor is obvious with Jenks, and to be a true No. 1, you need to be sharp mentally and physically on the mound every five days. Jenks may evolve into that pitcher, but his command is likely to knock him down a couple notches. And there is always the possibility that he heads to the pen as a Troy Percival like closer if he can't stay in the rotation."


27 April, 2003

Matthew Pouliot, Rotoworld, on Dewon Brazelton, Jason Arnold & JJ Hardy :

" ... Ready or not, Dewon Brazelton will join Tampa Bay’s rotation soon. The No. 3 overall pick in the 2001 draft actually made a couple of starts for the Rays last September, posting a 4.85 ERA. He was expected to be in the rotation to start this year, but knee and groin problems limited him throughout the spring. He was able to start the minor league season on time and has gone 1-1 with a 3.07 ERA in three starts for Triple-A Durham. Brazelton doesn’t seem to get mentioned when the truly elite pitching prospects are being discussed, but he should be, even if he is a Devil Ray. The 22-year-old has a mid-90s fastball and complements it with an outstanding changeup ... .For the short term, Brazelton probably isn’t a great investment in fantasy leagues. The stuff is there, but the consistency probably won’t be, not initially."

" ... Jason Arnold  ... Blue Jays see him as a possible No. 2 starter. Arnold isn’t a favorite of scouts, in part because his delivery can be inconsistent and his weight has been a problem in the past. However, his numbers have been outstanding and he has the stuff to back it up ... There’s a pretty good chance that Arnold will reach the majors in the second half of this year." 

" ... J.J. Hardy ...  No one questions Hardy’s defense, and the 20-year-old appears to have broken through offensively in his third professional season. If he keeps this up for another month or two, he’ll deserve a place alongside the game’s other top shortstop prospects."

Hardy also attracted the attention of David Cameron, Strike Three :

" ... One of the more remarkable turns of the season has been the about-face J.J. Hardy (#89 on the Top 100) has pulled ...  he's beginning the season in AA at the age of 20 and is coming off a less-than-awesome season in high-A. The Brewers have pushed him aggressively through the system despite the fact that he'd shown no plate discipline to speak of. Chalk one up for Milwaukee. After drawing 28 walks in 481 at-bats last year, Hardy has drawn 15 walks against just nine strikeouts in 78 ABs this year. He's also showing big-time power as 12 of his 26 hits went for extra bases. He's adding a .333 batting average to the power and patience, making him one of the best hitters in the Southern League despite his age. Hardy has clearly made the adjustments necessary to fulfilling his potential and the Brewers should get credit for recognizing a player who had the ability to get pushed through the system."

John Sickels, ESPN.com,  on Jeff Mathis ANA :

" ... (Joe) Mauer is almost universally regarded as the best catching prospect in baseball, but Mathis isn't far behind. He has a well-respected glove, and a bat that deserves more notice than it has received thus far. At Class A Cedar Rapids last year, Mathis hit .287 with 41 doubles (a sign of more power to come) and 10 homers. He's hit .271/.343/.390 so far in 16 games in the Class A California League this year, a decent start. Mathis is athletic, has power, does a decent job controlling the strike zone, and has a great work ethic. I think you made a good investment. Young catchers have a tendency to stagnate offensively, likely a result of the nagging injuries and various bumps and bruises that are part and parcel of their difficult profession. Will that happen to Mathis, or Mauer for that matter? We don't know at this point. But as young catchers go, they are definitely in the elite category."

Sickels on a hole in the Cubs' farm system -- shortstop : 

" ... More promising is Class A Daytona shortstop Luis Montanez, who is off to a slow start hitting .195 thus far. He's the best shortstop prospect in the system according to scouts, as befitting a former first-round pick, but his defense is way ahead of his offense at this point, and even his defense needs improvement. He's athletic, but hasn't consistently hit well since reaching full-season ball due to erratic strike zone judgment. It is far too early to give up on him of course ... All in all, Montanez remains the best long-term shortstop prospect the Cubs have, but he has a lot to prove."
                                                                                                                        Rookies 2003 Page Four