Rookies 2004

 


08 February, 2004

Web FundHere he goes again, launching the annual appeal with the slightly battered, but trusty tin cup (staking out the choice street locations). (Although not nearly as crafty as the guy with the leather jacket, Rolex & cell phone outside Shopper's Drug Mart on St. Clair Avenue in Toronto.)   Many thanks to those who've already sent in contributions for the new season.  If you can help out, click the cup image (at right or below). Wishes for a great season !  jdm

    A wrap on winter ball ...  the Dominican Republic squad captured the Caribbean World Series shading Puerto Rico 4-3 to cinch the title ... Rafael Soriano SEA gave up three early runs, but settled down to go seven and pick up the win 

    Jim Ingraham, Baseball America, in the chat room with more on his CLE prospect report :

" ... Jhonny Peralta is very highly thought of. How much he hits will determine whether he'll eventually be a shortstop or third baseman. He held his own in the majors last season subbing for the injured Vizquel. He's very good defensively at shortstop. If he starts to show increased power, and more run production potential, he will be moved to third base. If not, he'll stay at shortstop."

" ... rotation ... first three are set: Sabathia, Davis, and Lee. The last two spots will be won in spring training. The leading candidates are Jake Westbrook, Jason Stanford, Jason Bere, Jeff D'Amico, and Chad Durbin. If I had to guess now, I'd say Westbrook and Stanford are Nos. 4 and 5."

" ... starting outfield will be determined in spring training. Actually, two of the three spots are set. Milton Bradley will start in center and Jody Gerut in either left or right. The X factor is Matt Lawton. He will have to prove he can play left field, stay healthy, and be a productive bat. If so, he'd be the starter in left and Gerut in right. If Lawton doesn't win the left field spot, then it would probably mean Gerut starts there and Escobar starts in right field. No matter what, though, Escobar will be on the major league roster. He is out of minor league options, and the Indians like his power potential, and ability to play all three outfield positions. Health wise he is 100 percent. He may not be as fast as he was before he blew his knee out, but he's still an above average runner."

    Jeremy Deloney, GetSportsInfo, likes Casey Kotchman over Prince Fielder for the top spot among first base prospects :

" ... Had it not been for his annual injury woes, Kotchman could already be in Anaheim ... will be an offensive force as he possesses outstanding pitch recognition and plate discipline. He has attained more walks than strikeouts in each season of his young career and profiles to hit for a high average, OBP, and average power. Kotchman could sacrifice some of the average for more power, but will eventually hit 20-30 HRs per season. A Gold Glove could also be in his future."

    John Sickels, ESPN.com, on Michael Aubrey CLE :

" ... I thought Aubrey was the second-best hitting prospect in the 2003 college draft class, behind only Rickie Weeks ... several teams will regret not drafting him. Aubrey hit .348 with a .409 OBP and a .551 SLG after signing, in 38 games ... has a great swing, better power than some people expected, and solid plate discipline ... a very good defensive first baseman ...can play in the outfield if needed. I think Aubrey will advance quickly."

    Mat Olkin, USA TODAY Sports Weekly, in a piece on impact rookies for 2004, includes Jason Lane HOU in his Top 10 :

" ... Lane has no obvious job opening heading into the spring. He makes the list, though, because he just might be the game's best hitter currently without a regular spot in the lineup. At this time last year, Scott Podsednik, Jody Gerut and Jason Phillips weren't expected to play regularly either. If you can hit, the rest of the stuff tends to take care of itself. That hasn't yet happened for Lane, but it will — one way or another. Time, as well as 25-homer power, are on his side."

    Olkin also offered his picks as the most likely "burnout" candidates. It's a bit scary with Dontrelle Willis, Carlos Zambrano, Jerome Williams, CC Sabathia, Joel Piniero and Mark Prior prominent on the list

" ... Prior ... The scouts say he has picture-perfect mechanics, and they may be right, but there's no disputing the fact that he threw the most pitches per start of any major leaguer (113). He then averaged 123 pitches over three postseason starts. This at the tender age of 22. It undoubtedly will continue unless and until he breaks down — what manager could bring himself to consistently give an early hook to the majors' most effective pitcher?"

" ... Gil Meche ... Crash and burn. All the elements for a breakdown are there."

    Remember when ... Glen Williams was such a highly touted prospect in the ATL system?

" ... Toronto Blue Jays minor-leaguer Glenn Williams drove in three runs to lead Australia over South Africa 6-4, moving the host nation one win from berth in Athens Olympics. Williams doubled in the fourth inning to score former Milwaukee Brewers catcher Dave Nilsson and Trent Oeltjen." (Associated Press)
  


07 February, 2004

    More kudos for Grady Sizemore as he wins the No.1 ranking in the CLE system in the lastest Top 10 from Baseball America.  Jim Ingraham handled the CLE report :

" ... It has been a long time since a player with this many tools has emerged from the Indians system. Sizemore has the full package, the potential to be a marquee player, and is as close to being an untouchable as the Indians have in their minor league system. He uses the entire field and controls the strike zone well, projecting as a .300 hitter in the majors. His power is coming quicker than expected, as he stroked 13 homers last year after totaling six in his first three seasons....  speed and center-field range are well-above-average ... Sizemore also has off-the-charts makeup ... isn’t far from being major league-ready at age 21."

Ingraham's heads-up pick is No.4, righthander Jake Dittler

    Mat Olkin, USA TODAY Sports Weekly, has published his picks as the "impact rookies" of 2004 with catcher Joe Mauer leading the pack.  Mets' shortstop Kazuo Matsui was next :

" ... He did it all in Japan, hitting for power and average with great speed and defense. He may not be the offensive force he was there — his home run power may devolve into doubles power, and his average likely will fall short of .300 — but his glovework and basestealing should more than compensate."

Jason Bay PIT, getting more and more attention, ranked No. 3:

" ... in 121 games between Triple-A and the majors, he batted .299 with 24 homers, 74 walks and 26 stolen bases. He may approach each of those totals this year, and the Pirates will give him every chance to do just that."

    John Sickels, ESPN.com (with his Prospect Book on the way), hands out a B+ to Manny Parra MIL :

" ... Parra is a well-kept secret, one of the crown jewels in a rapidly improving Milwaukee farm system, and one of the better LHP prospects in the game ... In 188 career innings, he's gone 14-3 with a 2.87 ERA and a 172/34 K/BB ratio ... a three-pitch guy, operating with a 90-92 mph fastball, a curveball, and a changeup. His velocity is above-average for a lefty, and he has precision control of all three pitches ... He is very efficient, which should help him stay healthy. I gave him a Grade B+ in my prospect book this year, which is high praise."

    KC happy with the progress of a pair of lefties at the Royals' mini-camp :

" ... Jeremy Affeldt encountered no difficulty with the finger blister that has plagued him the last two seasons. If Affeldt's blister reappears in spring training, the Royals have indicated he might be moved permanently to the bullpen to lessen wear and tear on the finger. “I hope not,” reliever Jason Grimsley said, “because I haven't seen a left-hander that can dominate a baseball game like that boy can in a long time."

" ... Chris George had success keeping the ball low in the strike zone, which is considered crucial to re-establishing himself as a rotation candidate. “Chris George threw the ball well, downhill, and I was very impressed,” Pena said." (Kansas City Star)

    Felipe Alou keeping eyes on rookie righthander as possible 5th starter :

" ... Alou also said he looks forward to seeing Merkin Valdez, the 22-year-old right-hander the Giants acquired from Atlanta in the Russ Ortiz deal last winter. Alou considers Valdez a candidate for the fifth starter job, along with Dustin Hermanson and Kevin Correia. General manager Brian Sabean has endorsed Valdez, too, calling him the most likely nonroster player to win a job out of spring training." (San Francisco Chronicle)
  


06 February, 2004

    Dayn Perry, FoxSports, has another installment (61-70) of his Top 100 and there are at least a couple of names which jump out -- Jason Stokes FLO, down at No. 63 and John Maine BAL at No. 67 :

" ... Stokes ... had an outstanding season in 2002 in the Midwest League, showing tremendous power and hitting for average. This past year, he struggled in the high-A Florida State League, but he was battling a wrist injury for much of the season. Still, he declined in every area in 2003. It's far too soon to take that as an indictment, but now he's got more to prove at the higher levels. He's got a fine bat, but 2004 will be highly critical for him. As if he needed another hurdle, Hee Sop Choi is now a Marlin."

" ... Maine ... showed tremendous command for the first two seasons of his pro career. He was good again last season in the Carolina League, but he wasn't his dominant self of yore. Very good, but not great. That's somewhat of a concern going forward, since the Carolina League is one of the most pitching-friendly circuits in baseball. Still, he shows strong control and excellent strikeout rates ...  I'm being conservative with this ranking because I want to see how he fares in the high minors. Still, I like him a lot. If he stays healthy, great things may be ahead."

    Phil Rogers, Baseball America, in the chat room with more thoughts on CHA prospects.  

" ... I don't think (Joe) Borchard needs a change of scenery. I think he needs to give himself a fresh start and stop putting so pressure on himself. I'd look for him to reassert himself this season. At some point the White Sox might have to say this is a guy who is going to strike out a lot, but I've seen him take over games. I think he can be a productive player ... I know that a lot of people are down on Borchard, and deservedly so. He's had back-to-back poor years. But, to me, there's something special about the guy. I don't see him just fading away. And if he gets it right, he's a switch hitter with power, speed and great presence."

" ... I think (Kris) Honel is regarded as a future ace. He doesn't make radar guns dance but he's never not been the best pitcher on his team. Until that's true, I'll continue to consider him a future ace."

" ... (Neal) Cotts was pitching in A ball a year ago. Sometimes we expect too much and that was the case with Cotts. There's no way his 2003 season should be looked on as anything but a huge success. He might need time at Triple-A but I think he will establish himself as a big-league starter in relatively short order."

" ... When do you think Ruddy Yan will get a chance in the big leagues? A: Phil Rogers: When he learns how to get the ball out of the infield. The guy is as fast as Cool Papa Bell and he can't ever get a double? What's that about? I'm not sure the Sox needed to put him on the 40-man roster this winter. He's gonna be some kind of overmatched in a big-league camp ... pitchers still knock the bat out of Yan's hands. When he makes contact, he's a threat to turn groundouts into singles."

    Tacoma prospect watchers in for a treat. 

" ... Travis Blackley, Clint Nageotte, Chris Snelling and Jose Lopez are going to be pictured on baseball cards. "Tacoma should be an interesting club to watch because there are a lot of prospects on the team," said Benny Looper, the Mariners' vice president for player development ... Rainiers are getting a Texas-size boost in talent from the Mariners' Class AA team ... Baseball America picked the Missions as its Class AA team of the year. Blackley, a left-handed pitcher, and third baseman Justin Leone were picked to the magazine's Class AA all-star team ...  Leone, the Texas League's most valuable player, and Lopez, a strong-armed shortstop, are slated for Tacoma. Also expected to wear the Rainiers' uniform are first baseman A.J. Zapp and Snelling, the Australian outfield prospect who is making his way back from knee surgery."

" ... Pitching was the Missions' real strength. Blackley, the Texas League's pitcher of the year, tied for the minor-league lead with 17 wins and was second in the Texas League with a 2.61 ERA. Nageotte's numbers weren't far behind. He won 11 games and had an ERA of 3.10 while leading the league in strikeouts (157 in 154 innings). Others who could be in Tacoma, if not Seattle, are left-handed starter Bobby Madritsch (13-7, 3.63) and left-handed reliever George Sherrill (3-0, 0.36). Both were signed out of the independent leagues and both were impressive." ... The Rainiers' rotation could feature Craig Anderson and Jeff Heaverlo, holdovers from last year, and Blackley, Nageotte and Madritsch. Then there's Rett Johnson, who won 11 games between Tacoma and San Antonio last season, and Cha-Sueng Baek, a 23-year-old Korean who was added to the 40-man roster this winter." (Spokane Spokesman-Review)

    Joe Ptak, at his Cleveland Indians Report, has begun the position-by-position reports on the CLE system. And, good news for Brandon Phillips fans, Joe thinks he'll eventually reward your patience :

" ... The only good thing that you can say about Brandon Phillips' 2003 season is that it's over. Save for a six-game stretch from May 8-14 when he hit .476 ... Phillips was an extreme disappointment for the Indians at the plate last year ... not even a midseason demotion to Buffalo could shake him out of his struggles as he hit just .175/.247/.279/.526 in 154 at-bats with the Bisons and followed that up with a .203 September after rejoining the Indians for the final month. Phillips chose not to participate in the Indians offseason workout program and, while the Indians publicly say that they are fine with his decision to workout in his hometown of Atlanta, you have to think privately they wish he was in Cleveland under their watchful and instructional eye. With the signing of Ronnie Belliard, Phillips is ticketed for at least a half-season (and likely a full-season) of triple-A experience which may be the best thing for him at this stage of his career. Plenty of players have struggled in their initial exposure to the big leagues and it's important to remember that Phillips is just 22 years old (turns 23 on June 28) and still possesses a ton of raw talent ...  I'm optimistic."

    Grady Sizemore becoming the jewel of the CLE haul for Bartolo Colon (Sizemore, Brandon Phillips and Cliff Lee from Montreal) :

" ...  Eastern League All-Star, the EL Rookie of the Year and the Futures Game MVP ... Heading into last season, Sizemore was ranked by Baseball America as the Indians' seventh-best prospect. By the end of it, he had been tabbed the Tribe's Minor-League Player of the Year -- having led the organization in hits (151) and runs (96), finishing third in average and tied for third in RBI. When that job was done, Sizemore did much of the same for his country, batting .442 with 12 runs scored and seven RBI in 13 games for Team USA. ``Sizemore's a bona fide major-league everyday player,'' said the Indians' director of player development John Farrell, while admitting that Sizemore's solid game surprised even some of his top supporters. ``The power numbers came quick in 2003. We projected him to have 15-20 home run potential in the future, but to see it come out in Double-A was faster than we imagined.'' If nothing else, the extraordinary season proved Sizemore not only to possess top-notch baseball talent, but also many of the intangibles that typically only come with experience." (Akron Beacon Journal)

    Hmmm. Perhaps a spot for Victor Diaz, after all. 

" ... (Mets GM Jim) Duquette said that second base prospect Victor Diaz, whom the Mets acquired from the Dodgers in the Jeromy Burnitz trade, could begin taking balls at third base this spring and may eventually shift to left field in order to better utilize his bat. (MLB.com)

 


05 February, 2004

    Gonna REALLY miss his stuff.  Josh Boyd, who many of us have followed since his early days with his own prospect site, is leaving Baseball America to suit up as a scout with San Diego.  The Padres are getting a prime talent, poised to become the ace of the staff.  Congratulations Josh !

    Baseball America now moving along with the final few Top 10s ... Phil Rogers studied the WSox and, just like the rest of the forecasters, picks Jeremy Reed as the best of the CHA farm crop :

" ... Reed can really hit. He not only has a simple stroke that allows him to make contact almost at will but he also has a terrific eye for the strike zone ... should develop more power in time, though he’ll generate a lot more doubles than homers. He’ll probably max out at 15-20 homers annually ... has become an average center fielder and should get better with more experience there ... If he proves unable to handle center field, he won’t have the home run power typical of a corner outfielder ... Several club officials would like to see Reed get a full season at Triple-A Charlotte ... With Magglio Ordonez one year away from free agency, it’s conceivable both Reed and Borchard will be regulars in 2005."

Rogers selected righthander Kris Honel as the No.2 in the WSox system. 

    At GetSportsInfo, Jeremy Deloney, has a look at the top catching prospects with, as expected, Joe Mauer the best of the bunch.   Dioner Navarro NYA was an interesting pick at No. 2 :

" ... Yankees often over-hype their prospects in order to acquire veterans near the trade deadline, but Navarro is the heir apparent to Jorge Posada. He is an excellent defensive catcher whose bat continues to improve. He’s only 5’10” but will gain strength as his body matures. A switch-hitter, Navarro projects to average power with the ability to hit to all fields."

Navarro ranked ahead of TOR's Guillermo Quiroz and Jeff Mathis ANA.

Chris Snyder ARZ slipped into the No. 5 slot :

" ... Scouts rave about Snyder’s leadership behind the plate. He has a “take charge” attitude and always hustles. He’s known for his defensive prowess, but his bat isn’t bad either. He has an imposing frame and has legitimate power to all fields. He dominated High A ball last season and was promoted to Double A where he struggled with a wrist injury. He’ll most likely repeat AA ball and will lead the charge to Arizona in the next few years. His plate discipline and keen eye will certainly help him in the long-run."

    Fans of the Twins' Quad City franchise in for a treat this summer as a pair of the top MIN prospects set to line up with the club :

" ... Speedy centerfielder Denard Spann will likely open this season as the centerfielder for The Swing. The Twins' first-round pick in the 2002 June Draft is called the fastest player in the organization by B.A. and is rated at the organization's No. 7 prospect ... ``When we scouted Denard out of high school he reminded us a lot of Kenny Loftron,'' said Rob Anthony, the Twins director of baseball operations. ``He can really fly, he's a true centerfielder and he is a true leadoff hitter ... Meanwhile, third baseman Matt Moses is rated No. 3 in the Twins' organization. The 2003 first-round pick played in just 18 games with the GCL Twins last season due to minor heart surgery. He did hit .385 and had a .492 slugging average. ``Matt has a chance to start there, we'd love it if he did,'' said Anthony. ``The key is that he needs the games and he needs to prove he belongs at that level. ``Everything is good with his health. He can really hit. He can hit for power and he's got great discipline. Matt's got a chance to be a plus fielder, but needs to work on that.''  (Quad-Cities Online)

    Bubba Nelson anxious to begin his quest to grab the 5th rotation spot in ATL.

" ... Nelson and another Braves pitcher, Chris Waters, drove two to three hours through ice and snow recently for a tuneup at the Goochland garage of Richmond Braves pitching coach Guy Hansen. Hansen is a consultant for the Virginia Sports Complex, which built a satellite facility for hitting and pitching lessons at Hansen's home ... Nelson and Waters dodged the weather and traffic around Washington on three separate days, all for 45- to 50-pitch sessions with Hansen ... Nelson left Saturday for Atlanta to attend the two-week minicamp of A-Braves pitching coach Leo Mazzone, known as Camp Leo. "This is a fine-tune here for the fine-tune when I get to Camp Leo," Nelson said. The 22-year-old right-hander has his eyes on Atlanta's fifth starter's spot, or possibly a place in the bullpen. Nelson, who delivers a moving 93-95 mph fastball, went 8-10 with a 3.18 ERA last year in Greenville, mostly as a starter. With Atlanta looking for postseason help in the bullpen, Nelson became a reliever just before being elevated to Richmond in August. Nelson went 0-1 with a 1.88 ERA in 11 outings with the R-Braves, but he wasn't called up to Atlanta. "A lot of other guys are after that [fifth starting] spot, so I'm working my tail off doing this and a lot of little things to get ready," Nelson said."  (Richmond Times-Dispatch)

    Ah ... it's a good time.  Ken Warren's Ballpark Figures has arrived (and, it's a ton of good reading and projections) and John Sickels' Prospect Book is on the way.  In spite of three feet of snow, it feels as if spring is just around the corner. 
   


04 February, 2004

    Thanks to David Farr for keeping me up to date on the NRI list.  It's likely that the most complete list of Spring Training Invitees is here.  

    Seth Trachtman, at CREATiVESPORTS, has wrapped his Top 10s with a look at the Cubbies.  So unfair.  Already with rotation possibilities including Mark Prior, Kerry Wood, Matt Clement, Carlos Zambrano, Juan Cruz and maybe Greg Maddux, the Cubs have more on the way.  Looking at the Cubs' prospect list must bring tears to the eyes of the folks in Arlington. 

Seth goes with Justin Jones over Angel Guzman as No.1 :

" ... second round pick in 2002 out of high school, Jones has a very high ceiling. He throws in the low-90s with an impressive repertoire from the left side. Last season he had a 2.28 ERA and 87/32 K/BB ratio in 71 innings of Low-A. He has a large frame and no glaring weaknesses other than his slight arm injury last season. If healthy, he should be a very good major league starter."

After Guzman, there's big lefty Andy Sisco and Chadd Blasko :

" ...  extremely polished. He throws in the low-90s with an excellent repertoire and dominated High-A with a 1.98 ERA and 131/43 K/BB ratio in 136.1 innings pitched. It is early, but Blasko looks like he will be a solid starter to settle behind Mark Prior and Kerry Wood."

Last year's top pick by the Cub, Bobby Brownlie, ranks No.6. 

    Now here's the results of a real test ... the top picks in AL Stieb, a new Canadian Scoresheet League.  No sign of Joe Mauer, BJ Upton yet ... through the first 30 picks. 

 1. ARod         11. Tejada      21. Sabathia
 2. Pedro        12. Blalock     22. Giambi
 3. Hudson       13. Alfonso     23. Mussina
 4. Halladay     14. Manny       24. Jeter   
 5. Mulder       15. Zito        25. Berroa
 6. Vlad         16. Wells       26. Santana
 7. Delgado      17. Posada      27. Shilling
 8. Beltran      18. Ordonez     28. Sheffield
 9. Nomar        19. Chavez      29. Texeria
10. Vazquez      20. Ponson      30. Javy Lopez

    The annual ratings from the Scoresheet-talk list have been posted.  The whole thing is here (although there's a possibility of some changes given a couple of weird ballots).  Of the rookies ... not much to raise your eyebrows.  Perhaps Zack Greinke over BJ Upton for the runner-up spot behind Joe Mauer in the NL.  And, I'd guess Delmon Young will go ahead of all but Mauer & Upton in the real drafts.  The top ten picks in each league :

ROOKIES AL         ROOKIES NL
Joe Mauer          Prince Fielder       
Zack Greinke       Edwin Jackson         
B.J. Upton         Scott Kazmir         
Bobby Crosby       Jason Bay             
Alexis Rios        Cole Hamels           
Casey Kotchman     Rickie Weeks          
Delmon Young       Josh Barfield         
Jeremy Reed        Khalil Greene         
Jeff Mathis        Greg Miller           
Ervin Santana      Andy Marte            

    Concerns about Jason Bay PIT being ready to start the season in the regular lineup :

" ... Bay continues to recover from November surgery to repair a cartilage tear in his right shoulder. However, he admits he is getting impatient. "I thought once I could start moving my shoulder that I'd be ready to throw but it's not that simple because I've still have to strengthen the muscles in my shoulder," Bay said. "I've made a lot of progress in the last month but I don't even ask the doctors anymore when they're going to let me throw. I just want to concentrate on getting better every day." Bay will probably be able to start throwing by mid-March, though he should be able to take batting practice when position players report to spring training in Bradenton, Fla., on Feb. 25. The Pirates are hoping Bay will be ready to play by the April 5 opener, though that is still questionable." (Beaver County Times)

    This may be the last we hear of Drew Henson, as a baseball player.  The divorce appears to be near final :

" ... Henson has agreed to forfeit the remaining $12 million on his contract with the New York Yankees and give up his baseball career to return to football, MLB.com reported Tuesday. A bust in the minor leagues after his highly publicized signing, Henson is property of the NFL's Houston Texans, who took a chance by selecting him in the sixth round of the 2003 draft ... "I have truly enjoyed playing professional baseball, but after a great deal of thought and discussions with the people closest to me, I have decided to make football my career," Henson said in a statement in the New York Daily News."  (Associated Press)

    Corey Hart MIL ... bound for a position switch.

" ... Brewers will switch Hart from the hot corner to the outfield in 2004, even though the 6-foot-6 prospect was the MVP of the Double-A Southern League last year with Huntsville. There were a number of reasons for the switch, not the least of which was Hart's struggle to convert from a first baseman to a third baseman. In 119 games with the Stars in 2003, he committed 32 errors as he tried to learn the nuances of his new position." (Baseball America)
  


03 February, 2004

    Geeze ... less than two weeks to ... pitchers and catchers ... 

    Caribbean World Series ... Rafael Soriano SEA 5 1/3 innings, two runs on two hits, five strikeouts ...  

    Quite a farm harvest in MIN. Baseball America is back with its Top 10 coverage and Josh Boyd has the Twins on tap.  No surprise at the top -- catcher Joe Mauer :

" ... combines a picture-perfect lefthanded stroke with impeccable strike-zone judgment to generate high batting averages and on-base percentages. His natural approach and swing path lend themselves more to a batting title than a home run crown ... Defensively, Mauer had no equals at the minor league level. Some scouts say he’ll be the best receiver in the American League when he debuts in April ... Outstanding arm strength gives him a third present 80 tool on the 20-80 scouting scale to go with his bat and glove ... scouts insist he has the power to one day hit 35-40 in a season if he wants to. He showed signs of adding more loft to his swing in Double-A ... no reason he shouldn’t develop into a perennial all-star."

The one "heads-up" on the list is Josh's No. 3 pick -- third sacker Matt Moses.

" ... That just reflects how special his bat is and can be. In my personal top 50 that will appear in the Prospect Handbook, I have him right around 50th overall, which is probably higher than Will Lingo, Jim Callis and Allan Simpson ... secondary tools are overwhelming and he has work to do defensively, though, which is why he wasn't a top 10 pick ... his bat is that good. He compares to a Hank Blalock type hitter at the same level and Moses has outstanding makeup. He could move fast."

Jason Bartlett viewed as the shortstop of the future, beginning very soon :

" ...  I think the plan is for Bartlett to spend most of the year in Triple-A playing everyday in preparation to take over for Guzman in 2005. It wouldn't make sense for them to groom him for their everyday job by sitting him on the bench in the majors. When they first acquired Bartlett, though, they would've been pleased if he turned out to be Hocking, instead he's exceeded expectations and profiles as an everyday guy now ... At the plate, maybe a Mark Loretta type, though he's more of a factor on the bases than Loretta."

Boyd on catching defense ... Guillermo Quiroz vs Joe Mauer :

" ... Quiroz is above-average, or at least he has the tools to be and projects as above-average (60 on the 20-80) where Mauer is a 70 now and projects as an 80, winning Gold Gloves year after year."

    On my ... Scott Rex, OnDeck, has out done 'em all -- a Top 500 !  Joe Mauer MIN tops the mammoth undertaking, with LA lefty Greg Miller at No. 2.  A fascinating list.  Here's the top 20 :

1. Joe Mauer, C, Twins 2. Greg Miller, LHP, Dodgers 3. Edwin Jackson, RHP, Dodgers 4. B.J. Upton, SS, Devil Rays 5. Zack Greinke, RHP, Royals 6. Scott Kazmir, LHP, Mets 7. Delmon Young, OF, Devil Rays 8. Cole Hamels, LHP, Phillies 9. Casey Kotchman, 1B, Angels 10. Prince Fielder, 1B, Brewers 11. Rickie Weeks, 2B, Brewers 12. Dustin McGowan, RHP, Blue Jays 13. Alexis Rios, OF, Blue Jays 14. J.J. Hardy, SS, Brewers 15. Justin Morneau, 1B, Twins 16. Kazuo Matsui, SS, Mets 17. Angel Guzman, RHP, Cubs 18. Grady Sizemore, OF, Indians 19. Gavin Floyd, RHP, Phillies 20. Jeremy Guthrie, RHP, Indians

Lots of interesting names way, way down the list.  Alberto Callaspo ANA at No. 239, David DeJesus KC No. 212, as examples.

    Matthew Pouliot, RotoWorld.com, marches on with his position-by-position reports.  Among the first sackers for 2004, the young guns get little notice.  Lyle Overbay MIL, at No. 25, is listed as one of the "under-rated: types :

" ... he'll get a second chance in Milwaukee ... good thing about being a member of the Brewers is that he should no longer have to look over his shoulder after an 0-for-4 game ... upside is rather limited ...  It's not like he was overmatched last year, batting .276 with a 767 OPS in 254 at-bats. Now that he's in his second year, a .290-.300 average should be expected. He's not going to hit more than 15-18 homers, but since he will deliver plenty of doubles, he could drive in 90 runs."

Among the over-rated, is Adam LaRoche ATL :

" ...  will deliver outstanding defense and mix in the occasional homer. He just shouldn't be counted on to hit like an average first baseman as a rookie. That may come with time, but since he has just a half season of Triple-A play (with an 826 OPS) under his belt, he's due for a lengthy period of adjustment. NL-only leaguers would be better off taking a chance on Overbay or Hee Seop Choi."

    Close to official ... Drew Henson to football :

" ... Henson has agreed to leave the New York Yankees to pursue a career in the NFL. Henson's agent, Casey Close, told the Yankees the third baseman is quitting after three mediocre seasons in the minor leagues, a baseball official said Monday on the condition he not be identified. Henson will forfeit the $12 million he is owed from the contract he agreed to with the Yankees in 2001, the official said. The NFL's Houston Texans, who hold the quarterback's rights, announced Monday that Henson would work out with the team on Feb. 12 in a showcase for the other 31 NFL franchises." (Associated Press)
  


02 February, 2004

    Winter ball playoffs ... Caribbean World Series ... once a Blue Jays prospect, Robert Perez the hero of the opening game :

" ...  Perez hit a bases-loaded single in the bottom of the 10th inning Sunday to lead Venezuela over Puerto Rico 7-6 in the opener of the Caribbean Series. Luis Ordaz opened the 10th with a single off Justin Lehr. After Magglio Ordonez struck out, Alex Cabrera doubled and Miguel Cabrera was intentionally walked to load the bases. Perez, who hit a two-run homer in the sixth, followed with a line drive off the left-field wall. On Monday, Venezuela plays Mexico while Puerto Rico faces the Dominican Republic." (Associated Press)

    Seth Trachtman, CREATiVESPORTS, with a choice of aces --- lefty/righty -- atop the Dodgers' Top 10.  Seth went with Greg Miller at No. 1 :

" ... one of the best pitching prospects in the game and arguably has the highest ceiling of any prospect in the game. The 2002 first round pick out of high school throws in the mid-90s with a nasty curve and slider. While his control still has room for improvement, it is very good. He had a 2.49 ERA and 111/41 K/BB ratio in 115.2 innings of Low-A followed by an ERA near 1.00 in High-A. If he stays healthy, the sky is the limit."

Edwin Jackson was the runnerup, with centrefielder Franklin Gutierrez No. 3 :

" ...  as much pure power as anyone in the low minors. He also runs well and is especially valuable since he plays center field. The 20-year-old hit .282-20-68 with 17 steals in Low-A last season and held his own upon a short call-up to Double-A. His only weakness is a very predictable one. Gutierrez has poor plate discipline, represented by a 39/111 BB/K ratio in Low-A last season. The potential is there for him to be a superstar if he gains better recognition of the strike zone."

    JJ Davis may be on the way out in PIT :

" ... When last season ended, it was generally assumed rookie J.J. Davis would at least platoon in right field for the Pittsburgh Pirates in 2004. However, with spring training less than a month away, Davis' name is almost never mentioned by the Pirates' brass. Though he is out of minor-league options and would have to pass through waivers if the Pirates tried to drop him from the 40-man roster, it is clear Davis has fallen out of favor. The Pirates are not happy Davis left the Zulia club in the Venezuelan Winter League in December after playing in just 15 games. That came after Davis begged off playing for the United States team in the Olympic qualifying tournament in November because of a strained hamstring. "There were some at bats there we would have liked for him to have had to get better prepared for spring training," Pirates GM Dave Littlefield said. "It's a big year for him with the options situations. We'll see how it goes."  

Meanwhile, another Pirate who went the other direction ... playing when the club wanted him to rest, is in the good books :

" ... Meanwhile, left-hander Oliver Perez and center fielder Tike Redman solidified their roster spots with good winter ball seasons. Perez was 2-1 with a 2.37 ERA in 30 1/3 innings for Culiacan in Mexico while Redman hit .313 with two homers and 15 RBIs in 54 games for Zulia, which was managed by Pirates bench coach Pete Mackanin. The Pirates did not want Perez to pitch winter ball. However, he was under enormous pressure to compete in his home country. "We understand the pressures involved and, fortunately, it looked like at our minicamp that Oliver wasn't any worse for the wear."  (Beaver County Times)

    Drew Henson ... close, it seems, to a break from baseball :

" ...  Henson could be released from his contract within days, allowing him to begin planning for a future as an NFL quarterback. Henson could reach an agreement with the Yankees as soon as Monday night to settle up on the $12 million he's guaranteed over the next three years so he can pursue NFL offers ... Houston, which is happy with David Carr as its quarterback, drafted Henson with the idea of signing and trading him. The Texans hold his rights until the '04 draft in April. The early list of potential NFL trade suitors includes Buffalo, Dallas, Green Bay, Miami, Pittsburgh and -- a surprise entry -- Kansas City. Henson is planning on an invitation-only football workout for mid-February." (ESPN.com)

    


 

  
     

 

    
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