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21 December, 2003
Winter
ball ... Puerto Rico -- Chris Gissell SF 7.0 5 2 2 2 9 ... deja vu, Alexis
Rios TOR 3-4, double, 3 runs, .349 ... Miguel Negron TOR,
up to .295, 2-4 ... Mexico -- Alfredo Amezaga ANA 2-2, walk, .271
... Freddy Bynum OAK 3-4, homer, 3 RBI, .290 ... Calvin Pickering
KC 3-5, .286
Jim
Callis, Baseball America, with more on the Rule 5, especially the curious moves
by PIT to leave some many bodies on the table for the picking :
"
... The best player that Pittsburgh lost is third baseman (Jose) Bautista.
He has a quick, powerful bat and good athleticism, though the Orioles may find
it tough to keep him on their major league roster next season. However, the
Pirates may not get the other four players back. The Tigers are so woeful that
they should have no trouble holding onto first baseman/catcher (Chris)
Shelton, who led the high Class A Carolina League in batting
(.359/.478/.641) but needs a position. Speedy outfielder Rich Thompson
should be able to hold down a reserve role with the Royals. Deceptive lefty (Frank)
Brooks' chances of sticking in the A's bullpen were a lot better before
Oakland re-signed Ricardo Rincon and added Chris Hammond via trade and Arthur
Rhodes via free agency. Righty Jeff Bennett's fastball jumped to
95 mph once he switched to relief in 2003, and rumors that he may have a sore
shoulder mean that the Brewers might be able to stash him on the disabled
list."
It's
difficult to keep up, but I believe the 40-man
rosters are up to date with the non-tenders announced as of Saturday
night. There likely will be a few announced over the weekend.
20 December, 2003
Winter
ball ... Puerto Rico -- sounds like a replay, Alexis Rios TOR 3-5, 2
homers (12), 4 RBI, .345 ... Dicky Gonzalez TB 7.0 6 2 2 2 8, 1.50
... Donzell McDonald FA? 3-5, triple, homer, .339 ... Venezuela --
Derrick Gibson FA 3-4, 10th homer, .318 ... Omar Infante
DET 5-5, homer, 5 runs, .351 ... Adrian Hernandez NYA 3-0, 1.64
now, 5.0 5 3 3 0 6 ... Alex Escobar CLE 3-5, double, homer, 4 RBI,
.263
Hmmm.
The SD farm thinned out in a hurry. Still, some top drawer talent at the
top. Jim Callis, Baseball America, sees second sacker Josh Barfield
as the best of the bunch :
"
... After a breakout 2003, Milwaukee’s Rickie Weeks and Arizona’s Scott
Hairston are his only rivals as the top second-base prospects in the game.
Barfield won MVP honors in the high Class A California League and led the minors
in hits, doubles, RBIs and extra-base hits. The organization’s minor league
player of the year, Barfield did it all despite being bothered by a sore right
wrist for much of the year. He had offseason surgery to repair ligament damage,
which prevented him from playing in the Arizona Fall League ... a rare second
baseman who’s capable of batting third in the order. He uses his quick stroke
to smoke line drives all over the field. Not only is he the best hitter in the
system, but he’s also the best at making adjustments. Some of his doubles will
carry over the fence once he gains more strength and experience, giving him
25-homer power. Barfield isn’t a speedster or a future Gold Glover, but he’s
a better runner and defender than most people realize ... Padres say Barfield
will be able to stay at second base, where his sure hands are his best
asset."
"
... could stand to draw a few more walks, though he nearly doubled his total
from 27 in 2002 to 50 last year ... Unless Barfield’s development slows
considerably, however, he should be ready by mid-2005 at the latest. His wrist
will be 100 percent for spring training, and he’ll open 2004 at Double-A
Mobile."
MLB
numbers in his prime :
"
... .300-plus average, 40 doubles, 25 homers, 110 RBIs. He's the real
deal."
Barfield
won the top slot over shortstop Khalil Greene and outfielder Freddy
Guzman.
In
the chatroom, Callis on Greene :
"
... The Padres are so committed to Greene that they chose not to pursue Kazuo
Matsui or Nomar Garciaparra. I'm not sure he'll hit much this year, maybe around
.250 with 8-10 homers, but can see him becoming a .275 hitter with 12-15 homers
and 30-plus doubles in time."
Callis
on the challenge facing Jake Gautreau :
"
... the Padres made their thoughts clear when they didn't protect him on the
40-man roster this season. Other clubs didn't bite in the major league Rule 5
draft, either. Colitis has set him back, but the bottom line is he has to start
hitting like the Padres thought he would when they made him a first-round pick
in 2001. With Castro in Triple-A and Barfield in Double-A in 2004, Gautreau
probably has to move back to third base, which means he's going to have to
provide even more offense."
Scot
Rex, OnDeck, goes with pitching 1-2-3 at the top of his MON prospect list. Rex
picks 'em -- Michael Hinckley. Clint Everts, Josh Karp.
Winter
ball stats ... a little dated (through the 16th) ... some prospects, guys trying
to hang on & a few other names of note :
PLAYER
AVG AB 2B 3B HR BB SO SB CS SLG OBP E
ATL *Langerhans, Ryan,OF
.400 40 2 0 2 5 12 2
0 .600 .467 1
CIN #Jimenez, D'Angelo,2B .373
110 7 2 1 27 8 2 1 .500
.500 3
SF Feliz,
Pedro,3B
.356 104 7 1 3 5 16 0 0
.529 .382 5
ANA Callaspo, Alberto,2B
.347 98 4 1 0 10 8 0
0 .408 .405 2
TOR Rios, Alexis,OF
.345 110 5 3 10 5 16 0 2 .718
.374 1
SF Valderrama, Carlos,OF
.345 113 11 0 5 7 23 4 2 .575
.383 1
DET Infante, Omar,SS
.344 192 11 2 6 24 37 12 3 .516 .420 16
NYN Diaz,
Victor,2B
.337 86 9 0 1 2 24 2
0 .477 .360 1
FA #McDonald, Donzell,OF
.333 120 5 1 3 19 27 9 5 .467
.426 2
FA Clemente, Edgar,OF
.333 96 7 2 6 21 17 8 2
.635 .463 0
MON *Sledge, Termel,OF
.326 95 8 0 3 7 18 1
2 .505 .369 1
STL Molina, Yadier,C
.325 80 4 0 2 3 10 0
0 .450 .345 3
HOU #Gimenez, Hector,C
.325 126 7 2 4 9 36 1 0
.508 .365 1
ATL *LaRoche,
Adam,1B
.322 90 5 0 7 19 17 1 1
.611 .442 1
CHA *Gload, Ross,OF
.321 224 8 1 12 21 27 3 4 .527
.380 3
COL #Reyes, Rene,OF
.315 181 11 3 8 14 24 3 3 .541
.373 6
TOR Quiroz, Guillermo,C
.313 112 4 0 10 6 35 0 0 .616
.371 3
FA Gibson, Derrick,OF
.303 119 3 0 9 13 31 0 1 .555
.378 2
CHN *Pie, Felix,OF
.302 63 2 1 0 8 12 2
1 .365 .389 0
KC #Gotay,
Ruben,2B
.300 80 8 0 0 12 11 3 0
.400 .398 3
TEX Nivar, Ramon,OF
.293 82 4 1 0 2 9
4 1 .366 .322 1
TOR *Pond, Simon,DH
.292 120 4 1 10 11 22 3 0 .592
.361 2
OAK German,
Esteban,2B .286
133 4 0 2 13 21 11 1 .361 .351 4
DET *Pena,
Carlos,1B
.282 117 7 2 6 15 28 1 0 .530
.368 2
OAK *Durazo, Erubiel,1B
.281 32 3 0 1 9 11 0
0 .469 .452 2
ARZ Terrero, Luis,OF
.276 29 2 0 0 3 10 0
2 .345 .344 0
TOR *Negron, Miguel,OF
.274 95 2 1 2 5 26 5
2 .379 .310 0
KC *Gomez, Alexis,OF
.272 125 4 0 3 13 32 8 3 .376
.341 2
FLO *Choi, Hee
Seop,1B .271
85 7 0 4 11 25 0 0 .494 .347 3
KC *Pickering, Calvin,1B
.268 127 2 0 13 31 33 0 0 .591
.416 6
ANA #Amezaga, Alfredo,2B
.267 195 6 1 1 29 31 12 2 .323
.370 8
COL Gil, Benji,SS
.265 189 10 0 6 21 41 11 2 .413 .341 9
PIT Castillo, Jose,OF
.261 184 9 2 5 23 40 2 3 .413
.341 5
BOS Youkilis,
Kevin,3B .259
112 2 0 1 29 17 2 2 .304 .413 4
ATL Marte,
Andy,3B
.256 39 2 0 1 9 13 1
0 .385 .396 4
ATL #Furcal,
Rafael,2B .255
51 4 1 1 6 7 2 1 .431
.345 2
BOS #Bellhorn,
Mark,2B .255
192 7 0 10 56 51 4 1 .448 .426 2
CLE Escobar, Alex,OF
.250 28 2 0 1 5 13 0
1 .429 .382 1
OAK *Bynum,
Freddie,2B
.250 24 1 1 0 0 6
1 0 .375 .250 2
BAL Matos, Luis,OF
.241 29 1 0 0 1 5
1 0 .276 .267 0
TB Perez,
Antonio,2B
.238 21 1 0 0 2 5
0 1 .286 .292 0
NYA *Cano,
Robinson,3B
.228 79 4 1 1 7 9
1 0 .342 .299 4
SF Ellison, Jason,OF
.227 22 1 0 0 5 2
1 2 .273 .370 1
COL #Closser,
J.D.,1B
.225 71 1 0 2 12 16 0 1
.324 .337 4
LA Gutierrez, Franklin,OF .224
134 6 3 3 14 39 1 1 .381 .300 2
ANA #Aybar, Erick,SS
.222 81 3 0 0 7 12 7
0 .259 .284 6
PIT House, J.R.,C
.219 32 2 0 0 5 11 0
0 .281 .359 1
HOU Buck, John,C
.213 89 3 0 3 9 14 0
0 .348 .307 2
ARZ Cresse, Brad,C
.212 33 1 0 1 1 14 0
0 .333 .257 3
MIN Restovich, Michael,OF
.212 33 2 0 1 4 9
0 1 .364 .316 0
PIT Davis, J.J.,OF
.212 52 2 1 3 8 18 0
1 .462 .317 2
MIN *Morneau, Justin Ernest,1B .195 77 4
0 2 5 24 0 0 .325 .241 3
SD #Guzman, Freddy,OF
.194 108 4 3 1 13 24 12 3 .315
.281 2
CIN Pena, Willie Mo,OF
.182 88 1 0 1 4 27 0
1 .227 .234 2
NYN *Brazell,
Craig,1B .176
17 2 0 0 0 7 0 0 .294
.222 1
LA #Hill, Koyie,C
.149 87 4 0 3 4 15 1
2 .299 .194 0
ATL #Betemit, Wilson,3B
.120 25 0 0 0 1 7
1 1 .120 .154 3
PITCHER
ERA G GS SV IP H R ER BB SO
SEA Soriano,
Rafael 0.00
6 5 0 32.0 14 1 0 10 19
LA *Figueroa, Jonathan 0.71
10 0 0 12.2 10 3 1 12 13
HOU Nieve,
Fernando 1.88
7 7 0 38.1 24 10 8 8 46
PIT Torres,
Salomon 2.01
4 4 0 22.1 19 6 5 8 18
ANA Rodriguez, Francisco 2.15 20 1
8 29.1 20 10 7 8 52
TEX Benoit,
Joaquin 2.16
2 2 0 8.1 5 2 2
2 7
MIL Campos, Francisco 2.43
12 12 0 77.2 71 33 21 25 61
TB Gonzalez, Geremi
2.53 10 0 3 10.2 9 5 3
6 9
FA Prieto,
Ariel
2.94 10 10 0 64.1 52 27 21 17 41
ATL *Bong,
Jung
3.00 2 2 0 6.0 5 2 2
3 3
TOR Lopez, Aquilino
3.48 17 1 3 20.2 19 12 8 3 11
ARZ Valverde,
Jose 3.86
12 0 4 14.0 16 6 6 7 16
ANA Jenks,
Bobby
4.06 7 5 1 31.0 21 15 14 22 26
SEA Hernandez, Felix
4.23 6 6 0 27.2 29 14 13 5 21
ATL *Aguilar,
Ray 4.26
11 11 0 57.0 58 33 27 21 50
CLE *Bierbrodt, Nick
4.87 8 8 0 44.1 53 29 24 14 38
NYN Griffiths, Jeremy
6.94 7 7 0 23.1 24 19 18 17 10
ANA Turnbow, Derrick
16.62 4 2 0 4.1 10 9 8
4 1
19 December, 2003
Winter
ball ... Puerto Rico -- Luis Matos BAL 4-4, 3 runs, .333 ... Bobby
Jenks ANA 6.2 5 2 2 5 6, 3.82 ... Adam LaRoche ATL 2-3,
double, .333 (quite a baseball family, dad a major league, Adam's brother a top
prospect in the LA system) ... Mexico -- Benji Gil COL 3-4,
double, homer, SB, .275 ... Edgar Gonzalez ARZ 5.0 2 0 0 0 2, 1.29
... Venezuela -- Rene Reyes COL 2-4, triple & 3-3, triple,
.330 (in 188 ABS, 11 doubles, 5 triples, 8 homers, 15 walks, 25 Ks) ...
This
one ought to promote some debate -- the SportsTicker picks as the best of the
righty starters. Joe Barbieri has his Top 10 online at MinorLeagueBaseball
and yesterday's news -- Edwin Jackson -- could do no better than
sixth. The top gun is KC phenom Zack Greinke :
"
... Greinke won each of his first nine professional decisions en route to a 14-4
mark in 2003. After going 11-1 with a 1.14 ERA to ultimately win Carolina League
Pitcher of the Year honors, the 6-2, 190-pounder went 4-3 with a 3.23 ERA over
nine starts in the Class AA Texas League. Take away one bad start ... he was 4-2
with a 2.01 ERA in the Class AA ranks ... overmatches hitters with his mid-90s
fastball, breaking ball and changeup. Perhaps most impressive, however, are his
poise and control. Demonstrating an advanced feel for pitching, the now
20-year-old Greinke issued just 18 walks in 140 innings last season and held the
opposition to a .221 average."
The
Angels' Ervin Santana grabbed the runnerup slot :
"
... emerged as the advanced Class A California League's Pitcher of the Year and
won its ERA title. Between advanced Class A and Class AA, Santana posted a .212
average against despite battling through a tired arm late in the season
... just 20, the Angels' Minor League Pitcher of the Year is continuing to
mature and build upon a fastball that already hits the mid-90s. The slender 6-3,
170-pounder also has command of his breaking ball and changeup."
Joe
Blanton OAK was No. 3 with Chin-Hui Tsao COL and John
Maine BAL rounding out the upper half.
Jamey
Newberg, Texas Rangers Minor League Report, salivating over the possibility of
LA's Greg Miller moving to TEX in an A-Rod deal (which appears to have
died on the drawing board) :
"
... Miller may be among the three or four most coveted pitching prospects in
baseball, and would immediately become the Rangers' top prospect as well as the
organization's most promising pitching prospect in as long as I can remember. He
reached AA at age 18 last summer after going 11-4, 2.49 for High A Vero Beach,
and in four Southern League starts for Jacksonville, he gave up three earned
runs (1.01 ERA) on 15 hits (.156 opponents' average) and seven walks in 26.2
innings, fanning 40 (13.5 punchouts per nine innings). Stands 6'5". Touches
95. Filthy slider and a power curve. There's no way the Dodgers can actually
part with him, is there? Maybe if they're not the only team in on Garciaparra --
and yesterday the White Sox reportedly intervened, dangling Magglio Ordonez and
young pitching. Good. Maybe Los Angeles will have to do something it doesn't
really want to do in order to get Garciaparra. Hopefully that means Miller goes
to Boston, where he'll connect to Texas."
18 December, 2003
Winter
ball ... Alexis Rios TOR, continues to soar, 3-4, triple, 10th homer, 3
runs, 3 RBI, .345 ... Simon Pond TOR 2-4, .292 ... Mexico -- Calvin
Pickering KC 2-4, 13th homer, .268 ... Alfredo Amezaga ANA
3-4, double, 12th SB ... Ross Gload CHA 2-3, triple, .321 ...
Venezuela -- Omar Infante DET, top hitter, .351 ... Hector Gimenez
HOU 5th, ..328 ... Alberto Callaspo ANA 3-3, .360 ... Dominican --
Juan Cruz CHN one-hitter through seven innings, 0.90 in 20 innings.
Troop
movements ... one-time top catching prospect Ben Petrick dumped by DET
...
Josh
Boyd, Baseball America, with the tough choice -- who's No.1 on the Dodger
farm? Boyd opted for Edwin Jackson over Greg Miller :
"
... Jackson’s picturesque delivery, clean arm action and premium athleticism
aid him in making 98 mph fastballs look effortless. He sits between 91-97 and
can maintain his velocity deep into games. His slider and changeup both have
come a long way since he made the full-time conversion to pitching ...
demonstrates an advanced feel for pitching too, not afraid to pitch inside or
double up on sliders and changeups. The Dodgers have done a fine job limiting
Jackson’s workload. He was limited to around 100 pitches a start, and he was
scratched from the Arizona Fall League to avoid putting more innings on his arm
... Jackson is the complete package, and fits the profile of a top-of-the-line
starting pitcher to a tee. He established himself as one of the elite prospects
in baseball even before his September callup, and his performance all but
guaranteed him a spot in the Los Angeles rotation for 2004. He’s the best
homegrown pitching prospect the Dodgers have developed since Pedro
Martinez."
Boyd
on Greg Miller vs Cole Hamels & Scott Kazmir
:
"
... If his shoulder is 100 percent, which I am led to believe it is, then I
would take Miller ahead of both of them. He has the command to go with four
above-average major league pitches. His velocity is nearly as good as Kazmir's,
while his slider and curve are better and more consistent. Hamels gets him on
the changeup, and Miller's is still at least average. Miller might have the best
delivery of the group, throwing without effort, and he has the best pitcher's
frame."
Boyd
on James Loney :
"
.... He is already bulking up and the doubles he's hitting right now at a young
age against older competition are a good sign. He has been working out at one of
the premium facilities in Arizona this offseason and is noticeably bigger than
when he was drafted. I don't think power is much of a question in the long run,
but I wouldn't expect more than 8-10 if he played in LA next season."
Dayn
Perry, FoxSports, completes the position prospects with his look at the top guys
in the outfield. Jeremy Reed, Grady Sizemore, Alexis Rios
1-2-3. Then :
"
... 4. Franklin Gutierrez ... had an uninspiring debut in the
rookie-level Gulf Coast League, but since then he's shown outstanding power
potential. This past season, he slugged .513 in the pitcher-friendly Florida
State League, despite being generally younger than his peer group. After a
late-season promotion to AA-Jacksonville, he slugged .597 in limited action.
He'll begin 2004 back in the Southern League as a 21-year-old. He needs to
improve his walk rate, but otherwise he has everything you want in a hitter.
You'll find few young hitters with better raw power."
"
... 5. Delmon Young ... This is a projection ranking, but he may actually
be underrated at number five. Young, little brother of Dmitri, was the first
overall pick of the June draft. He signed too late to play in the regular
season, but he did drop many a jaw with his performance in the Arizona Fall
League. Scouts can't say enough about his power potential, and comparisons to a
young Albert Belle have heard in many corners. He has a broad base of hitting
skills, tremendous raw power and an ability to hit to all fields. He won't be a
stellar defender (although he does have a cannon arm in right), but it's his bat
that will take him places."
17 December, 2003
Winter
ball ... Puerto Rico -- finally, a little something from Michael Restovich
MIN 1-3 & 2-3, 2 doubles, .207 ... Willie Bloomquist SEA 2-3
& 1-3, homer, .275 ... catcher Yadier Molina STL 2-3, .342
... Dominican -- Rafael Soriano
SEA, stunning results so far (well, up to the 13th) not a single earned run in
32 innings (just 14 hits allowed) .
Dan
Troy, StrikeThree, notes a shortage of potential impact position players in his
assessment of the BAL farm. He does, however, highlight some strength on
the hill :
"
... Adam Loewen was considered by some to be the most talented pitcher in
the 2002 draft. While the Orioles couldn't ink him before the start of the
school year, they did manage to wrap him as a draft-and-follow this spring. The
huge lefty is touted for his good velocity and movement on his fastball and has
a big, slow curve to buckle the knees of opposing batters ... brief stint
at Aberdeen before shut down early as a precautionary measure. If he can stay
healthy, he has a chance to be a staff ace, but the Orioles have had big
problems keeping pitchers healthy."
"
... John Maine ... sixth-round choice in 2002, and he's proven to
be quite a steal so far. He was downright untouchable this year, surrendering
just 91 hits in 146 innings. The 22-year-old's strikeout rates were very strong
and he posted an awesome strikeout-to-walk ratio of 6-to-1 in the SAL, and
nearly 4-to-1 in his stint in the Carolina League. While he could likely get
A-ball hitters out with just his fastball ... has worked hard on his
changeup, and he continues to refine his curveball. He should face a good test
in AA."
A
few more snippets from Matthew Pouliot, RotoWorld.com :
"
... Michael Aubrey CLE ... probably not a potential star, but he will be
a solid regular at first base, and because he plays better defense than either
Ben Broussard or Travis Hafner, the Indians won’t hold him back once he’s
ready. Very good fantasy prospect."
"
... Brent Clevlen DET ... Cody Ross will beat him to
the majors, but Clevlen, a 2002 second-round pick, is Detroit’s top outfield
prospect. A Texas native, Clevlen is a natural right fielder with the potential
to be every bit as much of an offensive threat as Bobby Higginson was six or
seven years ago. Playing in a very good pitcher’s park hurt his numbers in
2003, but Clevlen can be a .300 hitter with 25-homer potential."
"
... Kody Kirkland DET ... Stolen from the Pirates in the Randall
Simon trade, Kirkland hit .303/.390/.496 in 254 AB for SS Single-A Oneonta. He’s
very far away, but he has the most upside of the bats in the Detroit farm
system."
16 December, 2003
Troop
movements ... Cliff Politte, one time hot fantasy pick, dropped by the
Blue Jays ... Pablo Ozuna dumped by COL ... and from the looks of
the 40-man rosters, several teams still need to make cuts ... some lower-level
prospects on the move ... Sandy Nin from TOR to COL ... Chris Buglovsky
from COL to SEA ... Mike Nannini to FLO from CHN ... Travis
Ezi, LA to FLO ... Brandon Weeden NYA to LA ...
Chris
Shelton, C-1B, the top pick in the Rule 5, going from PIT to DET. Five
of the first six taken were from PIT. OF Rich Thompson was the
second pick, by SD, and traded to KC.
John
Sickels, ESPN.com, on Thompson :
"
... an athletic outfielder with speed originally drafted by the Blue Jays in the
sixth round in 2000 out of James Madison. He swiped 48 bases in Double-A and
Triple-A this year. A career average of .287 in 444 games. Thompson, 24, runs
well and is good defensively, but he doesn't have much power. He could be a good
reserve outfielder."
On
Jason Grilli, picked by the WSox :
"
... A one-time top prospect until his career was derailed by injuries.
Originally drafted by the Giants in the first round in 1997 out of Seton Hall,
he was traded to Florida in '99 for Livan Hernandez. Grilli, 27, posted a 3.38
ERA in 12 starts for Triple-A Albuquerque this year, though with a poor 38/30
K/BB in 67 innings. He once drew comparisons to Matt Morris but hasn't been able
to stay healthy long enough to develop his command. Grilli could be an
intriguing reclamation project."
Matthew
Pouliot, RotoWorld, on a roll ... zipping through the Top 10s for the AL Central
clubs. No surprise to see Jeremy Reed atop the WSox list, but Joe Borchard
at No.2 is a bit of an eye-opener :
"
... It’s time to start getting very concerned. Borchard handled Triple-A
pitching fairly well in his go-round with Charlotte, putting up a .272/.349/.498
line a year ago. In 2003, he had the same numbers as the much-maligned Drew
Henson, who is actually 16 months younger than Borchard. Maybe it was just a bad
year, but it’s also possible he needs a new swing. Borchard still has
tremendous power potential. If he turns things around quickly in 2004, he’ll
probably get an extended chance to play center field for the White Sox. A Jeromy
Burnitz-type career remains a possibility."
Pitchers
won the next three spots -- Kris Honel, Neal Cotts,
and Jon Rauch :
"
... Rauch, one of the top prospects in all of baseball following a brilliant
2000 season, isn’t yet back to where he was before hurting his shoulder in
2001. Still, after a strong finish for Triple-A Charlotte, he deserved a look at
the end of last season. The 6-foot-11 right-hander throws in the low-90s and has
a solid curve and slider. He remains a good bet to make it as a fourth or fifth
starter and he could be something more."
Outfielder
Grady Sizemore ranked atop the CLE chart :
"
... Sizemore ... starting to show power, making him a complete prospect. The
2000 third-round pick is a fine defensive center fielder with the potential to
be a Shannon Stewart-like hitter from the left side. If necessary, he could
probably hold his own in the majors as a 21-year-old. The Indians have a crowded
outfield situation ahead of him, so he probably won’t get to play regularly
until 2005."
Jeremy
Guthrie was the No.2 with 20-year-old Fausto Carmona at No.
3 :
"
... Carmona ... led the minors in wins last season. The low strikeout total may
make him look like a finesse pitcher, but he throws in the low-90s and his
sinking fastball generates a lot of groundball outs. He also has a curveball and
a changeup which should improve. He’s probably not going to be ready until
2006, but he has more upside than Guthrie."
A
pair of righthanders finished 1-2 on the DET prospect list :
"
... 1. Kyle Sleeth... the third overall pick in the
2003 draft ... Tigers elected to have him rest rather than get him some
time in the minors. In his final season in college, Sleeth went 7-3 with a 2.81
ERA and a 102/29 K/BB ratio in 96 innings. With his low-90s fastball, slider and
curve, he has No. 2 starter potential. However, since he’s not particularly
polished for a college pitcher, he doesn’t figure to contribute in 2004."
"
... 2. Joel Zumaya ... overpowered Midwest League hitters with a
mid-90s fastball last season. The 2002 11th-round pick is still raw, but he has
developed more quickly than expected. His curveball and changeup remain below
average pitches right now, but that could change as he matures ... He’ll need
at least one more full year and probably two more seasons in the minors."
Zack
Greinke and David Dejesus copped the top two spots in KC
with a pair of first-round picks next :
"
... 3. Chris Lubanski ... fifth overall pick in the 2003
draft, Lubanski is a tremendous athlete with impressive skills for an
18-year-old. He has terrific speed and should turn into a quality defensive
center fielder over the next couple of years. He’s also expected to add power,
making him a potential star. He doesn’t figure to develop quickly, though.
2007 is the earliest that he’ll arrive in the majors."
"
... 4. Colt Griffin ...still got a long way to go, but
Griffin, taken ninth overall in the 2001 draft because of his high-90s fastball,
is making progress. Griffin no longer tries to throw 100 mph, and he’s quite
effective when he’s manages to keep his 91-94 mph fastball around the strike
zone. His slider and changeup are getting better, with the slider having a
chance to become a legitimate out pitch. Griffin still needs to do a better job
of throwing strikes, but he looks like a better prospect now than he did either
of the last two years."
Not
much question of the top dogs for MIN -- Joe Mauer and Justin
Morneau. A couple of interesting possibilities further down :
"
... 5. Jesse Crain ... has emerged as one of the top relief
prospects in the minors. The University of Houston product has a mid-90s
fastball and a hard slider and will occasionally mix in a curve and a change.
Crain appears to be Minnesota’s closer of the future and could take over the
job as soon as 2005. Expect him to debut in mid-2004 as a setup man."
"
... 9. Francisco Liriano ... Acquired along with Joe Nathan and
Boof Bonser from the Giants in the A.J. Pierzynski trade. Liriano has terrific
stuff for a lefty, but shoulder problems limited him to nine innings last season
and he may lack the durability to make it as a starting pitcher. Could be a
dominant reliever."
"
... 10. Boof Bonser ... Former top prospect of the Giants
went 7-10 with a 4.00 ERA, 122 H and 103/67 K/BB in 135 IP for Double-A Norwich
last season. Bonser’s velocity isn’t what it was a couple of years ago, but
if he gets it back, he has a great deal of upside."
15 December, 2003
Winter
ball ... Puerto Rico -- Michael Restovich MIN 0-4, .130 ... Alexis
Rios TOR 3-4, 2 homers (8), 5 RBI, .354 ... Adam LaRoche
ATL 0-2, 2 walks, .337 ... Mexico -- Calvin Pickering KC 2-3, 2
RBI, .271 ... Ross Gload CHA 3-5, 2 RBI, .317 ... Elmer Dessens
ARZ 3.0 1 0 0 0 1 ... Venezuela -- Juan Rivera MON 2-4, double,
homer, .321 ... Alberto Callapso ANA 2-4, 2 RBI, .337 ... Guillermo
Quiroz TOR 2-5, 10th homer, .305 ... Hector Gimenez HOU
2-4, .339 ... Rene Reyes COL 2-5, triple, .322
Kevin
Goldstein, Baseball America, in his review of the 2003 SEA Top 10, noted the
progress of Rafael Soriano and highlighted some "emerging
prospects" :
"
... Soriano began the year in the Triple-A Tacoma rotation, where he was nearly
unhittable (.192 opponent's average). Spent the majority of the second half
pitching out of the Seattle bullpen, where he was, well, nearly unhittable. 1.14
ERA after the all-star break, with 53 strikeouts in 39.1 innings. Could be the
next great closer."
"
... Emerging Prospects ... Felix Hernandez, lhp: 17-year-old
Venezuelan cruised through the Northwest league in his pro debut, striking out
73 in 55 innings by utilizing an upper-90s fastball and a plus curve. Justin
Leone, 3b: Leone seemed more like an organizational player four years
after being drafted in the 13th round in 1999, but he got a break due to Greg
Dobbs' injury and earned Texas League MVP honors, batting .288-21-92."
John
Manuel, Baseball America, suggesting Merkin Valdez, the top rated SF
prospect, could find himself in the pen :
"
... Merkin could be a better Felix Rodriguez, and could start doing it in 2004,
certainly. I think there is truth to that rumor, and it's a reason Joe Nathan
was deemed expendable. Several scouts think Valdez profiles better as a
reliever, that he may have more value and be more dominant as a closer
(eventually) than as a starter, where his lack of a consistent offspeed pitch
could hinder him."
From
SportTicker's OF Top 10, a couple of guys who could be overlooked -- Salazar
(for being a little old for his competition) & Pie, with so little power,
but so young :
"
... 7. Jeff Salazar COL ... In a league loaded with talent, Salazar stood
out with a South Atlantic League-high 29 home runs, 98 RBI and 109 runs scored -
21 more than any other player in the circuit ... stole 28 bases, leaving
him just shy of becoming the only 30/30 man in the minors. In addition to
leading the minors in runs scored, Salazar is considered by some to be a top
defensive outfielder. The 23-year-old, who was virtually unknown after batting
.235 with four homers in his first pro season, has a sharp batting eye, drawing
77 walks against 74 strikeouts."
"
... 8. Felix Pie CHN ... made a nice adjustment to low Class A ball after
a co-MVP campaign in the Arizona League in 2002. Just 18-years-old, he is
considered the top all-around athlete in Chicago's system, exhibiting four
tools. Chief among them is his speed, which allowed him to play shallow and
track fly balls all over the outfield and gained him the status as the league's
top defensive outfielder. He managed a .285 average with a team-high 144 hits,
72 runs, and nine triples in 124 games."
Toby
Harrmann, at BrewerFan, keeps JJ Hardy in the top spot of the MIL
prospect chart :
"
... I just kind of like being the only person on the planet who'd rather have
J.J. over Fielder or Weeks."
Rickie
Weeks ranks second, ahead of Prince Fielder. Newcomer
Jorge De La Rosa grabbed the #9 spot :
"
... A Johan Santana starter kit. Very good fastball, good breaking ball, just
needs to work on the changeup to get it to that next level."
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